Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Chiefs vs. Panthers Odds
Looking for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chiefs taking on the Panthers on Sunday, November 24th at the Bank of America Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Kansas City Carolina matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(9-1) Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers (3-7)
Date: Sunday, November 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte NC
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Kansas City -11 | Carolina +11
NFL Moneyline Odds: Kansas City -607 | Carolina +440
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Week 12 NFL action heats up with an intriguing clash as the powerhouse Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) visit the struggling Carolina Panthers (3-7) at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte.
The Chiefs come in as massive 11-point favorites, and for good reason—Kansas City has been nearly unstoppable, winning 15 of their last 16 games straight up.
Meanwhile, the Panthers are sputtering, posting a disappointing 4-16 straight-up record in their last 20 games, with a dismal 3-9 mark against the spread in their last 12.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Chiefs have a record of 3-0. The Chiefs also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 49 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Historically, Carolina has struggled against Kansas City, going 2-5 all-time and managing just one win at home in three tries. The numbers don’t inspire much confidence either, as the Panthers have gone just 2-7-1 in their last 10 home games.
Kansas City Chiefs
After starting the season with nine straight wins, the Chiefs suffered their first loss in week 11, falling 30-21 to the Bills. Kansas City entered the game as 3-point underdogs but couldn’t cover the spread. The combined 51 points in the game went over the 47-point line.
Despite the loss, the Chiefs remain first in our power rankings and have a 93.3% chance of winning the AFC West. They are 4-5-1 against the spread and have failed to cover in four straight games.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Heading into week 12, the Chiefs rank 10th in the NFL in points per game (24) and 16th in yards per game (337.9). They are 10th in passing yards per game (226.5) and 23rd in rushing yards per game (111.4), despite ranking 11th in rushing attempts. Kansas City has struggled early in games, ranking 25th in first-quarter scoring, but they lead the NFL in third-down conversion percentage (51.9%).
Patrick Mahomes threw for 196 yards in week 11, completing 23 of 33 passes with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Kareem Hunt led the team with 60 rushing yards on 14 carries, while Xavier Worthy had 4 catches for 61 yards and a touchdown. Before Worthy’s week 11 performance, Hunt had 65 receiving yards in week 10, and Travis Kelce had 100 yards in week 9.
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In their 30-21 loss to the Bills, the Chiefs’ defense allowed Buffalo to convert on 60% of their third down attempts. The Chiefs gave up 262 passing yards on 27 completions, while the running game was held to 104 yards on 3.4 yards per attempt. Despite not allowing a big day on the ground, the Chiefs didn’t manage to record any sacks and only hit the quarterback three times.
Buffalo’s offense finished with 366 total yards against the Chiefs, who also came away with one interception. The Chiefs’ defense allowed Buffalo to sustain long drives, as they finished with a time of possession of 34:17 compared to just 25:43 for Kansas City.
Carolina Panthers
After snapping their six-game losing streak with a week 9 win over the Saints, the Panthers made it two in a row by defeating the Giants 20-17 in week 10. Carolina entered the game as 6.5-point underdogs but managed to cover the spread with the victory. The combined scoring of 37 points fell short of the 40-point line, bringing the Panthers’ O/U record to 7-3 this season.
Carolina now sits at 3-7, including a 2-3 record at home and 1-4 on the road. They rank 30th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, the Panthers are 3-7, with all of their games coming as underdogs.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Heading into week 12, the Panthers rank 29th in our offensive power rankings. They are 27th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 16.7, and they sit at the bottom of the league in yards per game with 280.7. Carolina ranks 15th in passing attempts per game but is 29th in passing yards, averaging 170.7 per game. On the ground, they are 24th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game, with an average of 110 yards. Carolina ranks 27th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage but is 8th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 10, Bryce Young threw for 126 yards and a touchdown, completing 15 of 25 passes without an interception. Chuba Hubbard led the rushing attack with 153 yards on 28 carries, while Jalen Coker had 3 catches for 41 yards. Carolina scored 17 points in regulation, with 7 in the 1st quarter, 3 in the 2nd, and 7 in the 3rd, before winning in overtime.
In the Panthers’ 20-17 overtime win over the Giants, the defense played a key role, coming up with two interceptions and not allowing a passing touchdown. Despite giving up 167 rushing yards on 34 attempts, they held the Giants to just 4.9 yards per attempt. The Panthers limited the Giants to 342 total yards and 46.7% on third down conversions.
Carolina’s defense also had two sacks in the game and held the Giants to 175 yards passing. They won the tackles for loss and quarterback hit differentials in the game.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 1-3-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Panthers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Chiefs are 5-3-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Panthers have gone 2-7-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chiefs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Panthers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Chiefs vs. Panthers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -310 | -607 | -7 | -11 |
| Panthers | +250 | +440 | +7 | +11 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Kansas City -11
The Chiefs continue to dominate in almost every aspect of the game. With their high-octane offense and relentless playmaking ability, it’s tough to see Carolina keeping this close, let alone pulling off the upset.
The betting total is set at a modest 41.5, but even that feels ambitious for the Panthers, who’ve struggled to find the end zone consistently. Kansas City, by contrast, is more than capable of putting up points in bunches. Whether it’s Patrick Mahomes lighting it up through the air or their defense capitalizing on mistakes, the Chiefs are built to handle games like this.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as 11-point road favorites in this week 12 matchup between the Chiefs and Panthers. We have the Chiefs winning by a score of 27-14, and with the Panthers at +11, our pick is to take the Chiefs to cover.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 41.5 points, we have these teams combining for 41 points. The line is too tight, I’d say wait for some late movement or pass on the total here.
For bettors, the spread and moneyline heavily favor Kansas City, but with their recent dominance, it’s hard to argue against them continuing their winning ways. Buckle up—this one could get wild!
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
It’s live!
Watch here: https://t.co/OSmgLEYqey https://t.co/WJceEqqNQa
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) November 21, 2024
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