Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Jaguars vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jaguars taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, September 8th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Jacksonville Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 8th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Jacksonville +3 | Miami -3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Jacksonville +141 | Miami -170
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49.5
- Live Betting Odds for the upcoming Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins Week 1 game!
- Want more NFL football regular season predictions like this Jaguars Dolphins play? Check out our free NFL Week 1 AI Picks for today!
- View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
Jaguars vs. Dolphins Gameday
Week 1 NFL football is here, and it’s time to dive into one of the most exciting matchups of the weekend: the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. the Miami Dolphins. With both teams coming in fresh at 0-0, this game promises to set the tone for their seasons. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM ET at Hard Rock Stadium, and with the Dolphins favored by 3 points, the action is heating up!
Buckle up and get ready for a thrilling start to the NFL season. This Week 1 clash could set the tone for some big winnings if you’re playing it right!
The Jaguars and Dolphins did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Jaguars have a record of 2-1. The Jaguars also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 36 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville finished the 2023 season with a 9-8 record, placing 2nd in the AFC South with a 4-2 division record. The Jaguars were strong on the road, going 5-3, but struggled at home with a 4-5 record. They were also 7-4 as the favorite and 2-4 as the underdog. Within the AFC, they were 6-6, and they wrapped up the season 9th in the conference, just missing out on the playoffs.
Against the spread, the Jaguars were 9-8 overall, with a 7-4 mark as the favorite and 2-4 as the underdog. Their over/under record was 8-9, and their games averaged 44 points per game. Their ATS record was 9-8, going 5-3 ATS on the road and 4-5 ATS at home.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Jacksonville’s offense finished 20th in the NFL last season, averaging 22.2 points per game, which was 15th in the league. They were better on the road, where they scored 23.8 points per game, ranking 7th compared to 20.8 points per game at home (23rd). The Jaguars were 12th in yards per game, averaging 339.5 yards per contest, and 16th in yards per play, with 5.2.
The Jaguars struggled to run the ball, finishing 23rd in rushing yards per game and 31st in rushing yards per attempt. However, they were 9th in passing yards per game, averaging 242.7 yards, and were 7th in passing attempts per game, averaging 36.5 attempts per contest. Additionally, Jacksonville ranked 15th in third down conversion percentage.
Christian Kirk, who had 787 receiving yards on 57 catches last year, is set to begin his 7th season in the league. He played in 12 games for the Jaguars last year and averaged 7.8 fantasy points per game. Gabe Davis, who joins from the Bills, had 746 receiving yards on 45 catches last year. The Jaguars are also adding rookie Brian Thomas Jr. to bolster their receiving corps.
Expert NFL Betting Picks
Looking for more NFL betting picks? Check out today’s featured premium plays from CappersPicks handicappers, including sides, totals, and weekly NFL betting packages.
Despite finishing 16th in points allowed at 21.8 per game, the Jaguars’ defense was the 7th best unit in the league last season. They forced 27 takeaways, which was the 5th best figure in the NFL. In terms of yards allowed, they were 19th in the league, giving up 342.8 yards per game. They also held opposing offenses to a 36.5% conversion rate on third downs.
Jacksonville’s defense was tough against the run, allowing just 4.2 yards per attempt, which was 7th best in the league. However, they struggled in the secondary, giving up 239.8 passing yards per game and allowing opponents to convert on 36.5% of their third down attempts.
Miami Dolphins
Miami went 4-1 in non-conference games and finished 4-2 in the AFC East, placing 2nd behind the Patriots. The Dolphins were 11-6 overall, earning a playoff spot as the 6th seed in the AFC. However, their playoff run was cut short in the Wild Card round, as they fell 26-7 to the Chiefs. Miami excelled against below .500 teams last season, going 10-1, but struggled against teams with winning records, going 1-6.
As favorites, the Dolphins went 10-2 but were just 1-5 as the underdog. At home, they were strong with a 7-2 record, but they were below .500 on the road at 4-5. Their games averaged a league-high 51.1 points last season, resulting in an even 9-9 over/under record. Miami’s record against the spread was 10-8, with a 9-3 record as favorites and 1-5 as underdogs.
Miami Dolphins Stats
At home, the Dolphins went 7-2, but on the road, they were 4-5. Miami’s playoff run ended in the Wild Card round with a 26-7 loss to the Chiefs. The Dolphins finished the 2023 regular season with an 11-6 record, placing 2nd in the AFC East and earning the 6th playoff seed in the AFC. They were tough as favorites, going 10-2 but struggled as underdogs, going 1-5.
Against the spread, the Dolphins were 10-8, with a 9-3 record as favorites and 1-5 as underdogs. Miami’s over/under record was 9-9, with their games averaging a league-high 51.1 points per game. When facing teams with winning records, the Dolphins went 1-6, but they dominated below .500 teams with a 10-1 record.
Heading into his 4th season, Jaylen Waddle is the top returning wide receiver for the Dolphins, finishing last season with 1,014 yards and four touchdowns on 72 catches. He is joined by Tyreek Hill, who was acquired from the Chiefs and is entering his 9th season. Hill had a big year last season, with 1,799 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns. Braxton Berrios, who had 238 yards and one touchdown, is also back for Miami.
Miami’s defense was one of the best at generating pressure last season, finishing 3rd in sacks and 1st in quarterback hits. Despite this, they allowed 23.2 points per game, ranking 22nd in the league. The Dolphins were better at home, giving up 17.3 points per game (6th), compared to 29 points per game on the road (28th).
Overall, they allowed 323.3 yards per game, placing them 17th in our power rankings. The Dolphins also forced 27 takeaways, giving them the 5th best figure in the league. However, their run defense was only 25th in the league, allowing 4.6 yards per attempt.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jaguars are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jaguars’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Jaguars vs. Dolphins Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | +152 | +141 | +3.5 | +3 |
| Dolphins | -186 | -170 | -3.5 | -3 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Jacksonville +3
Now, as a sharp bettor, you’ve got to love what Jacksonville is bringing to the table. Sure, Miami’s got the edge on the moneyline at -170, but with Jacksonville sitting at +141, there’s real value in backing the underdog to make this a tight contest. Our expert analysis suggests a high-scoring affair with a projected final of 30-27 in favor of Miami, but don’t sleep on the Jaguars to cover that 3-point spread. In fact, my play for this game vs. the spread is to take the Jaguars to cover as road dogs.
With a total of 49.5, this game has shootout potential written all over it. If you’re looking for that sweet spot, the over looks tempting given the offensive firepower both teams can unleash. Keep an eye on live betting opportunities during the game, because with two unpredictable teams like this, there’s bound to be some profitable swings.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 49.5 points, we have these teams combining for 57 points, making the over a good bet to take.
Best Sportsbooks For Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Gambling Today!
- 50% Reload Bonuses
- Daily Player Promos
- Live Dealer Casino
- Crypto Deposits
- Same-Game Parlays
- Casino + Poker
- Same-Game Parlays
- Overnight Lines
- Progressive Jackpots
- Reduced-Juice Lines
- 7% Racebook Rebate
- 100% Crypto Bonus
- VIP Cash Rewards
- Live Betting & Props
- High Betting Limits
In Canada? Try Bodog!
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Week 1️⃣ work pic.twitter.com/Q7Ey8UAEvM
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) September 5, 2024
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special NFL Regular Season Offers!
