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Free AFC Division Round Prediction: Texans vs. Chiefs NFL Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL AFC Divisional Round picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Chiefs on Sunday January 12 at Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL postseason games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Houston Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping: 2020 AFC Divisional Round
(11-6) Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
Date: Sunday January 12
Time: 3:05 PM
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO.
NFL Divisional ATS Betting Lines: Kansas City -9
AFC Divisional Moneyline Odds: +340 / -440
AFC Divisional Round Betting Total: 49
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#NFL #Betting — #Texans vs. #Chiefs fans weigh in! Can the Texans pull the upset this weekend?
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Houston Texans
Down 13-0 to begin the second half, Houston rallied at home on Saturday to defeat the Bills in overtime, 22–19, and advance to play the Chiefs at Arrowhead in the Divisional Round.
The Texans’ defense was superb in the second half and held Buffalo to exactly one field goal in each quarter.
Deshaun Watson threw for a touchdown and ran for another. He finished twenty-of-twenty-five for 247 yards and was Houston’s leading rusher with fifty-five yards on the ground.
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But the Texans were fortunate Buffalo wasn’t able to extend its lead when it could have before Houston made its run. If it falls behind Kansas City in the first half there will likely be no comeback, especially considering this game is on the road.
Houston has won at Arrowhead this season, however. It came in Week 6, immediately after Kansas City suffered its first loss of the season and before Patrick Mahomes went out with a knee injury.
Houston got down, 17–3, in that game but scored three touchdowns in a flurry in the second quarter to take a lead into halftime and win by a touchdown, 31–24.
Watson ran for two touchdowns in that game and threw for 280 yards but it feels like such days were long ago for the Texans’ offense.
Not only has Watson only threw for 280 yards twice since then (he did it four times in the first seven weeks), he hasn’t gone over 300 since Week 7 against Indianapolis (he had three such games at that point).
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City hasn’t lost since November 10, the week before its bye.
The Titans beat the Chiefs on that day in Patrick Mahomes’ return from a two-week injury. But the Chiefs used the next week to rest up for a home stretch that saw them overtake the Patriots and roll into the AFC’s second seed to earn the bye.
Mahomes started fourteen games this season but only finished thirteen because he left the game he got hurt in the first half. He still threw for over 4,000 yards and actually posted a better touchdown-to-interception ratio than he did last year as the MVP.
Still, in Kansas City’s final six games (all wins), he threw for under 200 yards three times and over 300 just once.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Houston are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
- Houston are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games this season.
- Houston are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the AFC conference.
- Houston are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games when playing as the underdog.
- Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Chiefs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 playoff games.
- Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff home games.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Chiefs earn revenge but it stays within a touchdown.
When these two teams met in Week 4 it was supposed to be a shoot-out and the offenses didn’t disappoint.
Now, months later, it feels like neither offense is as explosive.
The Chiefs, however, are more balanced with the better offensive line. Mahomes should face less pressure than Watson on this day.
And pressure leads to bad decisions and bad decisions lead to turnovers. The Chiefs will force a couple in this game and get a win that might not be by as many points as the play on the field would suggest.
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