Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Packers vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears free NFL Week 1 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Bears on Sunday, September 10th at the Soldier Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Chicago matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 10th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Soldier Field
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Green Bay +1 | Chicago -1
Week 1 Week 1 NFL Moneyline Odds: Green Bay -103 | Chicago -119
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43
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Last season saw the Packers put together a 2-0 record in the two head to head matchups between the teams. The over/under under mark in these matchups was 1-1, with the team’s combining to average 42 points per contest.
When looking at the spread, the Packers went 2-0 in their head-to-head matchups. The Packers’ offense finished their head-to-head matchups with 385.5 yards per game of offense.
As for the Bears, they averaged 318.5 yards offensively.
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Green Bay Packers
The Packers are coming off a season in which they finished with an overall record of just 8-9. In the NFC-North, Green Bay was 3rd and went 3-3 against division opponents. At home, the Packers finished 5-4 while going 3-5 on the road.
Green Bay Packers Stats
To close out last season, the Packers offense was outgained in three straight games and finished the season ranked 16th in yards per contest (337.9). Green Bay’s season scoring average of 21.8 was 14th in the NFL while wrapping up the season, 15th in rushing and 17th in passing yards.
On third down, the team’s offense converted at a rate of 39.5%.
The Packers are coming off a season in which they were 15th in points allowed. Opposing team’s finished the year with an average of 21.8 points per game vs. the Packers defense. Green Bay’s run defense wrapped up the season 26th in the NFL, while opponents finished with a completion percentage of 65.7% vs. the Packers and a passer rating of 86.54.
Chicago Bears
The Bears are entering the new season after a previous campaign that saw them end with an overall record of 3-14. Within the NFC-North, Chicago finished 4th with a record of 0-6 record when facing divisional opponents.
At home the Bears concluded with a 2-7 record, and they went 1-7 on the road.
Chicago Bears Stats
Looking back to the Bears’ 2022 season, they finished 23rd in scoring at 19.2 points per game. Chicago was 1st in rushing yards, with an average of 177.4 yards per contest. In terms of overall yardage, the Bears were 27th (307.9) and finished with a red-zone conversion rate of 20.0%, which was 16th in the NFL.
On defense, the Bears finished the season ranked 30th in points allowed at 27.2 points per contest. On the road, Chicago gave up 29.8 points per game compared to 25 at home.
In terms of yardage, the Bears gave up 375.9 yards per game and finished the season 6th in turnovers.
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bears are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Packers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bears have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bears’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Bears Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | +100 | -105 | +1.5 | +1 |
| Bears | -121 | -118 | -1.5 | -1 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago -1
If you’re looking for a recommendation on the point-spread, taking the Bears at -1 is the way I’m playing this game. As home favorites, there is a lot of value at -1.
We’re going with the UNDER this week as well!
In 2023, the Bears have made significant improvements, while the Packers appear to have regressed, especially with Rodgers no longer in the picture. The Packers may face challenges in maintaining their relevance within the NFC North.
It’s my prediction that Chicago will undergo a transformation in 2023, emerging as perennial playoff contenders. I’m particularly excited about the dynamic duo of Justin Fields and DJ Moore, which has the potential to make a substantial impact.
If Fields makes strides this year, Moore will undoubtedly play a pivotal role.
Additionally, I anticipate that the consistently strong Bears’ defense will elevate the team to new heights.
The Bears have truly undergone a major transformation in preparation for the 2023 season.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/ChicagoBears/status/1699497117746610207
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