Free NFL Week 18 Pick: Texans vs. Colts Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts free NFL Week 18 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Colts on Saturday, January 6th at the Lucas Oil Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 18 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Houston Indianapolis matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 18
(9-7) Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts (9-7)
Date: Saturday, January 6th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis IN
NFL Week 18 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Houston +1 | Indianapolis -1
Week 18 NFL Moneyline Odds: Houston -105 | Indianapolis -116
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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The Colts currently hold a 9-7 record and have a chance to secure the AFC South title if they manage to defeat the Texans, coupled with the Jaguars losing to the Titans. Their defense has shown significant improvement as the season progresses.
As for the Texans, they regained momentum with the return of a healthy C.J. Stroud, allowing them to overcome the Titans.
With a 9-7 record, the Texans are in a critical position to clinch a playoff spot, and a victory against the Colts could even see them emerge as division champions.
During their first meeting, Colts secured a 31-20 win against Texans. Coming into the game, the Colts were the underdogs at +0.5 and picked up an ATS win.
The over/under line going into the game was 39.5 points, which the teams surpassed.
The Colts defeated the Texans 31-20 in their Week 2 matchup, even though C.J. Stroud had an impressive performance with 384 passing yards and 2 TDs.
The Texans have struggled in recent meetings, winning only once in the last 7.
Overall, in their 44 matchups since 2002, the Colts maintain an all-time 33-10-1 record against the Texans.
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Houston Texans
As week 18 approaches, Houston is in 3rd place in the AFC-South, coming in with an overall record of 9-7. In the AFC, they currently reside in 8th place.
The Texans have an ATS record of 8-8.
Key to the Texans’ win, was the fact that they got off to a good start in the first-quarter. Houston scored 3 points in the opening period. Overall, the Texans had 312 yards of offense compared to the 187 at 187.
Going into the game, Houston was favored by 5.5 and went on to cover the spread.
C.J. Stroud threw for 213 yards while completing 75% of his passes and throwing for 213. Stroud threw for one touchdown.
Houston Texans Stats
On offense, the Texans finished with 312 yards against the Titans. When it came to third downs, the Texans had a 27.3% conversion rate.
Leading the ground game was Devin Singletary with 80 yards, and Stroud contributed 213 passing yards.
The Texans offense has been better at home this year, averaging 24.6 at home compared to 19 on the road. In terms of overall scoring, they are 13th in the league.
Defensively, Houston is 12th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 20.9 points per game while gaining 328.9 yards per contest.
Indianapolis Colts
In the AFC-South standings, the Colts are placed 2nd with a record of 9-7. Within the AFC, Indianapolis holds the 7th spot as they approach week 18.
The team comes in with an ATS mark of 9-7.
After taking an early four-point first quarter lead, the Colts went on to pick up the win. For the game, they averaged 6 yards per play leading to a total of 349 yards of offense. Defensively, they allowed 84 yards rushing and 9.5 yards per completion.
Even though Indianapolis won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 3.5 point favorites.
Gardner Minshew threw for 224 yards while completing 65% of his passes and throwing for 224. Minshew threw for one touchdown.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Offensively, Minshew ended with 224 passing yards with a completion rate of 65%. The Colts ran the ball 29 times, gaining 134 yards. The team converted 6 of 13 third-down opportunities.
So far this season, the Indianapolis offense has been averaging 23.6 points per game, ranking them 9th in the league.
When it comes to yards allowed, the Colts rank 24th in the league, conceding an average of 352.6 yards per contest. Indianapolis’ defense has allowed 24.5 points per game, which has them 25th in the NFL.
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Texans are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Texans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Colts have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Colts’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Texans vs. Colts Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Texans | +106 | -105 | +1.5 | +1 |
Colts | -124 | -116 | -1.5 | -1 |
4* Free Week 18 NFL Betting Prediction: Indianapolis -1
Look for Indianapolis to get off a strong start on offense, as in their previous game they put up seven first quarter points. They’re a better team than that.
The Colts have been on a strong run, winning 6 out of their last 8 games, and they’ve particularly dominated at home against the Texans with a 16-4 record in their last 20 meetings.
When favored, the Colts have a solid 5-1 ATS record.
On the other hand, the Houston Texans have struggled, going 3-8 ATS in their last 11 matchups with Indianapolis and winning just 2 out of their last 11 games against the Colts overall.
Coming into the game, the Colts are favored by 1 on the road and we see them picking up the win and covering the spread.
With the over/under line for this week’s game being higher than the lines for all of Indianapolis’ previous games, I’m going with the under.
We believe this line is a little high for these teams, and our prediction is that the game will not exceed 47.5 points.
The UNDER has prevailed in 5 of Houston’s last 7 games and in 8 of their last 11 matchups against AFC South opponents. Similarly, the UNDER has been the trend in 6 of Indianapolis’ last 8 games when facing Houston.
Texans Colts NFL Handicapping
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Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
For a trip to the dance. #ForTheShoe pic.twitter.com/Yjcsy8Mr4r
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) January 2, 2024
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