Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Lions vs. 49ers Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the 49ers on Monday, December 30th at the Levi’s Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit San Francisco matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(13-2) Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers (6-9)
Date: Monday, December 30th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Detroit -3.5 | San Francisco +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Detroit -196 | San Francisco +164
NFL Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the 49ers have the leg up at 3-0. However, against the spread the Lions went 3-0.
The over/under record in these matchups was 3-0 on an average of 65 points per game.
Detroit Lions
At 13-2, the Lions hold the top spot in our power rankings and have a 76.3% chance of winning the NFC North. They bounced back from a week 15 loss to the Bills with a 34-17 win over the Bears in week 16, covering the 6.5-point spread. The O/U line was 47.5, and the teams combined for 51 points.
Detroit is 10-4-1 against the spread, with a +12.9 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 8-6-1, with the over hitting in three straight games.
Detroit Lions Stats
Jared Goff has been on fire over the past three weeks, culminating in a 336-yard, 3-touchdown performance in week 16 against the Bears, where he posted a passer rating of 136. In week 15, he threw for 494 yards and 5 touchdowns, and in week 14, he had 283 yards and 3 touchdowns. Jameson Williams led the receiving corps in week 16 with 5 catches for 143 yards, following his 80-yard game in week 14. Amon-Ra St. Brown had a standout 193-yard game in week 15. On the ground, Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 109 yards on 23 carries in week 16.
Detroit enters week 17 ranked 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 32.9 points per game, and are 2nd in passing yards with 264.7 per game. Despite ranking 15th in pass attempts, they are 5th in 3rd-down conversions. However, they rank last in red zone conversion percentage.
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Despite giving up 323 passing yards to the Bears, the Lions’ defense came away with two sacks and limited Chicago to a 20% third-down conversion rate in their 34-17 win. The Bears managed only 59 rushing yards on 17 attempts. Detroit’s defense gave up 382 total yards, but Chicago struggled to sustain drives, finishing with just a 20% third-down conversion rate.
San Francisco 49ers
With two straight losses, the 49ers now sit at 6-9 this season, putting them 4th in the NFC West and 12th in the conference standings. After a week 14 win over the Bears, San Francisco couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing to the Rams in week 15 and the Dolphins in week 16. In their most recent matchup, the 49ers were 1.5-point favorites but fell 29-17 on the road.
Heading into week 17, the 49ers rank 9th in our NFL power rankings, despite having a -1.2 scoring margin this season. Against the spread, they are 5-10, including 5-8 as favorites and 0-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-7, with their games averaging 45.3 points per contest.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 22.1 points per game, which ranks 16th in the NFL, while they are 8th in yards per game with 365.7. They have been relying heavily on the pass, with 40 attempts in week 16, after 31 attempts in week 15 and 26 in week 14. Brock Purdy threw for 313 yards (26/40) and 2 touchdowns in week 16, with a passer rating of 95. He did have one interception and was sacked three times. In week 15, he struggled, with a passer rating of 45, throwing for 142 yards (14/31) with no touchdowns and one interception.
George Kittle has been Purdy’s top target, with 8 catches for 106 yards in week 16, following a 61-yard performance in week 15 and a 151-yard game in week 14. San Francisco ranks 10th in rushing, averaging 130 yards per game, but they will be without Jordan Mason, who is on injured reserve with an ankle injury. Isaac Guerendo had 57 yards on 16 carries in week 15, and Purdy led the team in rushing in week 16 with 26 yards on 4 carries.
The 49ers’ defense allowed 381 yards in their 29-17 loss to the Dolphins, struggling to stop the run as Miami gained 166 yards on 30 attempts (5.5 avg). San Francisco’s defense failed to record any sacks and lost the QB hit differential by -5. Despite this, they did limit the Dolphins to a 33.3% conversion rate on third downs.
In the passing game, the 49ers gave up 215 yards and allowed one touchdown. Opposing quarterbacks completed 64.7% of their passes against San Francisco.
Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 2-2-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Lions are 9-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the 49ers have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.
- The 49ers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. 49ers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +170 | -196 | +4.5 | -3.5 |
| 49ers | -205 | +164 | -4.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: San Francisco +3.5
Our pick against the spread is to take the 49ers to cover as home underdogs in this week 17 matchup vs. the Lions. The point spread line currently sits at -3.5 in favor of the Lions, and we have them winning by a score of 27-24.
For this game, we have a point-spread pick of taking the 49ers to cover at -3.5. And with the over/under line at 50.5 points, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 49 points.
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Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Kyle Shanahan is at the podium looking ahead to MNF. https://t.co/oi4uwfm0Oz
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) December 26, 2024
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