Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Packers vs. Vikings Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Vikings on Sunday, December 29th at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Minnesota matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(11-4) Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (13-2)
Date: Sunday, December 29th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis MN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay +1.5 | Minnesota -1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Green Bay +101 | Minnesota -123
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Vikings have the leg up at 2-1. The Vikings also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 45 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Green Bay Packers
With a 34-0 win over the Saints in week 16, the Packers improved to 11-4, putting them 2nd in our power rankings and giving them a 100% chance of making the playoffs. However, they have no chance of winning the NFC North, where they are 1-3 and sit 3rd in the division. Green Bay has won two straight games, including a 17-point victory over the Seahawks in week 15.
The Packers are 8-6-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +8.4 points per game. They have covered in two consecutive games, including a 34-point win over the Saints as 14-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 43.5 points, and the under hit, putting the Packers’ O/U record at 6-8-1.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Jordan Love has been playing well for the Packers, posting a passer rating of 88 in week 16, after throwing for 182 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions. In week 15, he threw for 229 yards and 2 touchdowns, and in week 14, he had a passer rating of 111. Josh Jacobs rushed for 69 yards and a touchdown in week 16, while Jayden Reed led the team with 76 receiving yards.
Green Bay’s offense is currently 6th in our power rankings, averaging 27.5 points per game, which ranks 7th in the NFL. They are 4th in the league in passing yards per game (230.1) and 11th in rushing yards per game (147.3). On 3rd downs, they rank 14th with a conversion rate of 38.6%.
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The Packers’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, pitching a shutout and allowing just 196 yards to the Saints in a 34-0 win. They limited New Orleans to 129 yards passing and just 67 yards rushing on 20 attempts. Green Bay’s defense recorded three sacks and came up with one interception.
Opposing quarterbacks completed just 50% of their passes against the Packers in this game. Additionally, the defense didn’t allow any touchdowns and held the Saints to a 36.4% conversion rate on third down.
Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings head into week 17 with an eight-game winning streak, bringing their record to 13-2 after a 27-24 win over the Seahawks in week 16. Minnesota covered the 2.5-point spread, and the combined 51 points went over the 43-point line. Before that, the Vikings had two straight double-digit wins, beating the Bears 30-12 in week 15 and the Falcons 42-28 in week 14.
Our projections give the Vikings a 100% chance of making the playoffs and a 23.7% chance of winning the NFC North. They rank 7th in our NFL power rankings and are 10-4-1 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 6-9, with their games averaging 44.8 points.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Heading into week 17, the Vikings are 10th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 26.4 points per game, which ranks 9th in the NFL. They average 346.3 yards per game (12th), with 235.3 passing yards per game (8th) on 30.9 attempts (18th). On the ground, they rank 17th with 111.1 rushing yards per game on 27.5 attempts (12th). Minnesota is 11th in 3rd-down conversions (40.6%) and ranks 8th in red zone attempts, but they are 24th in red zone conversion percentage (13.2%).
Sam Darnold threw for 246 yards (22/35) and 3 touchdowns in week 16 against the Seahawks, posting a passer rating of 112. Justin Jefferson had 10 catches for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Aaron Jones rushed for 67 yards on 18 carries. The Vikings scored 7 points in the 1st quarter, 10 in the 2nd, 3 in the 3rd, and 7 in the 4th.
In their 27-24 win over the Seahawks, the Vikings’ defense gave up 302 passing yards on 31 completions. They also allowed three passing touchdowns but managed to intercept two passes. The Vikings’ run defense held Seattle to 59 yards on just 15 attempts, while their two sacks helped them on third downs, where they allowed only a 20% conversion rate. Despite this, they still allowed 361 total yards.
Minnesota’s defense forced two interceptions and limited Seattle to a 20% third-down conversion rate. However, they did allow 302 passing yards and 361 total yards. The Vikings’ run defense held the Seahawks to 59 yards on 15 attempts. Minnesota also had two sacks in the game.
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Packers are 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Vikings have gone 4-3-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Vikings’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Vikings Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | -135 | +101 | -2 | +1.5 |
| Vikings | +114 | -122 | +2 | -1.5 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Green Bay +1.5
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Packers to cover as road underdogs in this week 17 matchup. Right now, the Packers are sitting at +1.5 point dogs, and we have them winning by a score of 28-23.
For the over/under, we really like the over, with a projected combined score of 50 points and the O/U line currently at 48.5 points.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
The experts are divided on what will happen in Sunday’s Border Battle.
📰: https://t.co/3Lqw9HOe46 pic.twitter.com/UCktxcCKbD
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) December 27, 2024
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