Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Lions vs. Packers Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers free NFL Week 4 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the Packers on Thursday, September 28th at the Lambeau Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit Green Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
Thursday Night Football – Amazon Prime
(2-1) Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers (2-1)
Date: Thursday, September 28th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Lambeau Field
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Detroit -1.5 | Green Bay +1.5
Week 4 NFL Moneyline Odds: Detroit -121 | Green Bay -101
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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This week’s game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET at Green Bay’s Lambeau Field, featuring an exciting NFC North showdown. The Detroit Lions (2-1, 2-1 ATS) will take on the Green Bay Packers (2-1, 3-0 ATS), both currently sharing the top spot in the division with identical 2-1 records.
Here are the odds for the Thursday Night Football matchup: Detroit Lions -1 vs. Green Bay Packers +1, with the money line favoring the Lions (-120) over the Packers (+100). The total points for the game are set at over 45.
In terms of historical performance, the Packers have dominated the series with 103 wins, while the Lions have 75. They’ve met twice in the post-season, with the Packers emerging victorious on both occasions.
However, the Lions have recently claimed victory in the last three matchups between these two teams.
Last season, the Lions and Packers met up two times, with the Lions going 2-0. Against the spread, the Lions went 2-0 while the over/under record in these games was 0-2 on an average of 30 points per game.
Offensively, the Packers averaged 340 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Lions at 288.5 yards.
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Detroit Lions
Taking a glance at the NFC-North standings, the Lions are 2nd with a record of 2-1. Within the NFC, Detroit is currently in 6th place as they enter week 4. The Lions have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 2-1.
Their average scoring margin for this season is +3.
The Lions’ 14-point win over the Falcons was one of their largest margins of victory in recent history. Offensively, the Lions averaged 5 yards per play for a total of 358 yards. On the other end, the Falcons went 4/14 on 3rd down and finished with 183 yards.
Going into the game, Detroit was favored by 3 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Jared Goff threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score. Goff completed 66% of his passes for 243 yards.
Detroit Lions Stats
Offensively, Jared Goff totaled 243 passing yards with a completion rate of 66%. On the rushing front, the Lions had 31 attempts, gaining 115 yards. The team converted 4 of 14 third-down attempts.
The Detroit offense is currently positioned 11th in the league, scoring an average of 24 points per contest.
Looking at Detroit’s defense, they currently stand 12th in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 21 points per game and 297.3 yards per contest against them.
Green Bay Packers
Having played three games, the Packers have a record of 2-1. This puts them at 1st in the NFC-North and 4th in the NFC. The Packers have put together a record of 3-0 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +6.
Despite a slow start with no first-quarter points, the Packers rallied and secured the win.
They generated 340 yards on offense and gave up 252 yards to the Saints. Green Bay went into the game as the underdog (+1.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Quarterback Jordan Love led the Packers in both rushing and passing, with 39 yards on the ground and 259 through air. Love ran for one score and threw for one touchdown.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Against the Saints’ defense, Jordan Love led the way with 259 passing yards and a completion rate of 50%. On the ground, the Packers ran the ball 26 times for 95 yards. The team had 8 third-down conversions (44.4%).
On offense, the Packers are at 26.7 points per game, putting them 7th in the NFL.
Defensively, Green Bay is 11th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 20.7 points per game while gaining 336.3 yards per contest.
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Lions are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Packers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Packers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. Packers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | -108 | -122 | +1.5 | -1.5 |
| Packers | -108 | +102 | -1.5 | +1.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit -1.5
This week’s game features Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers, who staged an incredible comeback from a 17-point deficit in the fourth quarter during Week 3, a historic feat not seen in the organization for over a century.
However, if you closely observed the game as I did, it’s evident that the Packers were not truly competitive until the final quarter. This season, I have faith in the Lions. Their Run-D stands above average, and their Pass D is serviceable.
Combine this with Love’s struggles in passing, and it sets the stage for a potential Lions’ success. Expect the Lions’ defense to stifle the Packers’ offense throughout the game.
The Lions’ offense has shown ability to move the ball effectively, exemplified by their impressive 358-yard performance against Atlanta in Week 3.
My confidence in the Lions’ style of play will only grow if the Lions’ offensive linemen can return to full health in time for game day.
In this matchup, I like see the Lions’ defense doing a good job slowing down the Packers’ offense. In their most recent game, they gave up just 183 and should build on that performance.
I suggest locking in the Lions at -1.5.
In all of Green Bay’s previous games this season, the over/under lines have been set lower than this week’s line of 45. I’m leaning towards the under, as we believe this line is too high for these teams.
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Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/packers/status/1706767259962691892
He’s a BEAST!
https://twitter.com/Lions/status/1706677756287709568
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