Free NFL Week 6 Pick: Lions vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the Cowboys on Sunday, October 13th at the AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit Dallas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(3-1) Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys (3-2)
Date: Sunday, October 13th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Detroit -3.5 | Dallas +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Detroit -173 | Dallas +145
NFL Betting Total: O/U 52.5
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Even though the Lions lost 20-19 to the Cowboys in their only meeting last year, they covered the spread. The Cowboys were favored by -5 points. The game saw just 39 combined points, which was well below the over/under line of 54 points.
Detroit Lions
Heading into week 6, the Lions are on a two-game winning streak, including a 42-29 home win over the Seahawks in week 4. Detroit was favored by 4.5 points and covered the spread, improving their record to 3-1. They are 3-1 against the spread this season and have been favored in all of their games so far.
The Lions currently rank 3rd in our NFL power rankings and have a 74.6% chance of making the playoffs. They have a +5.5 scoring margin and are 1-3 on over/unders this season, with their games averaging 46.5 points compared to an average line of 51.
Detroit Lions Stats
Heading into week 6, the Lions sit 4th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 26 points per game, which ranks 6th in the NFL. They are 3rd in the league in total yards, with 397 per game, and 7th in passing yards, averaging 245.8 per game. Detroit ranks 15th in passing attempts, with 31.5 per game, and 6th in rushing yards, averaging 151.2 on 32.2 attempts per game. They are 6th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 45.8% success rate, and rank 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 4th in red zone attempts.
Jared Goff was perfect in week 4, completing 18 of 18 passes for 292 yards and 3 touchdowns, posting a passer rating of 155. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing with 78 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries, while Jameson Williams had 2 catches for 80 yards and a touchdown. The Lions scored in every quarter against Seattle, including 14 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.
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In their 42-29 win over the Seahawks, the Lions’ defense gave up 383 passing yards on 38 completions. Despite allowing 133 rushing yards on just 19 attempts, the Lions still came out on top. They defended 516 total yards and allowed a 67.9% completion rate to Seattle. On third downs, the Lions allowed the Seahawks to convert 50% of their chances.
Detroit’s defense came up with three sacks and one interception in the game. They also won the battle in quarterback hits, with a +5 differential, and had one more tackle for loss than the Seahawks.
Dallas Cowboys
After two straight wins, the Cowboys sit at 3-2 this season. Following a week 3 home loss to the Ravens, Dallas bounced back with road victories over the Giants (20-15) in week 4 and the Steelers (20-17) in week 5. The Cowboys were 2.5-point underdogs against Pittsburgh but managed to pull off the win, improving their road record to 3-0. However, they are 0-2 at home this season.
Heading into week 6, our power rankings have the Cowboys 14th, and they have a 41.1% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 3-2, with the under hitting in the last two games. Dallas’s games have averaged 47.6 points this season, compared to an average line of 44.9.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Heading into week 6, the Cowboys are 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 14th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.4 points per game, and rank 11th in total yards per game with 353.6. Dallas has been pass-heavy, ranking 2nd in both passing attempts (38.8) and passing yards (271.6) per game. On the ground, they are 22nd in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards per game, averaging 82 yards.
In week 5, Dak Prescott threw for 352 yards, completing 29 of 42 passes with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Rico Dowdle led the rushing attack with 87 yards on 20 carries, while Jalen Tolbert had 7 catches for 87 yards and a touchdown. Dallas scored 14 points in the 4th quarter and converted 9 of 15 third-down attempts against the Steelers.
The Cowboys’ defense allowed just 134 passing yards in their 20-17 win over the Steelers. Pittsburgh had a tough time moving the ball on the ground as well, finishing with only 92 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Dallas defended the pass well, giving up only 16 completions and holding the Steelers to a 4.8 yards per attempt.
Despite their strong performance, the Cowboys did allow two passing touchdowns. Dallas’ defense also held Pittsburgh to a 25% conversion rate on third down and recorded three sacks in the game.
Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Cowboys are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cowboys have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Cowboys’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. Cowboys Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | -110 | -173 | +0.5 | -3.5 |
| Cowboys | -110 | +146 | -0.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 6 NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit -3.5
For this week six matchup between the Lions and Cowboys, we have the Lions coming out on top by a score of 33-23. With the point spread at -3.5 in favor of the Lions, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Lions to cover as road favorites.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 52.5 points, we have these teams combining for 56 points, making the over our recommended play.
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