Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Lions vs. Colts Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the Colts on Sunday, November 24th at the Lucas Oil Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit Indianapolis matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(9-1) Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
Date: Sunday, November 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis IN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Detroit -7.5 | Indianapolis +7.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Detroit -365 | Indianapolis +290
NFL Betting Total: O/U 51
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Buckle up for Week 12 action as the red-hot Detroit Lions (9-1) roll into Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (5-6) in a matchup brimming with intrigue and betting potential. Historically, this rivalry has been tightly contested, with the Colts holding a slight edge, 22-20-2, and dominating their last encounter in 2020 with a decisive 41-21 victory.
But don’t let the history books fool you—this Lions team is on a tear, rewriting the narrative week by week.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Colts have the leg up at 2-1. The Colts also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 68 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
Detroit enters this game riding an eight-game winning streak and boasting a stellar 7-1 record against the spread in their last eight outings. They’ve also been a November powerhouse, covering in 10 of their last 13 games during this month.
Detroit Lions
With an eight-game winning streak, the Lions are 9-1 and hold the top spot in our power rankings. They have a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs and an 84.7% chance of winning the NFC North. Detroit is 5-0 on the road and 4-1 at home, including a 46-point win over the Jaguars in week 11.
The Lions have a +15.9 scoring margin and are 8-2 against the spread. They are 7-2 as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 51.3 points.
Detroit Lions Stats
Jared Goff bounced back from his 5-interception game in week 10, posting a perfect passer rating of 158 in week 11 against the Jaguars. He threw for 412 yards and 4 touchdowns on 24/29 passing. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receiving corps with 11 catches for 161 yards and 2 touchdowns, while David Montgomery added 75 rushing yards and 2 scores.
Detroit’s offense is averaging 33.6 points per game, leading the NFL, and they rank 3rd in yards per game with 394.7. They are 6th in passing yards per game and 3rd in rushing yards per game, with 32.3 rushing attempts per game. Despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts, they are 27th in conversion percentage.
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The Lions’ defense was dominant in their 52-6 win over the Jaguars, holding Jacksonville to just 129 yards passing. Detroit defended the run well, allowing only 41 yards on 17 attempts. They also kept the Jaguars out of the end zone and limited them to a 20% conversion rate on third down.
In the passing game, the Lions didn’t allow any touchdowns and picked off one pass. They also recorded one sack and held Jacksonville to a completion percentage of 58.6%.
Indianapolis Colts
With a narrow 28-27 win over the Jets in week 11, the Colts improved to 5-6, leaving them 8th in the AFC and 2nd in the AFC South. Our projections give them a 32.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.0% chance of winning the division. Indianapolis ranks 25th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 12.
Despite their negative scoring margin (-1.3), the Colts are 8-3 against the spread this season. They are 6-2 as underdogs and 2-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 5-6, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Heading into week 12, the Colts rank 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.5 points per game, and 21st in total offense with 320.7 yards per game. Indianapolis ranks 20th in passing attempts and passing yards, averaging 202.2 yards per game. They are 16th in rushing, with 118.5 yards per game, and rank 19th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage.
Anthony Richardson threw for 272 yards and a touchdown in week 11, completing 20 of 30 passes against the Jets. Jonathan Taylor had 57 yards on 24 carries, while Josh Downs led the team in receiving with 5 catches for 84 yards. The Colts scored 12 points in the 4th quarter and converted 6 of 15 3rd-down attempts.
In their 28-27 win over the Jets, the Colts’ defense gave up 162 passing yards on 22 completions. The Colts allowed two passing touchdowns and the Jets had a 75.9% completion percentage. Indianapolis defended the run well, allowing just 91 yards on 20 attempts (4.6 yards per attempt).
The Colts’ defense recorded three sacks and held the Jets to a 30.8% third-down conversion rate. Despite this, they did allow 253 total yards in the game.
Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Colts are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Colts have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.
- The Colts’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. Colts Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | -135 | -364 | -2.5 | -7.5 |
| Colts | +114 | +290 | +2.5 | +7.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit -7.5
The Colts, while capable of putting points on the board, have struggled mightily as underdogs, going 3-11 straight up in their last 14 tries.
The betting lines reflect Detroit’s dominance, with the Lions as hefty 7.5-point favorites and a moneyline that favors them at -365. Meanwhile, the total sits at a juicy 51, hinting at plenty of scoring opportunities.
The Lions’ explosive offense, combined with a Colts team likely to put up more resistance than Jacksonville did last week, makes this an intriguing spot for bettors eyeing the over.
With Detroit firing on all cylinders and Indianapolis scrapping to stay relevant, this clash has some promise.
Our point spread pick for this week 12 matchup between the Lions and Colts is to take the Lions to cover as road favorites. The point spread line currently has the Lions at -7.5, and we have the Lions pulling off the big win of 35-21.
For this game, we have a point spread pick of the Lions to cover as road favorites. And for the over/under, we have a pick to take the over, with a projected combined score of 56 points and the O/U line sitting at 51 points.
Whether you’re backing the Lions to keep their streak alive or looking for value in the underdog Colts, this is one game that could light up the Week 12 slate.
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Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Sights set on Sunday. pic.twitter.com/m5yq5vNoxt
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) November 20, 2024
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