Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Lions vs. Vikings Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the Vikings on Sunday, October 20th at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit Minnesota matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(4-1) Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (5-0)
Date: Sunday, October 20th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis MN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Detroit +2.5 | Minnesota -2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Detroit +111 | Minnesota -133
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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Get ready for an electrifying Week 7 showdown as the Lions and Vikings renew their NFC North rivalry! This matchup may be steeped in history, with Minnesota dominating the series 80-43, but forget the past—this is the dawn of a new Lions era.
The Lions took both games against the Vikings last season, winning 30-24 in the first game and 30-20 in the second.
In both games, the Lions covered the spread, and each game had a line of 47.5 points.
The Lions were favored by -2.5 in the first game and -3.5 in the second.
Detroit Lions
Heading into week 7, the Lions hold the top spot in our NFL power rankings and have an 86.2% chance of making the playoffs. They also have a 41.4% chance of winning the NFC North. Detroit currently sits second in the division with a 4-1 record, including a three-game winning streak. After a week 2 loss to the Buccaneers, the Lions bounced back with wins over the Cardinals, Seahawks, and Cowboys, including a 38-point road win over Dallas in week 6.
Against the spread, the Lions are 4-1, with an average scoring margin of +12 points per game. They have been favored in all of their games so far and have covered the spread in three straight. Their O/U record is 2-3, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Detroit Lions Stats
Heading into week 7, the Lions sit 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 30.2 points per game, and rank 3rd in total yards with 416 per game. Detroit is 4th in passing yards (258.2) despite being 19th in pass attempts, and they are 4th in rushing yards with 157.8 per game on 33 attempts (3rd). On 3rd down, the Lions convert 44.8% of the time, ranking 6th in the league, but they are 24th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on just 13% of their trips.
Jared Goff has been on fire, posting a passer rating of 153 in week 6 after throwing for 315 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Cowboys. He had a perfect 18/18 outing in week 4, and in week 3, he threw for 199 yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception. Jameson Williams led the Lions in receiving in week 6 with 76 yards on 3 catches, while David Montgomery rushed for 80 yards and 2 touchdowns on 12 carries.
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In their 47-9 win over the Cowboys, the Lions’ defense was dominant, allowing just 198 passing yards and coming away with three interceptions. Dallas managed only 53 rushing yards on 17 attempts. Detroit’s defense also recorded four sacks and held the Cowboys to just a 23.1% conversion rate on third down.
The Lions’ defense limited Dallas to 251 total yards and kept them out of the endzone throughout the game. They also held the Cowboys to a 56.8% completion rate and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns.
Minnesota Vikings
Heading into week 7, the Vikings sit at 5-0, putting them first in the NFC North and in our power rankings. We give them an 86.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 37.1% chance of winning the division. Minnesota has a +12.6 scoring margin and is 5-0 against the spread, covering as both favorites (2-0) and underdogs (3-0).
The Vikings’ O/U record is 1-4, with their games averaging 43 points compared to a 44.2-point line. In week 5, they beat the Jets 23-17, with the teams combining for 40 points. Minnesota was favored by 2.5 points and covered the spread. In week 4, they edged out the Packers 31-29, covering as 2.5-point underdogs.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Sam Darnold had a rough outing in week 5, posting a passer rating of 50 after throwing for 179 yards with no touchdowns and one interception against the Jets. He completed 14 of 31 passes and was sacked four times. Justin Jefferson led the team in receiving for the third straight game, with 6 catches for 92 yards. On the ground, Ty Chandler had 14 carries for 30 yards.
Heading into week 7, the Vikings rank 12th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27.8, and lead the league in first-quarter scoring. Minnesota ranks 17th in passing yards per game (207.8) and 20th in rushing yards per game (115.4).
Minnesota’s defense came up with three interceptions in their 23-17 win over the Jets, despite allowing 218 passing yards and two touchdowns. The Vikings’ defense was tough against the run, allowing just 36 yards on 14 attempts (2.6 yards per attempt). They also held the Jets to a 29.4% conversion rate on third down.
Overall, the Vikings gave up 254 yards and 29 completions on 53.7% passing. They recorded three sacks and held the Jets to 4 yards per passing attempt. Although they gave up some big plays in the passing game, their ability to force turnovers was crucial in the win.
Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Vikings are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Vikings have gone 7-1-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Vikings’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. Vikings Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | -166 | +111 | -3 | +2.5 |
| Vikings | +140 | -133 | +3 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit +2.5
Detroit is roaring into Week 7 with a 4-1 record as underdogs in their last five, and they’ve been lighting it up indoors, thanks to Goff slinging for an average of 282 yards per game in controlled environments.
Even with the loss of Hutchinson, the Lions have the firepower to go toe-to-toe with the undefeated Vikings. Behind a surging offense led by Montgomery, Gibbs, and the ever-dangerous Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit’s balanced attack can exploit Minnesota’s defense, no matter their ranking.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Lions to cover as road underdogs in this week seven matchup between the Lions and Vikings. The point spread line has the Lions at +2.5, and we have them winning 28-23, making the Lions our pick to cover.
At +2.5, Detroit offers serious value for bettors. The Lions have gone 6-2 in their last eight games against top-10 defenses, proving that they can thrive under pressure. While the Vikings have been phenomenal so far, Detroit’s momentum and Campbell’s relentless, gritty coaching make them a real threat to pull off the upset.
For an over/under pick, we like taking the over, with a projected combined score of 51 points and the O/U line sitting at 49.5 points.
Keep an eye on live odds and gear up for a high-flying contest, because this game is shaping up to be a must-watch thriller in the NFC North!
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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
The best atmosphere in football is at @usbankstadium.
Here’s an inside look at how it all happens with Senior Manager, Game & Event Presentation Lauren Pinter. pic.twitter.com/nU25Fdf0Mf
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) October 17, 2024
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