Free NFL Wild Card Round Pick: Packers vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys free Wild Card Round picks & NFL odds? NFL playoff betting sees the Packers taking on the Cowboys on Sunday, January 14th at the AT&T Stadium, in Arlington, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Super Wildcard Weekend games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Dallas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Wild Card Round
(9-8, 9-8 ATS) Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys (12-5, 10-7 ATS)
2024 Super Wildcard Weekend
Date: Sunday, January 14th
Time: 4:30 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
NFL Wild Card round ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay +7.5 | Dallas -7.5
Wild Card Moneyline Odds: Green Bay +278 | Dallas -355
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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In 2023, the Dallas Cowboys were unbeatable at home, winning all 8 of their games, while the Green Bay Packers struggled on the road with only 4 wins out of 9.
The Packers secured a Wild Card spot by beating the Bears 17-9 at home, covering a 3-point spread, and finished strong with 3 straight wins and 6 out of their last 8 games.
In contrast, the Cowboys clinched the NFC East title with a commanding 38-10 road win against the Commanders.
These teams have history, with 38 matchups, where the Packers lead 21-17, including 8 playoff games.
Their last meeting was in 2022, a close game that went into overtime, and the Packers won 31-28. Green Bay has won their last 4 matchups against Dallas, including the past three in Dallas.
The Packers and Cowboys faced off one time last season with the Packers picking up a 31-28 win. The over/under line in last year’s matchup between the Packers and Cowboys was 44.5, which they surpassed with 59 point combined.
The Packers finished with the ATS win in this game. Offensively, the Packers finished with 415 total yards with 208 coming in the passing game and 207 on the ground.
The Cowboys finished with 421 yards of offense in the loss.
Their last playoff showdown was in 2016, which the Packers won 34-31.
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Green Bay Packers
As we enter the Wild Card round, Green Bay is in 2nd place in the NFC-North with an overall record of 9-8. In the NFC, they are currently in 7th place.
The Packers ATS record comes in at 9-8.
After trailing by one at halftime, the Packers put together a good second-half and ended up beating the Bears. Offensively, the Packers racked up 432 yards of total offense while going 7/10 on third down.
On the other end, the Bears ran for 75 and threw for 117.
Going into the game, Green Bay was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Jordan Love had a big game, throwing for 316 yards on a passer rating of 128.
Love completed 84% of 32 attempts in the game.
Green Bay Packers Stats
On offense, Love ended with 316 passing yards on a completion rate of 84%. On the ground, the Packers ran the ball 27 times, amassing 124 yards. The team converted 7 third-downs at a rate of 70%.
Regarding their offense, the Packers have an average 22.5 points per game, which places them 11th in the NFL.
The Packers’ defense has, on average, allowed 335.1 yards and 20.6 points per contest (10th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 65.4% completion rate and yielded 21 passing touchdowns.
In terms of run defense, they rank 28th in the NFL.
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas has a strong chance of winning due to their elite defense, which boasts the NFL’s top pass rush. Even after the season, Dallas’ defense maintained its impressive standing as the fifth-ranked unit in both scoring and total defense across the league.
The Cowboys come into their matchup against the Packers with a 12-5 record. In the NFC-East, they are 1st and 2nd in NFC overall standings.
The Cowboys’ have achieved an ATS record of 10-7 so far.
In the Cowboys’ win over the Commanders, the Cowboys’ offense finished with 440 yards of offense compared to the Commanders’ 180. The Cowboys went 6/10 on 3rd down, while the Commanders converted on 60% of their 3rd down attempts.
Going into the game, Dallas was favored by 13 and went on to cover the spread. Dak Prescott threw for 279 yards while completing 86% of his passes and throwing for 279.
Prescott threw for four touchdowns.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Against the Commanders, the Cowboys ran the ball 29 times, with Tony Pollard as the top rusher, gaining 70 yards. Dak attempted 36 passes, amassing 279 yards and a passer rating of 124.
The Cowboys come in with an average of 29.9 points per game which is 1st in the NFL.
The Cowboys currently rank 11th in tackles for loss and 9th in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 18.5 points per game and 299.7 yards per contest against them.
Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Cowboys are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Packers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cowboys have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Cowboys’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Cowboys Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Packers | +278 | +281 | +7.5 | +7.5 |
Cowboys | -355 | -364 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
4* Free Wildcard NFL Betting Prediction: Green Bay +7.5
While the Packers aren’t the favorites, they have a chance to win, and some think they’ll do well.
They’ve defied expectations all season and are one of the youngest playoff teams since 1977.
This makes them confident and relaxed, playing with less pressure. On the other hand, the Cowboys, led by Dak Prescott, have struggled in the playoffs, winning only 2 out of 6 games. If the Packers stay competitive, it could stress the Cowboys to perform better. All the pressure is on Dallas.
Despite being 7.5-point underdogs at away, Green Bay’s pass defense look good against Chicago’s in their last game. I like their chances to cover vs. Dallas.
I’m leaning towards the OVER, as we believe this line is too low for these teams.
In recent matchups, Dallas vs. Green Bay games have consistently seen high-scoring affairs.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’ last 5 games against Green Bay, and in 5 of their last 5 home games versus Green Bay. The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas’ last 15 games against NFC North opponents.
Similarly, Green Bay has seen high-scoring road games, with the total going OVER in their last 5 away games and in 5 of their last 5 road games against Dallas.
Packers Cowboys NFL Handicapping
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Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
SEIZED THE EAST ⭐️#DallasCowboys | @ntxford pic.twitter.com/PRiRyAZFvs
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) January 8, 2024
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