Free NFL Week 3 Pick: Broncos vs. Buccaneers Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Buccaneers on Sunday, September 22nd at the Raymond James Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Tampa Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(0-2) Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)
Date: Sunday, September 22nd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver +6.5 | Tampa Bay -6.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver +252 | Tampa Bay -317
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39.5
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Are you ready for some NFL Week 3 fireworks? Because this Denver vs. Tampa Bay matchup is about to bring the heat! As your go-to NFL betting expert, I’m bringing you free NFL handicapping picks all season long, and this clash between the 0-2 Broncos and the undefeated Buccaneers is packed with intrigue.
Tampa Bay, riding high at 2-0, is getting serious momentum from Baker Mayfield’s resurgence—he’s firing on all cylinders and fresh off a gritty 20-16 win over Detroit. But don’t sleep on Denver just yet.
The Broncos and Buccaneers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Broncos have a record of 2-1.
Against the spread, each team went 1-1-1 and finished with an over/under mark of 0-3.
These games averaged a combined 41 points per contest.
Denver Broncos
The Broncos are now 0-2 after losing to the Steelers 13-6 in a low-scoring affair. Denver’s defense kept them in the game, as they were only 2.5-point underdogs and lost by seven points. The combined 19 points was well below the over/under line of 36.5 points. Denver’s record against the spread is 1-1.
In week one, the Broncos lost to the Giants 27-13. Denver’s only touchdown in this game came in the 4th quarter when Bo Nix found Courtland Sutton for a 26-yard touchdown. After the Steelers took a 13-10 lead in the 3rd quarter, the Broncos responded with a touchdown of their own, taking the lead with a 29-yard field goal from Wil Lutz with 1:56 remaining in the 4th. The Broncos added another field goal with 29 seconds left to make the final score 19-13 in their favor.
Denver Broncos Stats
Bo Nix, the Broncos’ quarterback, threw for 246 yards (20/35) in their 13-6 loss to the Steelers. Denver’s offense struggled to move the ball consistently, finishing with just 13 first downs and going 1-for-6 on fourth down. Nix was also their leading rusher with 25 yards on four attempts.
Josh Reynolds led the team with 93 receiving yards, including a 49-yard catch. The Broncos’ running game was limited to 64 yards on 19 attempts. Nix was sacked twice and threw two interceptions in the defeat.
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In their 13-6 loss to the Steelers, the Broncos’ defense gave up 141 rushing yards on 36 attempts, but held Pittsburgh to just 110 yards passing. The Broncos’ offense struggled as well, putting up only 110 yards through the air. Denver allowed one passing touchdown and forced the Steelers to convert on just 30.8% of their third down attempts. The Broncos did come up with two sacks in the game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers are now 2-0 after their 20-16 win over the Lions. Tampa Bay was on the road and heading into the game as +7.5 point underdogs. The combined 36 points was well below the over/under line of 52. After Chase McLaughlin’s 55-yard field goal, the Buccaneers led 6-3 in the 1st quarter. Tampa Bay added a touchdown in the 2nd quarter and another in the 3rd to take the lead for good.
The Buccaneers added a touchdown in the 3rd quarter when Baker Mayfield connected with Jalen McMillan for a 10-yard touchdown. Even though the Lions added a late field goal in the 4th, Tampa Bay held on for the win. The Buccaneers missed out on a chance to add to their lead when they missed a field goal with 1:45 remaining in the 4th quarter.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Despite gaining just 70 yards on 23 carries, the Buccaneers managed to pull out a 20-16 win over the Lions in their most recent game. Baker Mayfield threw for 146 yards and was sacked five times. He completed 12 of 19 passes and threw one interception. Mayfield also led the team in rushing with 34 yards and one touchdown on the ground.
Chris Godwin was the top receiver for Tampa Bay, finishing with 117 yards on seven catches, including a long reception of 41 yards. The Buccaneers struggled on third down, converting only 20% of their chances and their offense as a whole was limited to just 14 first downs and 146 yards through the air.
In their 20-16 win over the Lions, the Buccaneers’ defense gave up 463 yards, but they still managed to come out on top. The Buccaneers’ run defense allowed 139 yards on 27 attempts, and their pass defense gave up 324 yards through the air. Despite not recording any sacks, they did come away with two interceptions and held the Lions to 41.2% on third down.
Even though they allowed 35 completions, the Buccaneers’ defense kept the Lions out of the endzone, as Detroit failed to score a passing touchdown. Tampa Bay also held the Lions to 5.8 yards per attempt.
Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Buccaneers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Buccaneers have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Buccaneers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Buccaneers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +145 | +251 | +3.5 | +6.5 |
| Buccaneers | -175 | -315 | -3.5 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Denver +6.5
Rookie QB Bo Nix may be struggling like the other 2024 draft class quarterbacks, but I’m seeing steady improvement. I believe he’ll do just enough to keep the Broncos in this one and cover that +6.5 spread.
Historically, Denver has the upper hand in this matchup, with a 3-1 series lead since 2008. Can they keep it close again this Sunday? I say yes.
Our projected score for this week three matchup between the Broncos and Buccaneers is 21-17 in favor of the Bucs. With the point spread sitting at +6.5 in favor of the Broncos, we like them to cover as road underdogs.
For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 38 points and the O/U line at 39.5 points.
Take the points with the Broncos and expect a tight, gritty battle. Keep the energy high and let’s cash in!
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Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
In Bowles we trust 🫡 pic.twitter.com/gEYFSkwn9b
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) September 20, 2024
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