Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Texans vs. Jets Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. New York Jets free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Jets on Thursday, October 31st at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Houston New York Thursday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime
(6-2) Houston Texans vs. New York Jets (2-6)
Date: Thursday, October 31st
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Houston +2 | New York -2
NFL Moneyline Odds: Houston +107 | New York -128
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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Week 9 is here, and Thursday Night Football brings a juicy AFC clash between two teams with dramatically different vibes this season: the Houston Texans (6-2) taking on the New York Jets (2-6) under the MetLife lights.
With the Jets stumbling at home, covering just twice in their last eight matchups, and a 2-8 home record in their last ten, this is a team struggling to find its rhythm.
Houston, on the other hand, comes in hot after a divisional win over the Colts, and they’re playing like a team with playoff ambitions.
Last season, the Texans and Jets did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Jets have the leg up at 2-1.
The Jets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-0-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 40 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Houston Texans
Heading into week 9, the Texans sit at 6-2, giving them a 94.9% chance of making the playoffs and an 83.2% chance of winning the AFC South. They currently rank 13th in our NFL power rankings. Houston is 5-0 in conference play and 3-0 in the division, and they are 4-0 at home but just 2-2 on the road.
Against the spread, the Texans are 3-5, with a +1.1 scoring margin.
In week 8, the Texans bounced back from a week 7 loss to the Packers by beating the Colts 23-20. Houston couldn’t cover the 5-point spread, but they did cover in week 7, losing to Green Bay by just 2 points as 3-point underdogs. The over/under in that game was 47.5, and the teams combined for 46 points. The under has hit in Houston’s last two games.
Houston Texans Stats
Heading into week 9, the Texans are 17th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 14th in the NFL in scoring with 23.5 points per game and are 9th in total yards, averaging 351.4 per game. Houston is 8th in passing attempts and passing yards per game, with 232.5.
On the ground, they average 118.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks 18th in the league.
In week 8, C.J. Stroud threw for 285 yards and a touchdown, completing 25 of 37 passes. Joe Mixon had 102 rushing yards on 25 carries, and Stefon Diggs led the team with 5 catches for 81 yards.
Houston scored 3 points in the 1st quarter, 14 in the 2nd, and 3 in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.
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The Texans’ defense played well on third downs in their 23-20 win over the Colts, allowing just a 15.4% conversion rate. Despite this, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 163 yards on just 26 attempts.
Houston’s run defense will need to improve, as they allowed the Colts to gain 6.3 yards per attempt on the ground.
Against the pass, the Texans allowed only 140 yards through the air on 10 completions. They also came away with five sacks and held the Colts to a 31.2% completion percentage.
New York Jets
After a week 3 win over the Patriots, the Jets have now dropped five straight games, including a 25-22 loss to New England in week 8. New York was a 7-point favorite in that matchup, but the loss dropped their record to 2-6, leaving them 4th in the AFC East.
Our projections give the Jets a 9.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 1% chance of winning the division.
Heading into week 9, the Jets rank 16th in our NFL power rankings. Their average scoring margin this season is -2.5 points per game, and they are 2-6 against the spread. Their O/U record is 4-3-1, with the over hitting in each of their last three games.
New York Jets Stats
Heading into week 9, the Jets rank 20th in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.8 points per game, and 23rd in total yards, with 310.6 per game. New York has been pass-heavy, ranking 4th in pass attempts and 12th in passing yards per game.
Aaron Rodgers threw for 233 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 8, posting a passer rating of 111.
In the run game, the Jets rank 30th in the NFL, averaging 86.1 rushing yards per game. Breece Hall had 80 yards on 16 carries in week 8. On 3rd down, New York ranks 11th in the league with a conversion rate of 39.8%.
In their 25-22 loss to the Patriots, the Jets’ defense allowed just 136 passing yards and held New England to 4.5 yards per attempt in the passing game. They also limited the Patriots to 111 rushing yards on 31 attempts.
Despite this, New York allowed New England to convert 46.7% of their third down attempts.
The Jets’ defense recorded two sacks and held the Patriots to 247 total yards. New York’s defense also won the tackles for loss battle, finishing with three more tackles for loss than the Patriots.
Houston Texans vs. New York Jets NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Texans are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Jets are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Texans are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jets have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Jets’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Texans vs. Jets Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | +120 | +107 | +3 | +2 |
| Jets | -155 | -128 | -3 | -2 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Houston +2
In form C.J. Stroud has energized the Texans, showing poise beyond his years, while the Jets are still reeling from quarterback woes, with Aaron Rodgers’ not looking like his usual self.
Current betting lines have New York favored by 2, with Houston at +107 on the moneyline—a head-scratcher considering the Texans’ recent form and momentum. This matchup has the feel of an underdog upset.
The Jets’ offense has looked sluggish, while Houston’s defense and efficient play calling are setting them up for success.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Texans to cover as road underdogs in this week nine matchup between the Texans and Jets. The point spread lines have the Jets at -2, but we have the Texans winning 21-17, making them a good pick to cover.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 42 points, we are leaning towards the under, with a projected combined score of 37 points.
Look out for a spirited performance from Houston in primetime as they look to shake up the Jets’ home field!
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Houston Texans vs. New York Jets NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
HAPPY GAMEDAY 😈😈😈 pic.twitter.com/VfVHJIZRCV
— New York Jets (@nyjets) October 31, 2024
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