Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Raiders vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 11 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Raiders taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, November 19th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Las Vegas Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(5-5) Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins (6-3)
Date: Sunday, November 19th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Las Vegas +12 | Miami -12
Week 11 NFL Moneyline Odds: Las Vegas +449 | Miami -634
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48
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The lifetime regular-season matchup record between the Raiders and Dolphins stands deadlocked at 18-18-1. Their most recent encounter occurred on September 26, 2021, with the Raiders prevailing 31-28, it wen to OT.
Last season, the Raiders and Dolphins did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Dolphins have the leg up at 2-1.
The Dolphins also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 52 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
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Over the past five head-to-head matchups, Miami has triumphed over Las Vegas 4x. In these recent encounters, Miami has displayed an impressive offensive prowess, amassing 159 points, while Vegas has managed 88. Does this suggest a potential opportunity for an upset?
Are you telling me there’s a chance for a backdoor cover?
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Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders’ season has been tumultuous, with quarterback Jimmy G. benched and coach McDaniels and GM Ziegler fired. Now, with Pierce as head coach and O’Connell at quarterback, the team displays renewed vigor.
Underestimate them at your peril.
In week 11, Las Vegas is in 2nd place in the AFC-West with a 5-5 record. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 11th place. The Raiders’ current scoring margin for the season stands at -3.3, contributing to their ATS record of 5-5.
Even though the Raiders failed to score in the first quarter, they rebounded and picked up the win. Their offensive output totaled 274 yards, while they conceded 365 yards to the Jets on defense.
Las Vegas went into the game as the underdog (+0.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Aidan O’Connell threw for 153 yards while completing 59% of his passes and throwing for 153. O’Connell threw for one touchdown.
Las Vegas Raiders Stats
On offense, the Raiders finished with 274 yards against the Jets. When it came to third downs, the Raiders had a 33.3% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Josh Jacobs with 116 yards, and Aidan O’Connell contributed 153 passing yards.
The Raiders come in with an average of 17.2 points per game which is 24th in the NFL.
On defense, the Raiders come into the game ranked 7th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 20.5 points per game vs. them along with an average of 334.3 yards per contest.
Miami Dolphins
Taking on the Raiders, the Dolphins will look to improve on their record of 6-3. This mark has them in 1st in the AFC-East and 4th in the AFC. Thus far this season, the Dolphins hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 6-3.
Their average scoring margin in the current season is +6.7.
In their defeat against the Chiefs, Miami had a slow start and failed to score in the first quarter.
The Dolphins concluded the game with 292 yards on offense, while allowing 267 on defense. Miami also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 0.5 point favorites. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 193 yards while completing 61% of his passes and throwing for 193.
Tagovailoa threw for one touchdown.
Miami Dolphins Stats
Offensively, the Dolphins rushed the ball 21 times against the Chiefs. Raheem Mostert led the ground attack with 85 yards. Tua Tagovailoa made 34 passing attempts, accumulating 193 yards and achieving a passer rating of 87.
The Dolphins’ offense has performing well in the first half of game, averaging 16.8 points. Their overall offensive numbers of 31.7 is 1st in the NFL.
Looking at Miami’s defense, they currently stand 23rd in points allowed.
Opponents have been averaging 25 points per game and 322.4 yards per contest against them.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Raiders are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Raiders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Raiders vs. Dolphins Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Raiders | +300 | +487 | +8.5 | +12 |
Dolphins | -375 | -708 | -8.5 | -12 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Las Vegas +12
Las Vegas are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games. This is a team that’s learning how to win under new HC Antonio Pierce.
I don’t anticipate a sudden improvement in the Dolphins defense this week. They weren’t on top of their game vs. the Chiefs and I think the Raiders can move the ball this week. Their ground game is clickin’, and I expect more of the same on Sunday.
Which is why I’m favoring Las Vegas as 12-point underdogs.
PLAY THE UNDER this week as my favorite bet on this game.
I’m selecting the under as my pick, given the over/under line of 48. Heading into this matchup, games featuring Las Vegas have had an average combined score of 37.7 points, and I believe this game will stay under 48.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas’ last 8 games, plus in 9 of LV’s last 11 games vs. AFC teams, the UNDER has hit.
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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
My favorite twitter account.
Prepped and ready to hit the field always thanks to @baptisthealthsf pic.twitter.com/dHF8Mgepb7
— Miami Dolphins Cheer (@dolphinscheer) November 10, 2023
Here’s a team tweet! LOL
Back in business!!! 🐇 #finsup pic.twitter.com/IMV1yH6JPk
— River (@rivercracraft) November 14, 2023
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