Free NFL Week 13 Pick: Texans vs. Jaguars Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Jaguars on Sunday, December 1st at the EverBank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Houston Jacksonville matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(7-5) Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9)
Date: Sunday, December 1st
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Houston -4 | Jacksonville +4
NFL Moneyline Odds: Houston -202 | Jacksonville +168
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
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Week 13 NFL action heats up with a divisional clash as the Houston Texans (7-5) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) at EverBank Stadium. This rivalry has a storied past, with Houston dominating the series, winning 30 of their 45 meetings, including an earlier 24-20 victory this season.
The Texans have owned Jacksonville lately, going 11-2 straight up in their last 13 matchups and a perfect 5-0 in their last five visits to EverBank.
For the Jaguars, the big question is whether Trevor Lawrence will suit up as he battles a shoulder injury. His limited participation in practice this week leaves his status murky, and without him at full strength, Jacksonville faces an uphill battle.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Texans have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Jaguars went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 47 points per game.
Houston Texans
Heading into week 13, the Texans hold a 7-5 record, putting them atop the AFC South with a 3-1 division record. Our projections give Houston a 90.3% chance of winning the division and a 92.3% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 12th in our NFL power rankings. So far, the Texans are 5-7 against the spread, with a +1.4 average scoring margin. Their O/U record is 4-7-1, with the over hitting in two straight games.
After a big win over the Cowboys in week 11, the Texans couldn’t keep up the momentum, losing 32-27 to the Titans in week 12. Houston was an 8-point favorite in that game but couldn’t get the win at home. The 59 combined points easily went over the 40.5-point line.
Houston Texans Stats
Heading into week 13, the Texans rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.8 points per game, and 16th in total yards, with 336 per game. Houston ranks 15th in passing yards (221.4) and 20th in rushing yards (114.6) per game. They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 37% of their attempts, which ranks 22nd in the league. Despite being 6th in red zone attempts, they are 23rd in conversion percentage, at 14.3%.
C.J. Stroud threw for 247 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12, completing 20 of 33 passes, but he also had 2 interceptions and was sacked 4 times. Joe Mixon rushed for just 22 yards on 14 carries, while Nico Collins led the team with 5 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. Houston scored 17 points in the first half but managed only 3 points in the 4th quarter of their loss to the Titans.
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Despite their 32-27 loss to the Titans, the Texans’ defense put together an impressive performance in terms of generating pressure. They recorded a whopping eight sacks and also came up with one interception. However, they still allowed 237 passing yards on just 18 completions and gave up two passing touchdowns.
On the ground, the Texans allowed 132 rushing yards on 33 attempts. They forced Tennessee to convert on just 28.6% of their third down attempts, but the Texans still came up short in the end.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville heads into week 13 against the Texans looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 52-6 blowout loss to the Lions in week 11. The Jaguars are now 2-9, putting them 4th in the AFC South. They have a -9.8 scoring margin this season but are 6-5 against the spread, including a 5-2 record as underdogs.
Our projections give Jacksonville a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs and winning the division. They rank 28th in our power rankings. Their O/U record is 7-4, with their games averaging 47.6 points compared to a 45.3-point line.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Jacksonville’s offense has struggled, ranking 30th in the NFL with 290.8 yards per game and 23rd in points per game (18.9). They are 27th in passing yards (189.2 per game) and 25th in rushing (101.6 yards per game), with Mac Jones taking over at quarterback for Trevor Lawrence, who is dealing with a shoulder injury. The Jaguars are 30th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 31.9% success rate, but they rank 15th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 11, the Jaguars scored just 6 points in a loss to the Lions, with Mac Jones throwing for 138 yards and an interception. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team with 27 rushing yards on 12 carries, while Brian Thomas Jr. had 5 catches for 82 yards.
It was a tough game for the Jaguars’ defense, as they gave up 52 points in a blowout loss to the Lions. The Jaguars allowed 645 yards of total offense and 196 rushing yards on 43 attempts. On top of that, the Lions torched them through the air, with 449 yards and four touchdowns on 27 completions.
Jacksonville didn’t manage to sack the quarterback at all in this game and allowed the Lions to convert on 60% of their third down attempts. Additionally, opposing quarterbacks completed 81.8% of their passes against the Jaguars.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Texans are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Texans are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jaguars have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Jaguars’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Texans vs. Jaguars Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | -105 | -202 | +1 | -4 |
| Jaguars | -115 | +168 | -1 | +4 |
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: Houston -4
The Texans come in hot, buoyed by a steady offense and a defense that’s thrived in critical moments. With a 7-5 record, Houston is firmly in the playoff hunt, while the Jaguars have struggled mightily, dropping eight of their last ten games against AFC opponents.
The betting lines reflect the disparity, with Houston favored at -4 and a moneyline of -202. The total is set at a modest 43.5, hinting at a defensive battle unless one side finds its groove early. (which we think Houston will)
For this week 13 matchup between the Texans and Jaguars, we have the Texans coming out on top by a score of 33-17. With this projection, we like the Texans to cover the spread as road favorites. Right now, the line is sitting at -4 in favor of the Texans, and we have them covering this line with ease.
As for an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the OVER, with a projected combined score of 50, flying over the O/U line of 43.5.
With the Texans consistently handling Jacksonville and carrying all the momentum into this matchup, the stage is set for another exciting chapter in this AFC South rivalry. Buckle up—this one could get interesting!
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Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
89 Los Originals for the Jacksonville Jaguars
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— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) November 28, 2024
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