Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Colts vs. Giants Odds
Looking for Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Colts taking on the Giants on Sunday, December 29th at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Indianapolis New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(7-8) Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants (2-13)
Date: Sunday, December 29th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Indianapolis -7.5 | New York +7.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Indianapolis -418 | New York +322
NFL Betting Total: O/U 40.5
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Over the last three times playing each other, the Colts have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Giants went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 3-0 on an average of 55 points per game.
Indianapolis Colts
With a 7-8 record, the Colts sit 2nd in the AFC South, but they have just a 13% chance of making the playoffs and rank 25th in our power rankings. Indianapolis is 6-5 in conference games and 2-3 in the division. They are 4-3 at home and 3-5 on the road.
The Colts are 9-6 against the spread, including 6-4 as underdogs and 3-2 as favorites. Their average scoring margin is -2.7 points per game. Their O/U record is 8-7, with the over hitting in three straight games.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Heading into week 17, the Colts rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game (21.2) and passing yards per game (185.9), while ranking 8th in rushing yards per game (135.2) and rushing attempts per game (28.6). On 3rd down, they are 21st in the league with a 37.2% conversion rate, and they rank 12th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 16, the Colts scored 38 points in a win over the Titans, with 24 points in the 2nd quarter. Jonathan Taylor had a big game, rushing for 218 yards and 3 touchdowns on 29 carries. Anthony Richardson threw for 131 yards and a touchdown, completing 7 of 11 passes.
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In their 38-30 win over the Titans, the Colts’ defense gave up 242 passing yards on 23 completions. Despite allowing two passing touchdowns, they intercepted three passes and held Tennessee to a 67.6% completion rate. The Colts defended the run well, allowing just 65 yards on 22 attempts.
On third downs, the Colts allowed the Titans to convert 45.5% of their chances. Indianapolis also came away with one sack and had a positive differential in quarterback hits and tackles for loss.
New York Giants
The Giants head into week 17 against the Colts looking to snap a 10-game losing streak. New York’s record now stands at 2-13, with their last win coming in week 5 against the Seahawks. Since then, they’ve dropped eight straight, including a 34-7 loss to the Falcons in week 16. The Giants were 9.5-point underdogs in that game, but they couldn’t cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 4-11 this season.
With an average scoring margin of -9.8 points per game, the Giants rank 31st in our NFL power rankings. They have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs or winning the NFC East. In O/U betting, New York is 5-10, with their games averaging 38.5 points per contest.
New York Giants Stats
Heading into week 17, the Giants are 31st in the NFL in points per game (14.3) and rank last in the league in total offense, averaging 292.3 yards per game. Despite ranking 7th in passing attempts, they are 29th in passing yards per game, with 185.4. On the ground, New York is 22nd in rushing yards per game, with 106.9, on 24.6 attempts per contest.
In week 16, the Giants scored just 7 points in a loss to the Falcons, failing to score in the 1st, 3rd, and 4th quarters. Drew Lock threw for 210 yards (22/39), with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Malik Nabers led the team with 7 catches for 68 yards, while Tyrone Tracy Jr. had 26 rushing yards on 7 carries.
In their 34-7 loss to the Falcons, the Giants’ defense struggled to generate pressure, finishing with no sacks and losing the quarterback hit differential by -4. Despite this, they did manage to force one interception. The Giants allowed 202 passing yards on 18 completions and gave up 127 rushing yards on 38 attempts. Overall, the defense allowed just 7 points offensively and 329 total yards.
Opponents converted on 57.1% of their third down attempts against the Giants, and they were unable to get off the field consistently on defense. Even though they allowed 329 yards, the Giants didn’t give up any big plays, as the Falcons didn’t have any pass plays over 40 yards or any rush plays over 20 yards.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Colts are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Colts are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Giants have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Colts’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Giants’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Colts vs. Giants Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -130 | -419 | -2 | -7.5 |
| Giants | +110 | +322 | +2 | +7.5 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Indianapolis -7.5
Our projected final score for this week 17 matchup between the Colts and Giants is 28-20 in favor of the Colts. With the Giants sitting at +7.5 point favorites, we are going with the Colts to not only win but cover the spread.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 40.5 points, we have these teams combining for 45 points, making the over our top pick for this matchup.
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Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
🔟 things to watch in Giants vs. Colts ⤵️
📰: https://t.co/qnBxRDJ9PG pic.twitter.com/poT688mQ4e
— Matt Citak (@MattCitak) December 27, 2024
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