Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Packers vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions free NFL Week 12 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Lions on Thursday, November 23rd at the Ford Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Detroit matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(4-6) Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions (8-2)
Thanksgiving Day NFL Football
Date: Thursday, November 23rd
Time: 12:30 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit MI
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay +7.5 | Detroit -7.5
Week 12 NFL Moneyline Odds: Green Bay +282 | Detroit -368
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47
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When the Packers and Lions faced off for the first time, it was Lions who clinched a 34-20 win. Taking the point spread into account, Lions were the favorites by -2 and they covered it with a 14 point victory.
When the game started, the over/under line was 45 points, and both teams managed to surpass it.
Thanksgiving and football go way back, with the NFL hosting games on this holiday since the 1920s. Teams like the Lions and Cowboys have become Turkey Day traditions, giving fans a reason to gather around the TV and enjoy some gridiron action. Which game are you most looking forward to watching this Thursday?
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Green Bay Packers
Through 10 games, the Packers have a record of 4-6. This mark has them 3rd in the NFC-North and 8th in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Packers have a 5-5 record.
Heading into week 12, their scoring margin is at 0 (per game).
Despite a scoreless first quarter, the Packers managed to bounce back and secure the win. On the offensive front, they accumulated 397 yards, while allowing 394 yards to the Chargers.
Green Bay went into the game as the underdog (+3), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Quarterback Jordan Love had a big game, throwing for 322 yards on a passer rating of 108.
Love completed 67% of 40 attempts in the game.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Offensively, the Packers rushed the ball 28 times against the Chargers. Jayden Reed led the ground attack with 46 yards. Jordan Love made 40 passing attempts, accumulating 322 yards and achieving a passer rating of 108.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Packers currently hold an average of 20.2 points per game, which places them at 19th in the NFL.
Green Bay’s defense has come up with nine turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 10th in the NFL.
Heading into week 12, they are allowing 20.2 points per game and 327.9 yards.
Detroit Lions
In the NFC-North standings, the Lions are placed 1st with a record of 8-2. Within the NFC, Detroit holds the 2nd spot as they approach week 12. Against the spread, the Lions have a record of 7-3.
Their average scoring margin for the season is currently +4.3.
Despite a slow start with no first-quarter points, the Lions rallied and secured the win. They generated 338 yards on offense and gave up 334 yards to the Bears. Even though Detroit won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 8 point favorites.
Jared Goff threw for 236 yards while completing 65% of his passes and throwing for 236. Goff threw for two touchdowns.
Detroit Lions Stats
On offense the Bears finished with 22 rushing attempts, and David Montgomery was the leading rusher with 76 yards. In the passing game, Jared Goff threw the ball 35 times, accumulating 236 yards and a passer rating of 68.
At 27.2 points per contest, the Detroit offense is 6th in the league.
On the defensive front, the Lions currently hold the 14th position in tackles for loss and rank 16th in sacks.
Opponents are averaging 22.9 points and 313.0 yards per game against them.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Packers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Lions’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Lions Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Packers | +300 | +280 | +7.5 | +7.5 |
Lions | -375 | -365 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Green Bay +7.5
Did you know that Green Bay are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 against NFC teams? Well, I did, and that’s a contributing factor as to why I’m going with Green Bay to cover on the spread at +7.5.
Also, the Green Bay rushing offense is likely to exploit a Detroit defense this week! The Lions didn’t defend well against the run last week IMO, and they’ll also be wearing the pressure this week that DTown hasn’t won a game on Thanksgiving in 6 years.
Lock in Green Bay at +7.5. I never have faith in Detroit on Thanksgiving…so why should this game be any different?
I was talking to a Packers fan this week, and I mentioned they’re a team that needs one more good draft class. This might not be their year but I’m seeing some good things in Jordan Love. (Last week, he threw for 322 yards and two touchdowns in that win over the Chargers) They just need some more talent on this roster.
Heading into this matchup, Green Bay’s games have averaged 40.4 points per game. Given that the over/under line for this matchup is at 47, I’m taking the OVER (51).
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit’s last 7 games.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Coach Speak. (GD…he’s a big dude…)
"It's special." pic.twitter.com/13sfCGtEC2
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) November 21, 2023
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