
Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Texans vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Cowboys on Monday, November 18th at the AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Houston Dallas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(6-4) Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys (3-6)
Date: Monday, November 18th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Houston -7.5 | Dallas +7.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Houston -364 | Dallas +288
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Cowboys have the leg up at 2-1.
Over their last five, Dallas has four wins in this matchup.
However, against the spread the Texans went 2-0-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 40 points per game.
The Texans and Cowboys rivalry has been played 6 times thru the years. The Texans have won 2, Dallas 4.
The last matchup was 12/11/2022. A 27-23 Cowboys win in Dallas. “The Battle Of Texas” should be fun!
Houston Texans
Despite a two-game losing streak, the Texans remain in first place in the AFC South with a 6-4 record, including a 3-0 mark in division play. They have a 94.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 92.6% chance of winning the division, according to our projections. Houston ranks 13th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 11.
Against the spread, the Texans are 4-6, with a -0.2 average scoring margin. They are 2-5 ATS as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 2-7-1, with their games averaging 45 points compared to a 45.6-point line.
Houston Texans Stats
Heading into week 11, the Texans rank 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 14th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 22.4 points per game, and they sit 15th in passing yards per game with 218.7, on 34.4 attempts per game. On the ground, Houston ranks 18th in rushing yards per game, averaging 119.4 yards on 28.4 attempts. They’ve been strong in the first quarter, ranking 4th in the league in points scored.
C.J. Stroud threw for 232 yards in week 10, completing 19 of 33 passes, with one touchdown and two interceptions. Joe Mixon rushed for 46 yards on 25 carries, while John Metchie III led the team with 74 receiving yards on 5 catches. Houston scored all 23 of their points in the first half against the Lions, failing to score in the second half.
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The Texans’ defense gave up 240 yards through the air on just 15 completions in their most recent game against the Lions. Despite this, they forced five interceptions, but it wasn’t enough, as Houston lost 26-23. The Texans allowed Detroit to convert 58.3% of their third down attempts and gave up 105 yards on 32 rushing attempts.
Even though they defended the run well, holding the Lions to 3.3 yards per attempt, Houston didn’t manage to record a sack in the game and lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -6.
Dallas Cowboys
After a week 5 win over the Steelers, the Cowboys have now dropped four straight, including a 34-6 home loss to the Eagles in week 10. Dallas was a 7-point underdog in that game, but they couldn’t cover the spread, leaving them 2-7 ATS this season. They rank last in our power rankings heading into week 11, and we give them just a 0.9% chance of making the playoffs.
The Cowboys are 0-4 at home this season, but they’ve managed a 3-2 record on the road. In division play, they are 1-1, and they are 1-5 in conference games. Their O/U record is 5-4, with the under hitting in their last two games.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Heading into week 11, the Cowboys are 25th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (39.4) and rank 10th in passing yards, averaging 231.3 per game. On the ground, they are 27th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards, with 83.7 per game. Dallas ranks 21st in 3rd-down conversions and 20th in points per game, averaging 19.7. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 66.7% of their opportunities, which ranks 2nd in the NFL.
In week 10, Dallas struggled offensively, scoring just 6 points in a loss to the Eagles. Cooper Rush threw for 45 yards on 13/23 passing, while Rico Dowdle led the team with 53 rushing yards on 12 carries. Jake Ferguson had 4 catches for 24 yards. The Cowboys failed to score in the 2nd half and converted only 3 of 14 3rd-down attempts.
In the Cowboys’ 34-6 loss to the Eagles, their defense allowed 187 rushing yards on 38 attempts. Despite giving up a significant amount of yards on the ground, they did manage to sack the quarterback five times and held the Eagles to a 36.4% third-down conversion rate. Against the pass, Dallas allowed just 161 yards on 15 completions, but two of those completions went for touchdowns.
Even with the struggles against the run, the Cowboys did generate some pressure, winning the quarterback hit battle by +2. The defense also came up with one interception and limited the Eagles to a 68.2% completion percentage on their passes.
Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Texans are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Texans are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cowboys have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Cowboys’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Texans vs. Cowboys Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | +130 | -363 | +3 | -7.5 |
| Cowboys | -155 | +287 | -3 | +7.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Dallas +7.5
Our pick vs. the spread in this Texans vs. Cowboys matchup is to take the Cowboys to cover as home underdogs. The point spread line is currently at +7.5 in favor of the Cowboys, and we have the Texans pulling off the win 27-21.
For the over/under line, we have a predicted combined score of 48 points, making the over a great pick with the line sitting at just 42 points.
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Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Duelin’ in Texas 🤠@Kyle_Youmans provides updates ahead of our Monday Night game vs Houston#HOUvsDAL | @ATT pic.twitter.com/c9S78hfNHU
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) November 14, 2024
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