Free NFL Divisional Round Pick: Packers vs. 49ers Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers free Divisional round picks & NFL odds? NFL playoff betting sees the Packers taking on the 49ers on Saturday, January 20th at the Levi’s Stadium, in Santa Clara, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE Divisional NFL predictions like this Green Bay San Francisco matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Divisional Round
(9-8) Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers (12-5)
Date: Saturday, January 20th
2024 NFL Playoffs – Divisional Round
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara CA
NFL Divisional Round ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay +10 | San Francisco -10
Divisional Moneyline Odds: Green Bay +364 | San Francisco -486
NFL Betting Total: O/U 50
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The Packers and 49ers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Packers have a record of 2-1. The Packers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 43 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Head-to-head, the Packers have a slight edge at 38-33-1. In their most recent clash, the 49ers won 13-10 on January 22, 2022, during the divisional round in Green Bay.
In their last games, the Packers defeated the Cowboys 48-32, while the 49ers had a bye and previously lost 21-20 to the Rams on January 7.
This week, the 49ers face immense pressure, while the Packers have nothing to lose. It promises to be an intense game, with the 49ers unable to afford a loss. The world expects them to win. No pressure.
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Green Bay Packers
The Packers head into their 11th road game of the season with a road record of 5-5 and have rattled off two straight wins away from home. Overall, the Packers are 9-8 and in 2nd place in the NFC-North.
The Packers have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 10-8. Their average scoring margin for this season is +2.7.
After taking an early seven-point first quarter lead, the Packers went on to pick up the win. For the game, they averaged 7 yards per play leading to a total of 415 yards of offense.
Defensively, they allowed 123 yards rushing and 9.4 yards per completion. Green Bay went into the game as the underdog (+7), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Jordan Love threw for 272 yards while completing 76% of his passes and throwing for 272. Love threw for three touchdowns.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Green Bay’s offense generated 415 total yards against the Cowboys. On third downs, the Packers managed a conversion rate of 60%. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing with 118 yards, while Love passed for 272 yards.
Green Bay’s offense comes in with an average of 23.9 points per game, which is currently 8th in the league.
The Packers’ defense has, on average, allowed 344.8 yards and 21.2 points per contest (12th).
Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 65.4% completion rate and yielded 21 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 28th in the NFL.
San Francisco 49ers
Leading up to their matchup with the Packers, the 49ers are 12-5. They currently sit 1st in the NFC-West and are in 1st place in the NFC. Looking at the 49ers’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +11.4.
This has led to an ATS record of 9-7-1.
Despite leading by seven heading into the 4th quarter, the 49ers went on to lose to the Rams. The Rams finished the game going 9/15 on third-down and put up 258 yards of total offense.
On the other end, the 49ers had a third down conversion rate of 50% and finished with 300 total yards. San Francisco also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 5.5 point favorites.
Quarterback Sam Darnold threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Darnold completed 61% of his passes for 189 yards.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
On offense, Darnold ended with 189 passing yards on a completion rate of 61%. On the ground, the 49ers ran the ball 29 times, amassing 125 yards. The team converted 5 third-downs at a rate of 50%.
Regarding their offense, the 49ers have an average 28.9 points per game, which places them 2nd in the NFL.
On defense, the 49ers are currently positioned 14th in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 17.5 points per game and gaining 303.9 yards per contest.
Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the 49ers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Packers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the 49ers have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The 49ers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. 49ers Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Packers | +371 | +364 | +10 | +10 |
49ers | -497 | -486 | -10 | -10 |
4* Free NFL Playoff Betting Prediction: Green Bay +10
The Packers, initially 2-5 with Love, improved offensively after Week 9. Now 8-3 with the second-best expected points added (EPA) per play, trailing only the 49ers.
Last week, the Packers limited Dallas to 16 points until the fourth quarter. Since November began, Green Bay has allowed just one first-quarter touchdown.
The Niners top ranked defense will take on QB Love, who’s red-hot. Love: 21 touchdowns, just one interception in his last nine games.
The kicker, San Francisco’s passing game struggled in their recent matchup against Los Angeles. I don’t anticipate a sudden improvement, which is why I’m favoring Green Bay as 10-point underdogs.
Purdy’s season passer rating is 113.0, guiding the NFL’s top offense for big plays. He threw 31 touchdowns (Love had 32) and had 11 interceptions in 16 games. How he goes, is how the Niners will go, but the Packers defense is no joke.
My choice for this game is the under as the over/under line is set higher than the lines in all of San Francisco’s previous games this season.
We see this line as too generous for these teams, and we anticipate the game will remain under 50.
Packers 49ers NFL Handicapping
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Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
See you Saturday night. #GBvsSF pic.twitter.com/iOPxvxrhFz
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) January 15, 2024
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