Free NFL Regular Season Pick: Lions vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL Week 1 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the Chiefs on Thursday, September 7th at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1 Regular Season
(0-0) Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs (0-0)
Date: Thursday, September 7th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Detroit +6 | Kansas City -6.5
Regular Season Week 1 NFL Moneyline Odds: Detroit +231 | Kansas City -296
NFL Betting Total: O/U 54.5
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Last season, the Lions and Chiefs did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Chiefs have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Lions went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 3-0 on an average of 56 points per game.
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Detroit Lions
Even though they finished in second place in the NFC-North, the Lions couldn’t sneak into the playoffs as a Wild Card and missed the playoffs. Detroit’s overall record was 9-8 and 5-1 in the division. At home, the Lions put together a mark of 5-4 while going 4-4 on the road.
Detroit Lions Stats
In 2022, the Lions offense finished 14th in the NFL in third-down conversion rate (40.8%) and averaged 380.0 yards per game, putting them 12th in the league. On average, they threw the ball 34.6 times per game leading to 251.8 receiving yards per contest.
Detroit’s rushing attack finished 12th in yards per attempt.
The Lions are coming off a season in which they were 27th in points allowed. Opposing team’s finished the year with an average of 25.1 points per game vs. the Lions defense. Detroit’s run defense wrapped up the season 29th in the NFL, while opponents finished with a completion percentage of 63.0% vs. the Lions and a passer rating of 92.25.
Kansas City Chiefs
Despite finishing with an above .500 record at 14-3, the Kansas City Chiefs did not make the playoffs last year. In the AFC-West, the Chiefs finished 1st with a record of 6-0. Overall, Kansas City wrapped up the season 1st in the AFC.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
On offense, the Chiefs are coming off a season in which they were 1st in yards per game and averaged 29.2 points per game (1st). In the passing attack, Kansas City was 5th in passing attempts and 1st in passing yards. On the ground, the Chiefs averaged 115.7 yards per contest (20th).
On defense, the Chiefs finished the season ranked 17th in points allowed at 22.2 points per contest. On the road, Kansas City gave up 24.9 points per game compared to 19.5 at home.
In terms of yardage, the Chiefs gave up 332.7 yards per game and finished the season 9th in turnovers.
Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Lions are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. Chiefs Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +234 | +231 | +7 | +6.5 |
| Chiefs | -299 | -296 | -7 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit +6
During the 2022 season, the Lions’ offensive DVOA put them 5th in the NFL rankings. Additionally, the Lions have managed to achieve a minimum of 23 points in all of their last four Week 1 matchups.
Plus in 6 NFL career opening games, Jared Goff has managed to deliver 9 TD passes.
Another trend working in the Lions’ favor in this matchup is the fact that road underdogs covered the spread at a rate of 54.8% last season.
Look for the Lions to cover the spread in this week one matchup vs. the Chiefs.
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Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Time to turn the city red‼️ #RedWednesday pic.twitter.com/eadjhBqH13
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 5, 2023
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