Free NFL Week 10 Pick: Texans vs. Bengals Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals free NFL Week 10 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Bengals on Sunday, November 12th at the Paycor Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Houston Cincinnati matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(4-4) Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals (5-3)
Date: Sunday, November 12th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati OH
NFL Week 10 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Houston +6.5 | Cincinnati -6.5
Week 10 NFL Moneyline Odds: Houston +243 | Cincinnati -316
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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In the history of the two teams, they’ve faced each other 10 times during regular seasons. Houston has won 6, including six out of the last 7.
That number will change this week, because as you scroll down you’ll see I’m on the Bengals this week!
The Texans and Bengals did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Texans have a record of 2-1.
However, against the spread the Bengals went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 36 points per game.
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Houston Texans
Houston is currently 2nd in the AFC-South this season, with an overall record of 4-4. In games outside the conference, they are 2-2 and in AFC games, they’ve gone 2-2.
Taking a look at the Texans’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +2.8. This has resulted in an ATS record of 4-4.
On offense, the Texans racked up 496 yards in their 39-37 win over the Buccaneers.
For the game, the Texans ran for 53 yards on an average of 3.1 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed 332 yards of total offense with 251 yards coming through the air and 81 on the ground.
Even though Houston won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 2.5 point favorites. C.J. Stroud threw for 470 yards while completing 71% of his passes and throwing for 470. Stroud threw for five touchdowns.
Houston Texans Stats
Offensively, Stroud finished with 470 passing yards while completing 71% of his passes. On the ground, the Texans rushed the ball 17 times for 53 yards. The team converted 3 of 11 third-down opportunities.
At 23.4 points per contest, the Houston offense is 11th in the league.
Defensively, the Texans come into the game allowing an average of 238.0 passing yards per game and 97.0 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Houston ranks 14th among other defenses.
Overall, they are giving up 20.6 points on 335.0 yards.
Cincinnati Bengals
Looking at the AFC-North standings, the Bengals are in 4th place on a record of 5-3. In the AFC, Cincinnati is in 7th place heading into week 10. The Bengals’ current scoring margin stands at -0.9, which has them coming in with a 4-4 ATS record.
Offensively, the Bengals started strong by scoring 14 points in the first quarter. They concluded the game with a total of 397 yards, while the Bills finished with 317 yards.
Going into the game, Cincinnati was favored by 1.5 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Joe Burrow had a big game, throwing for 348 yards on a passer rating of 108. Burrow completed 70% of 44 attempts in the game.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
Against the Bills, the Bengals ran the ball 22 times, with Joe Mixon as the primary rusher, accumulating 37 yards. Burrow attempted 44 passes, amassing 348 yards and a passer rating of 108.
Offensively, the Bengals have an average of 19.4 points per game, which positions them 23rd in the NFL.
So far the Bengals’ defense has given up an average of 364.0 yards per game and 20.2 points per contest (11th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 63.5% and have given up 10 passing touchdowns.
Against the run, they are 26th in the NFL.
Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Texans are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bengals are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Texans are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bengals have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Bengals’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Texans vs. Bengals Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | +300 | +245 | +8.5 | +6.5 |
| Bengals | -375 | -312 | -8.5 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: Cincinnati -6.5
Cincinnati’s passing offense is poised for another strong outing, given their recent success against Buffalo. With a -6.5 spread in their favor at home I’m backing Cincinnati to cover.
I don’t trust the Texans defense enough to be able to cover Higgins and Chase. Burrow should have his way on Sunday. Sprinkle in a little Mixon and you’ve got the makings of a 10-14 point win here. The Texans can make it interesting, but they’re not trading punches with Cinci in this one.
The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Houston and Cincinnati finishing with a combined UNDER 43 points.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Bengals last 10, and the UNDER has worked out for UNDER bettors in 4 of Houston’s last 5.
With the over/under line sitting at 46.5, I’m getting a bet down on the UNDER.
WAY UNDER. This is a strong lean. I have a lot of love to give to the Bengals roster construction. Their D can ball, and this is only the beginning of a really tough stretch of games. They’ll be focused for this one knowing they have to have it to get the standings in their favor.
They’ve got the Ravens, Steelers and Jags coming up. Back That Defense Sunday!
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Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
This is what I was talking about above… The D Can Ball!
71% of the world is covered by water… the other 29% is covered by @CamTaylorBritt_
Week 9 stats:
1 reception allowed, 0 yards
1 INT
2.8 passer rating allowed pic.twitter.com/isW969GcWY— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) November 7, 2023
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