Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Colts vs. Broncos Odds
Looking for Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Colts taking on the Broncos on Sunday, December 15th at the Empower Field at Mile High. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Indianapolis Denver matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(6-7) Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos (8-5)
Date: Sunday, December 15th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver CO
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Indianapolis +4 | Denver -4
NFL Moneyline Odds: Indianapolis +170 | Denver -203
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44
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The Colts and Broncos are set to clash in Week 15, and this long-standing rivalry is as close as it gets. Indianapolis holds a razor-thin edge in the all-time series, 15-14, including postseason matchups.
Their last meeting was a grind-it-out affair—a 12-9 Colts victory in overtime back in 2022. Fast forward to 2024, and these two teams are in very different places.
The Colts and Broncos did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Colts have a record of 2-1.
However, against the spread the Broncos went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 0-3 on an average of 28 points per game.
Denver, sitting at 8-5, is surging behind rookie quarterback Bo Nix, and their recent performance against the spread (6-1 ATS in their last seven games) makes them a team to watch.
Indianapolis Colts
Heading into week 15, the Colts sit at 6-7, giving them a 25.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.9% chance of winning the AFC South. They currently rank 24th in our NFL power rankings. Indianapolis is 8-5 against the spread, with a +2.4 scoring margin. They are 6-3 ATS as underdogs and 2-2 as favorites.
The Colts snapped a two-game losing streak in week 13, narrowly defeating the Patriots 25-24. They couldn’t cover the 2.5-point spread but managed to get the win. The O/U line was 41 points, and the teams combined for 49. In week 12, the Colts lost 24-6 to the Lions and failed to cover as 7-point underdogs.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Heading into week 15, the Colts rank 25th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.5, and 23rd in yards per game, with 311.5. Indianapolis ranks 25th in passing attempts and passing yards, averaging 192.7 yards per game. On the ground, they are 17th in rushing attempts and 14th in rushing yards, with 118.8 per game. The Colts are 21st in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 36.6% success rate, but they are 13th in red zone conversion percentage.
Anthony Richardson threw for 109 yards in week 13, completing 12 of 24 passes with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 96 yards on 25 carries, while Michael Pittman Jr. led the team with 5 catches for 42 yards. The Colts scored in every quarter against the Patriots, putting up 7 points in the 1st, 7 in the 2nd, 3 in the 3rd, and 8 in the 4th.
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In their 25-24 win over the Patriots, the Colts’ defense allowed 200 rushing yards on just 31 attempts, including a big 6.5 yards per attempt. Despite this, they still managed to come out on top. The Colts’ defense gave up 422 total yards, but they did come up with four sacks and an interception to help their cause. The Patriots also converted on 54.5% of their third downs.
In the passing game, the Colts allowed 80% of New England’s passes to be completed for 222 yards. However, they did hold the Patriots to just one passing touchdown.
Denver Broncos
Denver heads into week 15 against the Colts on a three-game winning streak, including a 41-32 win over the Browns in week 13. The Broncos were 6.5-point favorites and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 10-3 this season. They’ve covered in four straight games and are 6-0 as favorites.
At 8-5, the Broncos have a 73.6% chance of making the playoffs, but they have no shot at winning the AFC West. They rank 22nd in our power rankings and are 4-4 in conference games and 2-2 in the division. Denver is 4-2 at home and 4-3 on the road.
Denver Broncos Stats
Heading into week 15, the Broncos rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in points per game (23.5) and 21st in yards per game, averaging 320.2. Denver ranks 20th in passing yards per game (209) on 33.6 attempts per game, while their rushing attack is also 20th, with 111.2 yards per game on 26.4 attempts. The Broncos are 16th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate (37.9%) and 19th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 9th in red zone attempts.
Bo Nix threw for 294 yards in week 13, completing 18 of 35 passes with one touchdown and two interceptions. Marvin Mims Jr. led the team with 105 receiving yards on 3 catches, while Jaleel McLaughlin rushed for 84 yards on 14 carries. Denver scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against the Browns, after scoring 13 in the 4th quarter in week 12 and 10 in week 11.
Despite allowing 552 total yards, the Broncos’ defense came up with three interceptions in their 41-32 win over the Browns. Cleveland had a 47.4% third-down conversion rate and completed 58.6% of their passes. Denver gave up 475 yards through the air, with four passing touchdowns.
The Broncos’ run defense held up well, allowing just 77 yards on 23 attempts (3.3 yards per attempt). They also managed three sacks and had a +8 advantage in quarterback hits.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Colts are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Colts are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Broncos have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Colts’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Broncos’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Colts vs. Broncos Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -142 | +169 | -2.5 | +4 |
| Broncos | +120 | -202 | +2.5 | -4 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Denver -4
At Mile High, Denver have been dominant, going 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
Meanwhile, Indianapolis is limping into this matchup at 6-7. The Colts are just 1-4 ATS in their last five outings, with a 2-4 SU record over their last six games.
Their offense has struggled to find consistency, making it hard to trust them against a Broncos squad that’s heating up at the right time.
Our pick against the spread is to take the Broncos to cover as home favorites in this week 15 matchup between the Colts and Broncos. Right now, the line is sitting at -4 in favor of the Broncos, and we have them winning 28-20.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 44 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 48 points. This gives us a lot of value in taking the over with the line at just 44 points.
Denver’s strong defense and balanced attack could spell trouble for the Colts, who need to pull out all the stops to keep this one competitive.
Expect plenty of action in this pivotal late-season showdown as Denver looks to cement their playoff push!
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Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Thursday’s edition of #BroncosIn60 is here!
🔹 Garett Bolles signs 4-year extension
🔸 DC Vance Joseph focused on stopping Colts’ key players #INDvsDENWATCH⤵️ pic.twitter.com/LcuJrIHQeH
— Elisa Hernandez (@EHernandezTV) December 13, 2024
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