Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Packers vs. Rams Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Rams on Sunday, October 6th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(2-2) Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams (1-3)
Date: Sunday, October 6th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay -3 | Los Angeles +3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Green Bay -176 | Los Angeles +146
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48
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Get ready for Week 5 NFL action, and we’ve got an exciting one on tap! The Green Bay Packers head to Los Angeles to face the Rams, a matchup that hasn’t gone Green Bay’s way in California since 1966.
Green Bay won the most recent and only meeting between the Packers and Rams last year, coming out on top 20-3.
The Packers were favored by -4 points and took care of business, not only winning but covering the spread.
The game had a combined total of 23 points, which was below the over/under line of 37.5 points.
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay’s record is now 2-2 after they lost to the Vikings 31-29. The Packers were favored by -2.5, and with the 2-point loss, they failed to cover the spread. The combined 60 points easily surpassed the over/under line of 44 points. The Packers fell behind early, as the Vikings led 14-0 after the 1st quarter and 28-7 at halftime.
Green Bay did make a late push, scoring 22 points in the 4th quarter, but it wasn’t quite enough for the comeback. The Packers’ first points came with only 20 seconds left in the 2nd quarter when Jordan Love found Jayden Reed for a touchdown. In the 4th quarter, the Packers added two more touchdowns and a field goal, but the Vikings also kicked a field goal to help maintain their lead.
Green Bay Packers Stats
The Packers’ offense put up 379 yards through the air in their 31-29 loss to the Vikings, with Jordan Love throwing for 389 yards on 32 completions. Green Bay managed just 86 yards on 19 attempts. They finished with 24 first downs and 54 passing attempts. Love threw four touchdowns but also had three interceptions.
Jayden Reed led the team with 139 yards receiving and a touchdown. The Packers’ offense struggled on third down, converting just 33.3% of their chances, and they also allowed one sack.
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In their 31-29 loss to the Vikings, the Packers’ defense gave up 254 passing yards on 20 completions, including three passing touchdowns. Minnesota also found success on the ground with 120 rushing yards on 34 attempts. Despite allowing just 2 sacks, the Packers struggled to generate consistent pressure, losing the QB hit battle by a margin of -7.
Opposing quarterbacks completed 71.4% of their passes against Green Bay, and the Packers’ defense allowed the Vikings to convert on 36.4% of their third down attempts. The Packers’ offense put up 374 total yards in the game.
Los Angeles Rams
The Rams are now 1-3 after their 24-18 loss to the Bears. Los Angeles was on the road for this one, and they were +3 point underdogs, failing to cover the spread. The combined 42 points went over the total line of 40.5 points.
After taking a 3-0 lead in the 1st quarter, the Rams added two more field goals from Joshua Karty, finishing with 18 points. The Bears, however, scored 10 unanswered points in the 2nd quarter and added a touchdown in the 3rd to take a 17-9 lead going into the 4th.
Los Angeles Rams Stats
The Rams’ offense finished with 21 first downs and 119 rushing yards on 26 attempts in their 24-18 loss to the Bears. Despite the defeat, Matthew Stafford completed 20 of 29 passes for 224 yards. He was also sacked three times and threw one interception. The Rams’ offense failed to reach the end zone through the air, settling for 18 points and going 3-of-7 on third down.
Kyren Williams led the team in rushing with 94 yards, averaging 4.9 yards per attempt and scoring one touchdown. Tutu Atwell was the top receiver with 82 yards on four catches.
In their 24-18 loss to the Bears, the Rams’ defense allowed just 133 passing yards. Chicago found some success on the ground, rushing for 131 yards on 28 attempts, with a 4.7 yards per attempt average. The Rams’ defense also forced the Bears to convert on just 33.3% of their third down attempts.
Despite their strong pass defense, the Rams struggled to generate consistent pressure, losing the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials by -3 in each category. Chicago still managed to score one passing touchdown while completing 73.9% of their passes.
Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Rams are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Packers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Rams have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Rams’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Rams Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | +110 | -175 | +1.5 | -3 |
| Rams | -130 | +145 | -1.5 | +3 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles +3
But let’s cut to the chase: the Packers may hold a 4-1 edge in their last five meetings, but history won’t be the deciding factor here. The real play this Sunday? Take the OVER!
Here’s why: Both teams have struggled defensively, and the over has cashed in 10 of Green Bay’s last 13 games. Combine that with the Rams’ shaky defense and fast turf at SoFi, and we’re looking at a high-scoring affair.
Forget Green Bay’s -3 edge, I’m riding the total points. Both teams are 3-1 on overs this season, and neither defense is likely to keep pace with the offensive firepower on the field.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Rams to cover as home underdogs. The point spread line is sitting at -3 in favor of the Packers, and we have the Rams winning and covering by a score of 33-31.
For the over/under, with the line at 48 points, we are betting big on the OVER, with a projected combined score of 64 points.
Get ready for a shootout in sunny LA—bet big on the points, and let’s cash in!
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