Free NFL Pre-Season Pick: Jaguars vs. Falcons Odds
Looking for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Atlanta Falcons free pre-season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jaguars taking on the Falcons on Friday, August 23rd at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Pre-Season games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Jacksonville Atlanta matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(2-0) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Atlanta Falcons (2-0)
Date: Friday, August 23rd
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Jacksonville -7 | Atlanta +7
NFL Moneyline Odds: Jacksonville -334 | Atlanta +257
NFL Betting Total: O/U 35.5
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Jags vs. Falcons Gameday
Get ready for some serious Week 3 preseason action as the undefeated Jacksonville Jaguars square off against the equally unbeaten Atlanta Falcons this Friday night! This matchup is loaded with intrigue, and I’ve got the inside scoop for all you NFL betting enthusiasts.
Jacksonville rolls into Mercedes-Benz Stadium as a 7-point favorite, and with good reason. The Jags are shifting gears into regular-season mode, which means you can expect to see their star players on the field.
There was just one meeting between the Jaguars and Falcons last year, with the Jaguars winning 23-7 at home. The Jaguars were favored by -3.5 points heading into the game, giving them both a straight-up and against the spread win. The game finished with a combined total of 30 points, which was below the over/under line of 42.5 points.
Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars are now 2-0 in the preseason after a 20-7 win over the Buccaneers. Jacksonville was favored by -3.5 in this one, and the 13-point win gave them a comfortable ATS victory. The combined 37.5-point total fell short, and the Jaguars picked up a 20-7 win.
Jacksonville didn’t score until late in the 2nd quarter, with Mac Jones finding Parker Washington for a touchdown with 7:36 remaining. After that, the Jaguars added a field goal with five seconds left in the 2nd quarter to take a 10-7 lead. In the 3rd quarter, C.J. Beathard found Austin Trammell for a touchdown, and Mac Jones added another touchdown in the 4th quarter, this time to Brevin Easton.
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- 2nd Quarter, 7:36 – JAX scores: Mac Jones passed to Parker Washington for a touchdown. Score: JAX 7, TB 0.
- 2nd Quarter, 2:54 – TB scores: Kyle Trask passed to Cody Thompson for a touchdown. Score: JAX 7, TB 7.
- 2nd Quarter, 0:05 – JAX scores: Cam Little kicked a 26-yard field goal. Score: JAX 10, TB 7.
- 3rd Quarter, 11:06 – JAX scores: C.J. Beathard passed to Austin Trammell for a touchdown. Score: JAX 13, TB 7.
- 3rd Quarter, 8:46 – JAX scores: Cam Little kicked a 44-yard field goal. Score: JAX 13, TB 7.
- 4th Quarter, 5:14 – JAX scores: Mac Jones passed to Brevin Easton for a touchdown. Score: JAX 20, TB 7.
- 4th Quarter, 1:47 – TB scores: John Wolford passed to Sal Cannella for a touchdown. Score: JAX 20, TB 13.
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Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Jacksonville’s offensive line allowed five sacks in their most recent game, despite coming out with a 20-7 win over the Buccaneers. The Jaguars picked up 21 first downs and rushed for 140 yards on 38 attempts. Mac Jones, who completed 16 of 23 passes for 210 yards and two touchdowns, led the passing game. The Jaguars also had a good day on third down, converting 52.9% of their chances.
Gary Brightwell was the leading rusher with 43 yards, while Austin Trammell caught four passes for a team-leading 75 yards. The Jaguars finished with 199 passing yards and averaged 6.6 yards per pass attempt.
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The Jaguars’ defense was tough in their most recent game, allowing just 207 yards and 15 first downs to the Buccaneers. They held Tampa Bay to 76 yards rushing on 16 attempts. Despite giving up 131 yards through the air, Jacksonville held the Buccaneers to just 7 points in their 20-7 win. The defense also recorded three sacks and limited Tampa Bay to an 18.2% conversion rate on third down.
Atlanta Falcons
Despite the Falcons’ 13-12 loss to the Ravens, they were in position to win their most recent pre-season game, taking a 3-0 lead after a 54-yard field goal from Younghoe Koo in the 1st quarter. Atlanta fell to 0-2 with the 1-point defeat. The Falcons missed a field goal with 11:59 remaining in the 2nd quarter, but they still managed to take a 10-6 lead on a touchdown from Taylor Heinicke to Chris Blair. However, the Ravens responded with two touchdowns to take the lead for good.
Atlanta’s missed opportunities continued in the 3rd quarter, as they missed a field goal early on and the Ravens extended their lead with a touchdown. The Falcons did score with 39 seconds left in the 4th quarter, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback. The Falcons missed multiple field goals throughout the game.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
The Falcons’ offense struggled in their 13-12 loss to the Ravens, managing just 192 yards passing and no touchdowns. They finished with 20 first downs and 151 yards on the ground. Taylor Heinicke was the leading passer, going 8/16 for 114 yards, and Jase McClellan led the team in rushing with 55 yards and one touchdown.
Chris Blair led Atlanta with 91 receiving yards, 32 of which came on one catch. The Falcons’ running game averaged 4.9 yards per attempt, but their inefficiency on third down (30.8% conversion rate) contributed to their lack of scoring.
In their 13-12 loss to the Ravens, the Falcons’ defense allowed 84% completions to opposing quarterbacks. They gave up just 71 rushing yards on 30 attempts, but the Ravens still managed to finish with 301 total yards. Atlanta’s defense allowed two passing touchdowns and 230 yards through the air, with an opponent yards per attempt of 9.2.
The Falcons’ defense managed two sacks and held the Ravens to just 4 rushing first downs. Despite this, Baltimore was able to make key plays in the passing game to come out with the narrow victory. Atlanta’s defense also struggled on third downs, allowing the Ravens to convert 46.7% of their third down attempts.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jaguars are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Falcons are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Falcons have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jaguars’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Jaguars vs. Falcons Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | -210 | -334 | -4.5 | -7 |
| Falcons | +175 | +257 | +4.5 | +7 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Atlanta +7
Atlanta, leading the all-time series 5-4, is taking a more cautious approach. Rookie quarterback Penix Jr. is riding the bench, having already logged plenty of snaps in practice.
But here’s the kicker: despite Jacksonville’s recent struggles against Atlanta, where they’ve gone 1-4 both ATS and SU in their last five meetings, the momentum is shifting. With the Jaguars dialing in and the Falcons playing it safe, the -7 line looks ripe for the taking.
Our pick vs. the spread for this Jaguars vs. Falcons pre-season matchup is to take the Falcons to cover as home underdogs. Right now, the line is sitting at +7 in favor of the Jaguars, and our predicted final score is 24-13 in favor of the Jaguars.
For the over/under, with the line at 35.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 37 points.
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Your favorite safety’s favorite safety#NFLTop100 pic.twitter.com/Gfx3nL4Zgs
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) August 21, 2024
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