Free NFL Pick: Texans vs. Ravens Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Ravens on 10/5 at M&T Bank Stadium, in Baltimore. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Texans Ravens free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens
(1-3) Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens (1-3)
Date: Oct 05, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD
NFL Moneyline Odds: Texans -124 | Ravens +103 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Texans -1.0 | Ravens +1.0
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 40
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Texans vs. Ravens Gameday
Week 5 brings the Houston Texans into Baltimore for a clash with the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. Kickoff is set for Sunday, October 5 at 1:00 PM on CBS. Both teams sit at 1-3 and badly need a win to stay relevant.
The Texans finally broke through last week, blanking Tennessee 26-0 in a defensive statement. DeMeco Ryans’ group is still winless on the road, but that shutout showed flashes of a team capable of punching up.
Now they get a tougher test against an AFC heavyweight.
Meanwhile, the Ravens are also stuck at 1-3 after a 37-20 loss to Kansas City. John Harbaugh’s club has been better at home (1-1) and will lean on M&T’s edge.
However, with injuries stacking up, Baltimore has less margin for error than usual.
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2025 NFL Football Handicapping
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Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers give Houston the slightest nod. The Texans sit -125 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the spread, while the Ravens are a +105 home dog. The total is just 36.5, so sportsbooks are expecting more grind than fireworks.
Houston’s defense stole headlines in Week 4, pitching a shutout against the Titans. On the flip side, Baltimore’s defense looked shaky letting the Chiefs hang 37 points. Both teams have been inconsistent, which makes this matchup a coin flip in perception.
Recent history leans Ravens — they’ve beaten the Texans in every meeting since 2017. That includes last year’s 31-2 demolition.
Houston may be favored this time, but trends aren’t on their side.
Ravens Stats
Baltimore’s offense still has juice, led by Lamar Jackson’s 869 passing yards and league-high 10 touchdowns. His dual-threat ability adds 41 rushing yards a game, but a hamstring issue clouds his Week 5 status. Without him, this attack takes a major step back.
Defensively, the Ravens were second in sacks last season and remain dangerous up front.
Yet injuries to Roquan Smith and Justin Madubuike strip them of their core. That lack of depth is a real problem against a young Texans squad gaining confidence.
Still, M&T Bank Stadium has been kind to them, as seen in their Week 2 win over Cleveland. If Lamar plays, Baltimore is far tougher than their record shows.
But if he doesn’t, this team could be on the ropes early.
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Texans Stats
Houston’s 26-0 win over Tennessee was a tone-setter. C.J. Stroud threw for 233 yards and two scores, while Woody Marks chipped in 69 yards and a touchdown on the ground. For once, everything clicked.
Last season, the Texans finished middle of the pack on offense but thrived on defense. They were second in interceptions and fourth in sacks, a formula that carried into last week’s win. When this defense hunts, they look like a problem.
Injuries do sting, with Joe Mixon, Denico Autry, and Jimmie Ward out. But Stroud, Marks, and Nico Collins give the offense enough pop to stay competitive.
Meanwhile, Danielle Hunter and Derek Stingley Jr. lead a defensive core built to rattle quarterbacks.
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Texans vs. Ravens QB Matchup
Jackson remains the headline. Through four weeks, he’s got 869 yards, 10 touchdowns, and just one interception. His ability to protect the ball and still make splash plays makes Baltimore dangerous whenever he’s under center.
Stroud, though, has been steady and mistake-free. With 832 yards and four touchdowns — plus no interceptions — he’s proving efficient beyond his years.
Add in Nico Collins leading the team with 260 receiving yards, and Houston’s passing attack is quietly building rhythm.
Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens bottom line: If Lamar plays, he’s still the difference-maker. But if Stroud stays clean against Baltimore’s wounded defense, the Texans might actually have the upper hand on the road.
Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens Football Betting Trends
- The Texans are 6-1 against the spread as favorites in their last 7 regular season games.
- They have gone 4-0 against the spread in games with totals of 42 or less in their last 4 regular season games.
- In their last 4 games with totals of 42 or less, the Texans have hit the over 3 times.
- Also, the Ravens have hit the over in all of their last 5 regular season games.
- They are 4-0 on the over at home in their last 4 regular season games.
- Additionally, the Ravens have covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 regular season games.
Texans vs Ravens Prediction: Over 40.5
The trends strongly point toward points on the board in this matchup. The Ravens have gone over in five straight regular season games, while the Texans have cleared the number in three of their last four when the total closed at 42 or less.
Additionally, nine straight Ravens games following a loss have gone over the posted total, a streak that highlights how volatile they’ve been defensively.
Furthermore, Baltimore’s offense remains explosive, ranking third in scoring last season and continuing to put up numbers this year. That offensive output, paired with Houston’s ability to push games over low totals, makes 40.5 appear more than reachable.
On top of that, the Ravens have consistently covered at home, and those kinds of performances often align with higher-scoring outcomes. With M&T Bank Stadium providing a favorable setting, another high-tempo game feels likely.
The Ravens’ defense is a mess right now — they can’t stop anybody, and that opens the door for C.J. Stroud to get back on track.
If Lamar is ruled out, the Texans could even become slight favorites, but that doesn’t diminish the scoring outlook. Houston’s offense has shown it can take advantage of struggling defenses, and Baltimore’s unit has been just that.
Considering the combination of Baltimore’s scoring ability, Houston’s recent over trend, and the Ravens’ inability to get stops, the over 40.5 is the sharp play.
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
“Cooper’s a pro’s pro. He really dove into this offense, understands it extremely well.”https://t.co/DKmbh8E78w
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) October 1, 2025
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