Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Raiders vs. Saints Odds
Looking for Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Raiders taking on the Saints on Sunday, December 29th at the Caesars Superdome. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Las Vegas New Orleans matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(3-12) Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints (5-10)
Date: Sunday, December 29th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans LA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Las Vegas +1.5 | New Orleans -1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Las Vegas +100 | New Orleans -124
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39.5
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But over the last three times playing each other, the Raiders have a record of 2-1. The Raiders also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 50 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Las Vegas Raiders
With a 3-12 record, the Raiders are 4th in the AFC West and 26th in our power rankings. They have a -8.4 scoring margin and are 6-8-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-7, with the under hitting in four straight games.
Las Vegas snapped a six-game losing streak in week 16, beating the Jaguars 19-14. They were 2-point favorites and covered the spread with the win. The combined score of 33 points was below the 41.5-point line.
Las Vegas Raiders Stats
Heading into week 17, the Raiders rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 28th in the NFL in both points per game (17.6) and total yards per game (300.1). Despite ranking 3rd in passing attempts per game (37.6), they are 14th in passing yards, averaging 222.7 per game. On the ground, Las Vegas ranks last in the NFL with 77.5 rushing yards per game, coming on 22 attempts per contest (27th).
Las Vegas has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 33.5% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the NFL. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 46.2% of their trips, which ranks 3rd. In week 16, the Raiders scored 19 points against the Jaguars, with all of their scoring coming in the 2nd and 4th quarters. Aidan O’Connell threw for 257 yards, while Brock Bowers led the team with 11 receptions for 99 yards.
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In their 19-14 win over the Jaguars, the Raiders’ defense allowed 236 passing yards on 25 completions. Jacksonville had a chance to win the game late, but the Raiders held on. Las Vegas defended the run well, allowing just 72 yards on 21 attempts. They also limited Jacksonville to a 40% conversion rate on third down.
The Raiders’ defense recorded one sack in the game and held Jacksonville to 6.1 yards per attempt. However, Las Vegas did lose the tackles for loss battle, with the Jaguars having four more tackles for loss than them.
New Orleans Saints
Heading into week 17, the Saints sit at 5-10 and rank 30th in our NFL power rankings. New Orleans has lost two straight, including a 34-0 blowout loss to the Packers in week 16. The Saints were 14-point underdogs in that game but couldn’t cover the spread. In week 15, they narrowly lost to the Commanders, 20-19, but managed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs.
With two games left, the Saints have a -2.5 average scoring margin and are 6-9 against the spread. They are 1-3 as favorites and 5-6 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-8, with the under hitting in four straight games.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Heading into week 17, the Saints rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 22nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.6, and 18th in yards per game with 325.4. New Orleans ranks 17th in passing attempts and 23rd in passing yards per game, averaging 204.8. On the ground, they are 12th in rushing attempts and 13th in rushing yards per game, with 120.6.
Spencer Rattler struggled in week 16, throwing for 153 yards and an interception on 15/30 passing. The Saints were shut out by the Packers, failing to score in any quarter. Foster Moreau led the team with 33 receiving yards, and Rattler was sacked three times.
In their most recent game, the Saints’ defense gave up 34 points to the Packers. They struggled to defend the run, allowing 188 yards on 39 attempts, and couldn’t generate any pressure, as they failed to record a sack and lost the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials. Despite their struggles, the Saints’ defense did limit the Packers to 216 passing yards on 17 completions.
New Orleans’ defense also allowed the Packers to convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts. Overall, the Saints’ defense gave up 404 yards in the 34-0 loss to Green Bay.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Raiders are 1-3-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Saints are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Raiders are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Saints have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Raiders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Saints’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Raiders vs. Saints Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | +110 | +102 | +2 | +1.5 |
| Saints | -130 | -124 | -2 | -1.5 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Las Vegas +1.5
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Raiders to cover as road underdogs in this week 17 matchup between the Raiders and Saints. As of now, the Raiders are sitting at +1.5 point favorites, and we have them keeping it close and pulling out a win 24-23 over the Saints.
For an over/under pick, we like going with the OVER, with a projected combined score of 47 points and the O/U line sitting at 39.5 points.
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Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Last time out against the Raiders: A TD hat-trick for Alvin Kamara ⭐️#LVvsNO Sunday Noon CT on FOX pic.twitter.com/P94GbA0xCN
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) December 27, 2024
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