Free NFL Week 14 Pick: Packers vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Lions on Thursday, December 5th at the Ford Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Detroit Thursday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime
(9-3) Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions (11-1)
Date: Thursday, December 5th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit MI
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay +3.5 | Detroit -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Green Bay +156 | Detroit -185
NFL Betting Total: O/U 51
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Get ready for a marquee Week 14 matchup as two NFC North heavyweights collide under the prime-time lights at Ford Field. The Detroit Lions (11-1), enjoying a dream season, take on their longtime rivals, the Green Bay Packers (9-3), in a clash that could shake up playoff seeding and division bragging rights.
These teams have a storied history dating back to 1929, with Green Bay dominating the all-time series 106–77–7.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Lions have the leg up at 2-1.
The Lions also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 47 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Detroit got the upper hand in their last meeting, a 24-14 victory on November 3rd, and is looking to sweep the season series for the first time in years.
Green Bay Packers
With three straight wins, the Packers now sit at 9-3 and have a 99.1% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 4th in our power rankings and 6th in the NFC, but they are just 1-2 in division games, which puts them 3rd in the NFC North. Green Bay is 4-1 on the road and 5-2 at home this season.
Against the spread, the Packers are 6-6, including two consecutive covers. In week 13, they beat the Dolphins 30-17, covering the 3.5-point spread. The combined score of 47 points was just under the 47.5-point line. Green Bay’s O/U record is 5-6-1 this season.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Jordan Love has been impressive in his last three games, posting passer ratings of 129 in week 13, 107 in week 12, and 112 in week 11. Against the Dolphins in week 13, he threw for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21-of-28 passing without an interception. Green Bay has also done a good job protecting him, as he wasn’t sacked in that game. On the ground, Josh Jacobs had 43 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries in week 13.
Heading into week 14, the Packers rank 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.5, and 3rd in yards per game with 382.4. Despite ranking 29th in passing attempts, they are 8th in passing yards per game. Green Bay has been strong in the first quarter, ranking 4th in the league in scoring.
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In their 30-17 win over the Dolphins, the Packers’ defense gave up 336 passing yards on 37 completions. However, they were tough against the run, allowing just 39 yards on 14 attempts. Despite the high passing yardage, the Packers limited Miami to 2.8 yards per attempt on the ground.
Green Bay’s defense recorded five sacks and held Miami to a 28.6% conversion rate on third downs. Even though the Dolphins had some success through the air, the Packers’ ability to pressure the quarterback was a key factor in the game.
Detroit Lions
With a 10-game winning streak, the Lions have taken over the top spot in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of making the playoffs. They are 11-1 overall and 3-0 in division games, putting them first in the NFC North. Detroit is 6-0 on the road and 5-1 at home, including a 23-20 win over the Bears in week 13.
Detroit is 9-3 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +15 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-6-1, with the under hitting in their last two games. Lions games have averaged 48.8 points this season, compared to an average O/U line of 49.6.
Detroit Lions Stats
Jared Goff has been consistent over his last three games, throwing for 221 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 13, with a passer rating of 100. He had a 93 rating in week 12 and a perfect 158 in week 11. Goff has not thrown an interception in his last three games. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the team in receiving in week 13, with 5 catches for 73 yards, after an 11-catch, 161-yard performance in week 11. David Montgomery rushed for 88 yards on 21 carries in week 13.
Detroit ranks 2nd in our offensive power rankings and leads the NFL in scoring, averaging 31.9 points per game. They are 2nd in the league in total yards per game (395.2) and 5th in passing yards per game (240.8), despite ranking 26th in passing attempts. The Lions are 4th in rushing yards per game, with 154.4, on 32.4 attempts per game.
The Lions’ defense gave up 223 passing yards to the Bears in their most recent game, but they were able to come away with a 23-20 win. Chicago completed just 51.3% of their passes against Detroit. The Lions’ defense was tough on third downs, allowing the Bears to convert just 46.7% of their third down attempts. Despite this, they did give up three passing touchdowns.
One of the highlights for Detroit was their pass rush, as they recorded five sacks and had a +7 advantage in the quarterback hit differential. The Bears only ran the ball 15 times, but they averaged 5.2 yards per attempt, finishing with 78 yards on the ground.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Lions are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Packers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Lions’ have an over/under record of 0-2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Lions Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | +120 | +156 | +2.5 | +3.5 |
| Lions | -142 | -185 | -2.5 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 14 NFL Betting Prediction: Green Bay +3.5
The Lions, favored by 3.5 points, have been nearly unstoppable this season, fueled by a potent offense and an opportunistic defense. But Green Bay isn’t going quietly—they’ve won six of their last seven games and are 15-5 straight up in their last 20 home games against Detroit.
Despite Detroit’s dominance on paper, Ford Field has often been a battleground for Packers victories, making this matchup a classic strength-versus-strength showdown.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take Green Bay to cover as road underdogs in this week 14 matchup vs. the Lions. Currently, the point spread lines have the Packers at +3.5, and we have them winning by a score of 26-24.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 51 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, as our projections have these teams finishing with a total of 50.
While Detroit boasts one of the league’s most efficient attacks, Green Bay has a knack for finding ways to win, especially in tight contests.
With playoff implications on the line and one of the league’s oldest rivalries reignited, this game promises to deliver the kind of passion and unpredictability that makes December football so thrilling. Buckle up—it’s going to be a wild ride!
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Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Get ready for prime time at @fordfield! pic.twitter.com/DobyzZU0hS
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) December 4, 2024
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