Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Colts vs. Vikings Odds
Looking for Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Colts taking on the Vikings on Sunday, November 3rd at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Indianapolis Minnesota Sunday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
Sunday Night Football on NBC
(4-4) Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings (5-2)
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis MN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Indianapolis +5 | Minnesota -5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Indianapolis +197 | Minnesota -240
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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Buckle up for Sunday Night Football! Week 9 brings us a tantalizing matchup between the Indianapolis Colts (4-4) and the Minnesota Vikings (5-2) in the heart of Minneapolis.
The Colts lead this historic series 18-8-1, but it’s the recent memory that’s still etched in fans’ minds: that jaw-dropping comeback last December when the Vikings erased a 33-0 deficit, rallying to win 39-36 in overtime.
The Colts and Vikings did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Colts have a record of 2-1. The Colts also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 50 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
It’s high stakes, it’s prime time, and this rematch has “betting excitement” written all over it!
Indianapolis Colts
Heading into week 9 with a 4-4 record, the Colts sit 9th in our power rankings and have a 64.0% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2nd in the AFC South, but their 1-3 division record is a concern. After two straight wins, Indy couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 8, losing 23-20 to the Texans. However, they did cover the spread as 5-point underdogs, bringing their ATS record to 7-1 this season.
Indy has covered the spread in six straight games, including two wins as the favorite and five as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +0.4 points per game. In terms of O/U, the under has hit in three consecutive Colts games, and their O/U record is 3-5 this season.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Heading into week 9, the Colts rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.9, and they rank 16th in yards per game with 326. Indianapolis is 20th in passing yards per game (198) and 19th in passing attempts per game (30.2). On the ground, they rank 15th in rushing attempts and 11th in rushing yards per game, averaging 128. The Colts are 19th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 37.6%, and they rank 17th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 8, Anthony Richardson struggled, posting a passer rating of 48 after completing 10 of 32 passes for 175 yards, with one touchdown and one interception. He was sacked 5 times. Jonathan Taylor led the Colts’ rushing attack with 105 yards on 20 carries, while Josh Downs had 4 receptions for 109 yards and a touchdown. Indianapolis scored 10 points in the 1st quarter and 7 in the 4th, but they converted only 2 of 13 3rd-down attempts.
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In their 23-20 loss to the Texans, the Colts’ defense allowed 267 passing yards on 25 completions. Houston converted on 30.8% of their third down attempts and finished with 363 total yards. Indianapolis defended the run well, allowing just 96 yards on 29 attempts (3.3 yards per attempt).
The Colts’ defense also recorded two sacks in the game and managed to win the tackles for loss battle by a margin of +5. Despite this, they gave up one passing touchdown and allowed the Texans to control the ball for 32 minutes.
Minnesota Vikings
After starting the season with five straight wins, the Vikings now find themselves on a two-game losing streak, including a 30-20 loss to the Rams in week 8. Minnesota was a 2.5-point favorite in that game, but they couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 5-2. They now sit 3rd in the NFC North and 6th in the conference standings. Despite the losing streak, our projections still give the Vikings a 67.1% chance of making the playoffs.
Heading into week 9, Minnesota is 11th in our NFL power rankings and has a +7.3 scoring margin this season. Against the spread, the Vikings are 5-2, but they’ve failed to cover in their last two games. Their O/U record stands at 3-4, with the over hitting in two straight.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Heading into week 9, the Vikings rank 12th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.9, and 18th in yards per game with 325. Sam Darnold had a passer rating of 128 in week 8, throwing for 240 yards and 2 touchdowns. Justin Jefferson led the team with 8 catches for 115 yards, and Aaron Jones rushed for 58 yards on 19 carries.
Minnesota has been strong in the 1st quarter, leading the league in scoring. They put up 14 points in the opening quarter against the Rams in week 8 but struggled on 3rd down, converting only 2 of 7 attempts. They did score on 2 of their 4 red zone trips.
In their 30-20 loss to the Rams, the Vikings’ defense gave up four passing touchdowns and allowed a completion percentage of 73.5%. They also allowed 279 passing yards and struggled to defend the big play, giving up 8.2 yards per attempt. Despite forcing one interception, they were unable to generate any sacks.
On the ground, the Vikings held the Rams to 107 rushing yards on 32 attempts, giving them an average of just 3.3 yards per attempt. However, the Rams found success through the air, finishing with 386 total yards in the game. Minnesota’s defense also struggled on third down, allowing the Rams to convert 40% of their third down attempts.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Colts are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Vikings are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Colts are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Vikings have gone 6-2-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Colts’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Vikings’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Colts vs. Vikings Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -110 | +197 | +1 | +5 |
| Vikings | -110 | -240 | -1 | -5 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Indianapolis +5
Minnesota opens as a 5-point favorite at U.S. Bank Stadium, yet savvy bettors know the Colts have been dynamite against the spread, going 7-1 ATS this season.
Road warriors?
Absolutely—Indy is 6-3 ATS in their last nine on the road and boasts an impressive 5-0 ATS streak against the Vikings. Expect a gritty, close contest, as every Colts game this season has been decided by one score, with their losses amounting to a razor-thin 14 points combined.
With Indy covering as underdogs five games running, this matchup promises serious edge for ATS backers, and those juicy live odds are worth watching as the night unfolds.
For this week nine Sunday Night Football matchup between the Colts and Vikings, we have the Colts now backed by Joe Flacco coming out on top by a score of 23-21.
With the Colts being 5-point road underdogs, we like them to not only win, but also cover the spread.
As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 46.5 points, we are leaning towards the under with a projected combined score of 44.
So grab your popcorn, tune in, and get ready for some Week 9 fireworks in Minneapolis!
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Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Ready to clash with the Colts on Sunday night.
📰: https://t.co/Bk1zG7qbya pic.twitter.com/osDfK5D7Wd
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) October 31, 2024
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