Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds
Looking for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders free NFL Week 12 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chiefs taking on the Raiders on Sunday, November 26th at the Allegiant Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Kansas City Las Vegas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(7-3) Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders (5-6)
Date: Sunday, November 26th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas NV
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Kansas City -9.5 | Las Vegas +9.5
Week 12 NFL Moneyline Odds: Kansas City -461 | Las Vegas +350
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44
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The Chiefs and Raiders have faced off a total of 128 times, including 3 playoff games. The Chiefs came out on top in 72 of those matchups, while the Raiders secured victory in 54 games.
They also ended up tying twice. Looking at their recent encounters, Kansas City has dominated, winning all five of their last meetings against Las Vegas. During these head-to-head battles, the Chiefs scored a total of 190 points, while only allowing the Raiders to score 74 points.
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Last season saw the Chiefs put together a 2-0 record in the two head to head matchups between the teams.
Together the Chiefs and Raiders averaged 51.5 points per game and had an over/under record of 1-1.
Against the spread, they each went 1-1. In these head-to-head matchups, the Chiefs’ offense averaged 358.5 yards per game compared to the Raiders at 328.5.
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Kansas City Chiefs
This week will be the Chiefs’ 7th game against an AFC opponent.
Their overall record is 7-3 while going 5-1 against other teams in the AFC. In the standings, Kansas City is 1st in the division and 2nd in the AFC.
Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Chiefs are above .500 at 6-4. Their average scoring margin is +6.1.
Even after possessing the football for 32:01 vs. the Eagles, the Chiefs still fell to the Eagles. On the ground, the Chiefs averaged 5.6 yards per attempt and went 8/17 on 3rd down. The Eagles ran for 114 yards and threw for 124.
Kansas City also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 3 point favorites. Patrick Mahomes threw for 177 yards while completing 55% of his passes and throwing for 177. Mahomes threw for two touchdowns.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Facing the Eagles defense, Kansas City’s offense amassed 336 yards in total. On third downs, the Chiefs converted at a rate of 47.1%. Isiah Pacheco led the rushing game with 89 yards, while Patrick Mahomes threw for 177 yards.
Kansas City’s offense is 13th in the league, with an average of 22.5 points per contest.
Looking at Kansas City’s defense, they currently stand 3rd in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 16.4 points per game and 283.2 yards per contest against them.
Las Vegas Raiders
At 5-6, the Raiders are 12th in the AFC and 3rd in the AFC-West.
This will be Las Vegas’ 6th home game this season, where they have gone 4-1 compared to 1-5 on the road. Taking a look at the Raiders’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -3.6. This has resulted in an ATS record of 6-5.
In terms of offense, the Raiders started well, posting 10 points in the first quarter.
Their total offense for the game amounted to 296 yards, whereas the Dolphins had 422 yards. Even though Las Vegas lost the game straight-up, they did cover the spread as 14-point underdogs.
Aidan O’Connell threw for 271 yards while completing 58% of his passes and throwing for 271. O’Connell threw for one touchdown.
Las Vegas Raiders Stats
Facing the Dolphins defense, Las Vegas’ offense amassed 296 yards in total. On third downs, the Raiders converted at a rate of 28.6%. Josh Jacobs led the rushing game with 39 yards, while Aidan O’Connell threw for 271 yards.
So far this season, the Las Vegas offense has been averaging 16.8 points per game, ranking them 24th in the league.
Looking at Las Vegas’ defense, they currently stand 12th in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 20.5 points per game and 342.3 yards per contest against them.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Raiders are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Chiefs are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Raiders have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chiefs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Raiders’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | -390 | -461 | -8 | -9.5 |
Raiders | +310 | +350 | +8 | +9.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Las Vegas +9.5
On Monday Night Football, Kansas City didn’t do so well, losing 21-17 to the Eagles even though they were favored by 2.5 points. Las Vegas also had a tough time on Sunday, as they couldn’t make it three wins in a row, losing 20-13 to the Dolphins. Surprisingly, they did manage to cover the 14-point spread as underdogs.
Kansas City’s passing game struggled in their recent matchup against Philadelphia. I don’t anticipate a sudden improvement, which is why I’m favoring Las Vegas as 9.5-point underdogs.
Not only does our model have a projected total of 46 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 44 is high. I like the Chiefs and Raiders to stay under 44. My model calls for 21 points total.
Here are some NFL betting stats we found. Las Vegas has done well recently, going 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 November games. They’ve also seen the total points stay UNDER in 8 of their last 9 games and 6 of their last 6 home games. On the other hand, Kansas City has also had low-scoring games, with the total points going UNDER in 6 of their last 6 games.
These trends might help you make some better NFL bets.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Mailbag time!
See your questions answered in this week’s Raiders Mailbag ✉️#KCvsLV | #RaiderNationhttps://t.co/0f74ETHiGf
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) November 23, 2023
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