Free NFL Week 3 Pick: Texans vs. Jaguars Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars free NFL Week 3 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Jaguars on Sunday, September 24th at the EverBank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Houston Jacksonville matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(0-2) Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1)
Date: Sunday, September 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: EverBank Stadium
NFL Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Houston +9.5 | Jacksonville -9.5
Week 3 NFL Moneyline Odds: Houston +325 | Jacksonville -426
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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After two weeks of NFL action, we’re gaining valuable insights into each team’s form. This Sunday the Jaguars (1-1) will face off against AFC South rivals, the Texans (0-2), at TIAA Bank Field. The NFL betting line favors the Jaguars at -9.5, with the Over/Under set at 44 points.
For those picking winners, the Jaguars are -405 ML favorites, while the Texans sit at +360 as the underdogs.
Notably, the Texans are 0-2 ATS, and the Jags are 1-1 ATS.
Stay tuned to our NFL football handicapping blog for valuable insights into this thrilling showdown!
In the two head-to-head matchups last season, the Texans and Jaguars each picked up one win apiece. Together the Texans and Jaguars averaged 26.5 points per game and had an over/under record of 0-2. Against the spread, they each went 1-1.
The Jaguars had the edge in terms of offensive yards last season, averaging 379.5 yards of offense compared to the Texans at 262.5.
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Houston Texans
Entering week 3, the Texans are 4th in the AFC-South, and they’re in pursuit of their first win with a 0-2 record. So far this season, they’ve had one game at home and one on the road.
Taking a look at the Texans’ scoring margin this season season, it is currently at -13.5. This has resulted in an ATS record of 0-2.
Even though the Texans’ did a good job moving the ball on offense, racking up 24 first-downs, they still lost the Colts 31-20. Overall, the Texans finished with 389 yards of offense.
On the other side, the Colts rushed for 126 and threw for 227 yards. Houston also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 0.5 point favorites.
RB Dameon Pierce had a big game, throwing for 384 yards on a passer rating of 103. Stroud completed 63% of 47 attempts in the game.
Houston Texans Stats
Offensively, C.J. Stroud finished with 384 passing yards while completing 63% of his passes. On the ground, the Texans ran the ball 26 times for 52 yards. The team went 9/19 on third down.
When it comes to turnovers, the Houston defense has forced two takeaways, putting them the 6th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 28 points per game and yielding 309.0 yards.
Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars’ week 3 matchup vs. Houston will be their 2nd home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 0-1 and are 1-1 overall. In the AFC-South, Jacksonville is 1st and 3rd in the AFC.
The Jaguars’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +1. This has contributed to an ATS record of 1-1.
In the Jaguars’ 17-9 loss to the Chiefs, they finished with 271 yards of offense and only 18 first downs. The Chiefs’ offense threw for 298 against the Jaguars’ secondary and ran for 101 yards. Jacksonville’s 8 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3 point underdogs.
Trevor Lawrence did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 22 of 41 passes for 216 yards. Lawrence ended the game with a passer rating of 68.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Against the Chiefs’ defense, Trevor Lawrence led the way with 216 passing yards and a completion rate of 53%. On the ground, the Jaguars ran the ball 18 times for 74 yards. The team had 3 third-down conversions (25%).
Heading into this week’s matchup with the Texans, the Jaguars defense has given up an average of 19 points per game.
They are currently 9th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 339.5 yards per contest.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Texans are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Jaguars are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Texans are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jaguars have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Jaguars’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Texans vs. Jaguars Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | +270 | +349 | +7 | +9.5 |
| Jaguars | -335 | -452 | -7 | -9.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Houston +9.5
The side I’m playing on the spread, is to take the Texans on the road. Why? Let me tell you.
Stroud is still searching for his first win, but he has shown promise in his initial two starts. He’s averaging 313 passing yards per game with 2 TD’s and 0 INT’s, solid statistics to say the least (for a rookie). Additionally, the Texans’ ATS record as underdogs of 10 points or more was 4-1 last year.
Lawrence is 1-3 vs. the Texans. So far, Houston just might be his kryptonite.
The Texans are in line to cover as significant underdogs in Week 3. They hold a 5-2 record against the spread (ATS) in their last seven games against the Jaguars, and they boast an impressive 9-1 straight-up (SU) record in their last 10 matchups against the Jags.
With the line, sitting at +9.5 (or +10 in some places), I’d be looking to act now on getting some action on Houston.
For this week’s matchup, I’m going with the under. The over/under line of 44.5 is set higher than the lines in all of Houston’s previous games.
We believe this line is sitting to high for this matchup, and our expectation is that the game will not surpass 44.5 points.
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Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Texans Week ‼️#HOUvsJAX | #DUUUVAL pic.twitter.com/FO8m6ENv5R
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 20, 2023
Pressure leads to picks.@dunkindonuts | @BigXander95
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 19, 2023
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