Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Jaguars vs. Saints Odds
Looking for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints free NFL Week 7 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jaguars taking on the Saints on Thursday, October 19th at the Caesars Superdome. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Jacksonville New Orleans matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(4-2) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints (3-3)
Thursday Night Football – Amazon Prime
Date: Thursday, October 19th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans LA
NFL Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Jacksonville +2 | New Orleans -2
Week 7 NFL Moneyline Odds: Jacksonville +109 | New Orleans -133
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39
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This week in NFL betting, we’ve got the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2, 4-2 ATS) facing off against the New Orleans Saints (3-3, 1-4-1 ATS) on Thursday Night Football, available on Amazon Prime. The game is set for Thursday, October 19th, at 8:15 ET in the Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA.
Here are the latest NFL odds for Week 7:
- Point Spread: New Orleans -2
- Moneyline Odds: Jacksonville +109 | New Orleans -133
- Over/Under Total: 39
A quick look at the stats reveals that the Jaguars have struggled at the Caesars Superdome, with a 0-3 record, failing to cover the spread in their last five meetings.
In their seven encounters, the Jaguars have won two games while the Saints have secured victory in five of them.
Last season, the Jaguars and Saints did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Saints have the leg up at 3-0. The Saints also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 38 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
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Jacksonville Jaguars
Going into week 7, Jacksonville is 1st in the AFC-South with an overall record of 4-2. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 4th place. The Jaguars hold a 4-2 record against the spread. As we approach week 7, their scoring margin stands at +3.3 per game.
Even though the Jaguars did not score in the first-quarter, they still recovered to pick up the win. Offensively, they finished with 233 yards while giving up 354 yards to the Colts. Going into the game, Jacksonville was favored by 4 and went on to cover the spread. Trevor Lawrence threw for 181 yards while completing 66% of his passes and throwing for 181. Lawrence threw for two touchdowns.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Jacksonville’s offense finished with 233 yards of total offense vs. the Colts. On third down, the Jaguars converted at a rate of 28.6%. Travis Etienne Jr. was the Jaguars’ top rusher with 55 yards while Trevor Lawrence threw for 181 yards.
The Jacksonville offense is currently positioned 10th in the league, scoring an average of 23.7 points per contest.
The Jaguars currently rank 11th in tackles for loss and 11th in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 20.3 points per game and 345.7 yards per contest against them.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints enter their matchup against the Jaguars with a 3-3 record. This mark puts them 3rd in NFC-South. In the NFC overall standings, they are 10th. When it comes to the spread, the Saints have a 1-4-1 record. Heading into week 7, their scoring margin is at +2.2 (per game).
Even after possessing the football for 31:33 vs. the Texans, the Saints still fell to the Texans. On the ground, the Saints averaged 3.6 yards per attempt and went 6/15 on 3rd down. The Texans ran for 120 yards and threw for 177.
New Orleans also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 2.5 point favorites. Derek Carr threw for 353 yards while completing 64% of his passes and throwing for 353. Carr threw for one touchdown.
New Orleans Saints Stats
New Orleans’ offense generated 430 total yards against the Texans. On third downs, the Saints managed a conversion rate of 40%. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing with 68 yards, while Derek Carr passed for 353 yards.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Saints currently hold an average of 18.2 points per game, which places them at 22nd in the NFL.
Looking at New Orleans’ defense, they currently stand 6th in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 16 points per game and 278.3 yards per contest against them.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jaguars are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Saints are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Jaguars are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Saints have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jaguars’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Saints’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Jaguars vs. Saints Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jaguars | -110 | +101 | -1.5 | +2 |
Saints | -106 | -123 | +1.5 | -2 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: Jacksonville +2
Jacksonville are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against New Orleans, and are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against New Orleans.
On the point-spread, I have the Jaguars covering as road underdogs. At +2, there is good value on the Jaguars.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 47 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 39.
My model has this landing at 55. Vegas is way off!
Vegas isn’t giving credit to the Saints for this, I think their offense is better than being advertised, they just had a ton of red-zone issues last week. I think they’ll clean things up to help push this one OVER.
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
#TNFOnPrime
This @Saints RB duo was purely electrifying. ⚡
🎥: @NFLLegacy pic.twitter.com/R6537Tng04
— NFL on Prime Video (@NFLonPrime) October 17, 2023
NICE!
@NFLonPrime pic.twitter.com/D8aOWaLxH7
— Charissa Thompson (@CharissaT) October 17, 2023
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