Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Chiefs vs. Vikings Odds
Looking for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Minnesota Vikings free NFL Week 5 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chiefs taking on the Vikings on Sunday, October 8th at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Kansas City Minnesota matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(3-1) Kansas City Chiefs vs. Minnesota Vikings (1-3)
Date: Sunday, October 8th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Kansas City -5.5 | Minnesota +5.5
Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds: Kansas City -238 | Minnesota +190
NFL Betting Total: O/U 52
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Welcome back, NFL betting enthusiasts! Week 5 is upon us, and we’ve got an exciting matchup to dissect. On Sunday, October 8th, at 4:25 ET, the (3-1) Kansas City Chiefs will square off against the (1-3) Minnesota Vikings at the U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN. As we dig into the numbers, it’s worth noting that the Chiefs are currently 2-2 against the spread in 2023, while the Vikings find themselves at 1-2-1 ATS.
Let’s talk odds. In Week 5, the ATS betting lines favor the Chiefs at -5.5, while the Vikings stand at +5.5. Looking at the moneyline, Kansas City comes in at -238, with Minnesota at +190. The over/under for this game sits at a tantalizing 52 points, promising an exciting offensive showdown.
In terms of historical matchups, the Vikings and Chiefs have clashed 13 times, including one postseason game. The Chiefs hold the edge with 8 victories, while the Vikings have claimed 5 wins, cementing Kansas City’s series lead at 8-5.
Recapping Week 4 action, the Chiefs, with Taylor Swift in attendance, surged ahead early against the New York Jets, securing a 23-20 win. Meanwhile, the Vikings found their stride, taking down the Panthers 21-13 to notch their first victory of the season.
The Chiefs and Vikings did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Chiefs have a record of 2-1. The Chiefs also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 37 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Stay tuned to our NFL football handicapping blog for insights on this exciting matchup!
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Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs come into their matchup against the Vikings with a 3-1 record. In the AFC-West, they are 1st and 1st in AFC overall standings. Regarding the spread, the Chiefs currently stand at 2-2.
Up to this point, they have been favored in all of their games.
On the offensive side, the Chiefs had a strong start by putting up 17 points in the first quarter. Overall, they recorded 401 yards of total offense, compared to 336 yards for the Jets.
Even though Kansas City won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 8 point favorites. Patrick Mahomes threw for 203 yards while completing 60% of his passes and throwing for 203. Mahomes threw for one touchdown.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
In their matchup against the Jets, the Chiefs ran the ball 35 times, with Isiah Pacheco emerging as the top rusher with 115 yards. In the passing game, Mahomes finished with 30 passes, resulting in 203 yards and a passer rating of 63.
On offense, the Chiefs are averaging 25.2 points per game, putting them 9th in the NFL.
In terms of turnovers, the Kansas City defense has five takeaways, which is 7th in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 15 points per game and 294.5 yards.
Minnesota Vikings
Going into week 5, Minnesota is 3rd in the NFC-North with an overall record of 1-3. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 12th place. This season, the Vikings find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 1-2-1.
Their average scoring margin for this season stands at -1.2.
Although the Vikings didn’t score in the first quarter, they still managed to pick up the win.
Offensively, they finished with 265 yards, while allowing 232 yards to the Panthers. Going into the game, Minnesota was favored by 4 and went on to cover the spread. Kirk Cousins threw for 139 yards while completing 63% of his passes and throwing for 139.
Cousins threw for two touchdowns.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Versus the Panthers, the Vikings turned to the run 23 times, and it was Alexander Mattison who led the way with 95 yards. Meanwhile, Kirk Cousins finished with 19 pass attempts, resulting in 139 yards and a passer rating of 80.
At 22.5 points per contest, the Minnesota offense is 15th in the league.
On defense, the Vikings are giving up an average of 233.5 passing yards per game and 111.2.
In terms of sacks, Minnesota is 6th among other defenses and they are giving up 23.8 points per game and 344.8 yards.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Vikings are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Chiefs are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Vikings have gone 4-4-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chiefs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Vikings’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Chiefs vs. Vikings Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -280 | -238 | -6 | -5.5 |
| Vikings | +230 | +190 | +6 | +5.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Minnesota +5.5
Despite being 5.5-point underdogs at home, I like the Vikings to cover against Kansas City. But I’m betting this lightly. Minnesota are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City.
The play I love though, is the OVER.
Despite Cousins recording his season-low output on Sunday, totaling less than 340 yards for the first time in three weeks, Minnesota still managed to secure their first victory of the season. This week we’re expecting a shootout. He’s just below the 6000 yards on the season pace.
It’s the Vikings vs. the Chiefs of course, I don’t expect anything less than a ton of points. This game is the highest total on the slate.
After a strong performance against Carolina’s passing game, Minnesota’s pass defense will be needed to play well once again, but how well can they play against the two-time-MVP?
With the over/under line sitting at 52, my pick is to take the OVER.
My model points to this one going between 55-58. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota’s last 12 games.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/Vikings/status/1709339083833573556
Whoops I didn’t mean to post this here! LOL
https://twitter.com/taylorswift13/status/1706639859354337704
This was great!
https://twitter.com/Chiefs/status/1709328724259467596
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