Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Jaguars vs. Colts Odds
Looking for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts free NFL Week 1 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jaguars taking on the Colts on Sunday, September 10th at the Lucas Oil Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Jacksonville Indianapolis matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Jacksonville -5 | Indianapolis +5
Week 1 NFL Moneyline Odds: Jacksonville -228 | Indianapolis +190
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Last year, the Jaguars and Colts split their head-to-head matchups with each team going 1-1.
The Jaguars and Colts split their games vs. the spread last season. Together they combined to average 42.5 points per contest and finished with an over/under mark of 1-1.
In these head-to-head matchups, the Jaguars’ offense averaged 355 yards per game compared to the Colts at 326.
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Jacksonville Jaguars
During the previous season, the Jaguars compiled a regular season record of 9-8 and ended in 1st in the AFC-South. Their season concluded in the Divisional Round, marked by a loss to the Chiefs with a score of 27-20.
Within divisional games, the Jaguars achieved a 4-2 performance. On their own turf, they went 6-3, while on the road, they posted a record of 4-6.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Offensively, the Jaguars averaged 23.9 points per game in 2022, putting them 9th in the NFL. In the passing game, they finished 9th in passing attempts and averaged 233.5 yards per game through the air.
When looking at their running game, the Jaguars were 5th in yards per attempt.
On the defensive end, the Jaguars are coming off a season in which they gave up an average of 21.4 points per game, putting them 13th. Overall, opponents averaged 352.0 yards per game vs. Jacksonville.
In terms of turnovers, the Jaguars forced 27 takeaways, which was 3rd in the NFL.
Indianapolis Colts
After a season in which they concluded with an overall record of only 4-12-1, the Colts are looking to take a step forward this season.
Within the AFC-South, Indianapolis secured a 3rd place finish and went 1-4-1 record against divisional rivals.
When playing on their home turf, the Colts went 2-6, while they held a 2-6-1 record when competing on the road.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
The Colts finished last season ranked 26th in yards per game on an average of 17.0 points per game (30th). In the passing game, Indianapolis ranked 10th in passing attempts and 23rd in passing yards.
Their ground game saw the Colts average 109.8 yards per contest (23rd).
The Colts’ defense is coming off a season in which they were 27th in points allowed and gave up an average of 334.0 yards per game (15th).
When looking at how they got after the quarterback, Indianapolis was 6th while also finishing 17th in quarterback hits while hitting the QB on 15.5% of their dropbacks.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jaguars are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Colts are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Jaguars are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Colts have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jaguars’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Colts’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Jaguars vs. Colts Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | -167 | -228 | -3 | -5 |
| Colts | +137 | +190 | +3 | +5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Indianapolis +5
I like the Colts as home underdogs, and I believe there’s value on the spread.
The Lawrence vs. Richardson matchup marks an exciting start to the year. The Colts are introducing their first-round pick into the mix, bolstering their already youthful offense featuring Zack Moss, Michael Pittman Jr., and Alec Pierce. It’s a call to action for these young talents to step up their game in the absence of Taylor.
I believe this game will be more closely contested than most anticipate, primarily due to the strength of the Colts’ defense. Their familiarity with the Jaguars’ offensive strategies means there won’t be many surprises. I also have reservations about the Jags offensive line.
I expect Defensive Coordinator Gus Bradley to have his unit well-prepared for Week 1. While I don’t expect Richardson to reach Cam Newton’s level just yet, I do think he has the potential to surprise.
The preseason performance of the Colts doesn’t carry much weight in my assessment. I foresee this game staying competitive, with Indy keeping it close.
Their current odds are +5, and I’m placing my bet at this number.
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
No off days for QB1. pic.twitter.com/CDtvLH5JWg
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) September 7, 2023
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