Free NFL Week 8 Pick: Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds
Looking for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chiefs taking on the Raiders on Sunday, October 27th at the Allegiant Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Kansas City Las Vegas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(6-0) Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders (2-5)
Date: Sunday, October 27th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas NV
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Kansas City -10 | Las Vegas +10
NFL Moneyline Odds: Kansas City -517 | Las Vegas +381
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Get ready for an electric Week 8 clash between the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (6-0) and the struggling, yet dangerous, Las Vegas Raiders (2-5) at Allegiant Stadium. This storied rivalry has seen its share of fireworks, and Sunday promises to be no different.
The Chiefs have dominated the all-time series, but last year’s Christmas Day shocker—where the Raiders stunned Kansas City 20-14—still lingers.
With Vegas QB Aidan O’Connell at the helm, the Raiders showed they can hang with the big boys.
Each team picked up a win on the road in the season series between the Chiefs and Raiders last year. The Chiefs won the first game 31-17, while the Raiders took the second game 20-14.
The Chiefs were -9 point favorites in the first game and -11 point favorites in the second game. The over/under line for game one was 42.5 points, with a combined score of 48 points.
In the second game, the line was 40.5 points, and they combined for 34 points.
This time around, the Chiefs are looking for payback, and the sportsbooks favor them heavily, with a 10-point spread in their favor. But don’t be so quick to count the Raiders out. They’ve covered the spread in three of their last five games as underdogs, and Allegiant Stadium could give them just the edge they need.
Call me crazy but I think this game gets crazy on Sunday.
Kansas City Chiefs
With a 6-0 record, the Chiefs sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 99.6% chance of making the playoffs. They also have a 96.1% chance of winning the AFC West. Kansas City is 3-0 both at home and on the road, including a 28-18 win over the 49ers in week 7. The Chiefs were 2.5-point underdogs in that game, but they came away with a 10-point win.
Against the spread, the Chiefs are 4-1-1 this season, with an average scoring margin of +7.2 points. They have covered in two straight games, including a 13-point win over the Saints in week 5 as 5-point favorites. Their O/U record is 2-4, with the under hitting in four consecutive games.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Heading into week 8, the Chiefs are 10th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 24.3 points per game, which ranks 11th in the NFL. They are 10th in the league in passing yards per game (221.5) and 12th in passing attempts. On the ground, Kansas City ranks 6th in rushing attempts and 10th in rushing yards per game, averaging 128.8. They are 4th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 15th in red zone efficiency.
Patrick Mahomes struggled in week 7, throwing for 154 yards with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns, posting a passer rating of 44. Kareem Hunt led the team with 78 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 22 carries, while Noah Gray had 4 receptions for 66 yards. Kansas City scored 14 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters against the 49ers.
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In the Chiefs’ 28-18 win over the 49ers, their defense stood out on third downs, allowing just an 18.2% conversion rate. They also came away with three interceptions and limited the 49ers to 209 passing yards on 17 completions. The Chiefs’ run defense allowed just 101 yards on 24 attempts.
Despite allowing 310 total yards, the Chiefs’ defense kept the 49ers out of the endzone, not giving up any touchdowns. They also had one sack and won the tackles for loss battle with a +4 differential. The 49ers were below 55% in completion percentage against the Chiefs.
Las Vegas Raiders
Heading into week 8, the Raiders have dropped three straight games, including a 20-15 loss to the Rams in week 7. This puts Las Vegas at 2-5, leaving them 4th in the AFC West. Our power rankings have the Raiders 28th, and they have just a 4.2% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, Las Vegas is 3-4, with all three of their ATS wins coming as underdogs.
So far, the over has hit in four of the Raiders’ seven games. Their matchups have averaged 43.9 points, while the O/U line has been 39.5. In week 7, the Raiders and Rams combined for 35 points, with the line set at 43.
Las Vegas Raiders Stats
Heading into week 8, the Raiders rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 22nd in the NFL in points per game (17.7) and 26th in yards per game (296.7). Despite being 4th in passing attempts, they are 16th in passing yards per game, averaging 211.1. On the ground, they rank 28th in rushing yards per game (85.6) and 27th in rushing attempts. Las Vegas has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 31.1% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 52.9% of their opportunities, ranking 8th in the NFL.
In week 7, Gardner Minshew II threw for 154 yards, completing 15 of 34 passes with 3 interceptions against the Rams. Alexander Mattison led the team with 92 rushing yards on 23 carries, while Brock Bowers had 10 receptions for 93 yards. The Raiders scored 6 points in the 2nd quarter, 3 in the 3rd, and 6 in the 4th. They struggled on 3rd down, converting only 3 of 15 attempts, and failed to score on 2 red zone trips.
In their 20-15 loss to the Rams, the Raiders’ defense held Los Angeles to just 144 passing yards on 6.3 yards per attempt. The Raiders’ offense allowed just 259 total yards, but the Rams were able to convert 40% of their third downs. Las Vegas’ defense was also tough on the ground, allowing 115 rushing yards on 28 attempts.
Despite their efforts, the Raiders’ defense struggled to generate consistent pressure, finishing with just one sack and losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. However, they did come up with one interception and held the Rams to a 60.9% completion percentage.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 3-1-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Raiders are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Chiefs are 6-2-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Raiders have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chiefs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Raiders’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -205 | -514 | -4.5 | -10 |
| Raiders | +170 | +380 | +4.5 | +10 |
4* Free Week 8 NFL Betting Prediction: Las Vegas +10
This might feel like a Chiefs home game with all the red in the crowd, but Las Vegas thrives in chaos.
Betting on the Silver and Black to cover, or even pull off the upset, isn’t as wild as it sounds. The Chiefs may be perfect so far, but no team stays undefeated forever.
Expect a gritty fight with the Raiders pushing Kansas City to the limit.
Could this be the game that finally has the 1972 Dolphins popping champagne? Don’t be surprised. This one’s going to get wild.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Raiders to cover as home underdogs in this week eight matchup against the Chiefs. The point spread line is sitting at +10 in favor of the Raiders, and we have them winning by a score of 26-24.
For this Chiefs vs. Raiders matchup, we also like the over as a strong play. The current O/U line is 41.5 points, and we have these teams finishing with 50 combined points.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Heading into the first of two games this season against the Chiefs #KCvsLV https://t.co/rCZHY0CmmU
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) October 24, 2024
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