Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Lions vs. Packers Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the Packers on Sunday, November 3rd at the Lambeau Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit Green Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(6-1) Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers (6-2)
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay WI
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Detroit -3.5 | Green Bay +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Detroit -179 | Green Bay +149
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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Hold onto your hats, NFL fans—Week 9 is heating up, and all eyes are on the Lions vs. Packers showdown at Lambeau Field!
This matchup packs a punch with two NFC North heavyweights, both holding impressive records: Detroit at 6-1 and Green Bay close behind at 6-2.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Lions have a record of 2-1.
The Lions also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
With Detroit favored by 3.5, the odds suggest the Lions could pull away, especially given their knack for covering against NFC rivals. And for the total, the over at 48.5 is looking mighty tempting, with Detroit games frequently soaring past expectations when they’re the favorites.
Detroit Lions
With five straight wins, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 64.6% chance of winning the NFC North and a 95.7% chance of making the playoffs. Detroit is 6-1 this season, including a 3-0 record on the road. They are 1-0 in division play and 5-1 against NFC opponents.
Detroit is 6-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +14.3 points per game. The over has hit in four straight Lions games, including their 52-14 win over the Titans in week 8, which had a combined 66 points. The O/U line for that game was 45 points.
Detroit Lions Stats
Detroit’s offense is firing on all cylinders, leading the NFL in scoring with 33.4 points per game. They rank 6th in the league in total yards per game (385.1) and 10th in passing yards (228.4), despite being 25th in passing attempts. On the ground, the Lions are 8th in rushing attempts and 6th in rushing yards, averaging 156.7 per game. They are also 7th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion rate.
Jared Goff has been on a tear, posting passer ratings of 129, 140, and 153 over his last three games. In week 8, he threw for 85 yards and 3 touchdowns on 12/15 passing. Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 127 yards on 11 carries, while Sam LaPorta led the team with 48 receiving yards on 6 catches.
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In their most recent game, the Lions’ defense came up with two interceptions and held the Titans to just 27.3% on third down conversions. Despite giving up 158 rushing yards on 32 attempts, Detroit came away with a 52-14 win. The Lions’ defense also allowed 258 passing yards, with the Titans scoring just one passing touchdown. Detroit’s defense recorded one sack in the game.
The Lions’ defense did well to limit the Titans despite giving up 416 total yards. Detroit also forced two interceptions and held Tennessee to just 27.3% on third down conversions. The Titans did have success running the ball, gaining 158 yards on the ground. However, Detroit’s offense exploded for 52 points, making things easier for the defense.
Green Bay Packers
With four straight wins, the Packers have improved to 6-2, putting them 2nd in the NFC North. Their streak includes a 30-27 win over the Jaguars in week 8, though they couldn’t cover the 3.5-point spread. Green Bay was favored in that game and also failed to cover in their previous two wins, but they did cover in weeks 5 and 6, including a 21-point win over the Cardinals.
Heading into week 9, the Packers rank 7th in our NFL power rankings and have an 81.6% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 4-3-1, with their games averaging 48.2 points. The average line in their games has been 45.6 points.
Green Bay Packers Stats
In our offensive power rankings, the Packers sit 11th in the NFL, and they are 6th in scoring, averaging 27 points per game. They have been strong on the ground, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards per game, with 156.9. In the passing game, they rank 20th in attempts but are 9th in passing yards, averaging 230.5 per game.
Green Bay has been good early in games, ranking 4th in 1st-quarter scoring. However, they are 15th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions and 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 5th in red zone attempts.
Green Bay’s defense gave up 390 yards in their 30-27 win over the Jaguars, with 299 yards coming through the air. The Jaguars had a big-play passing attack, averaging 9.3 yards per attempt, but the Packers limited them to just a 11.1% conversion rate on third down. They also forced one interception and held Jacksonville to 65.6% completions.
On the ground, the Jaguars managed 91 yards on 23 attempts. The Packers’ pass rush was limited to just one sack, and they lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -2.
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Packers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Packers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. Packers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +100 | -179 | +1.5 | -3.5 |
| Packers | -120 | +149 | -1.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit -3.5
The Packers may lead the historical head-to-head series, but the Lions have been red-hot lately, covering the spread in 8 of their last 10 road games and on a 5-0 straight-up win streak.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Lions to cover as road favorites, as they are sitting at -3.5 in this week nine matchup between the Lions and Packers. I’m not about to stop betting against Detroit right now.
I also think it could be time to put a small bet on them to be NFC Champions.
Our projected final score is 40-23 in favor of the Lions.
Expect fireworks with Love (hopefully) and Goff under center, both ready to shake up the scoreboard.
For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 63 points and the O/U line currently at 48.5 points.
Whether you’re riding the Lions against the spread or eyeing that high total, this NFC North clash promises all the thrills and spills only November football can bring.
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Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
MR. OCTOBER
Xavier McKinney is the NFC Defensive Player of the Month!
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) October 31, 2024
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