Free Week 11 Prediction: Chiefs vs. Chargers NFL Odds
Looking for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers free NFL Week 11 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chiefs taking on the Chargers on Monday, November 18th at Estadio Azteca, Mexico City, Mexico. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Kansas City Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Week 11
(6-4) Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers (4-6)
Date: Monday, November 18th, 2019
Time: 8:15 PM
Venue: Estadio Azteca, Mexico City, Mexico
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: Kansas City -3.5
NFL Week 11 Moneyline Odds: OFF
NFL Week 11 NFL Betting Total: 52.5
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A big AFC West matchup will see the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Los Angeles Chargers. This game will be played south of the border in Mexico City, Mexico.
Both teams are coming off a loss, which keeps the AFC West wide open.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs got their franchise quarterback back, but in the end they still managed to lose to the Tennessee Titans. The score to this game was 35-32.
Kansas City are looking shaky right now, going 2-4 in the last 6 games after starting the season 4-0. They are now only half a game ahead of the Oakland Raiders in the AFC West.
The Chiefs’ kicking game was a big issue in this game as they had a botched snap where the holder just threw it downfield to no one resulting in an intentional grounding penalty, which set up the Titans for the go ahead scoring drive. Then to make things worse, the Chiefs put their kicker in position again to tie the game with a few seconds left and he had it blocked.
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The offense is still among the best in the league, averaging 28.4 points per game, the 5th best in the league. They are also the best passing offense, averaging 313.9 passing yards per game.
The defense for Kansas City however, is horrible. They are 31st in the league in defending the run. They just gave up 35 points to the Titans and Ryan Tannehill, so they really are not able to stop anyone.
Plus there is the fact that their offense can score so quickly that their defense will be on the field a ton.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers are coming off a loss to the Oakland Riaders this past Thursday. They will have a couple extra days to prepare, so this could help them against this Chiefs defense.
Los Angeles did not play a very good game offensively, but still had plenty of chances to win the game. They gained a total of 305 yards, far less than their average of 356.2 yards. This was also against a below average Raiders defense, so that is a concern going forward.
Phillip Rivers had a bad game against Oakland, going 17 of 31 for 207 yards. He had two touchdowns and three interceptions. Their offense as a whole still ranks 8th in the passing game averaging 270.1 yards per game.
In this game, the Chargers are going to need to establish the run. Since coming back from his holdout, Melvin Gordon has not yet been himself. The Chiefs defense is one of the worst against the run, so if the Chargers can run the ball, they will have a chance to further punish the Chiefs defense.
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The defense for the Chargers has not been terrible this season, but they have not faced an offense like the Chiefs. They are ranked top 10 in total yards allowed, passing yards allowed and points allowed. They have a below average rush defense, but it is not like the Chiefs run the ball with much success.
Slowing down Mahomes is clearly the only way the Chargers have a chance to win or keep it close for that matter. Their offense is going to score points on a bad defense, so making a couple stops on defense could be the difference in this Primetime game.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 8 games this season.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers’ last 6 games against Kansas City.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: OVER 52.5
I think both offense are going to have a ton of success in this game. The total is already the highest on the board for this weeks games, but the over is still the play I like the most for this game.
NFL Free Week 11 Score Prediction: Kansas City 35 – Los Angeles 31
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