Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Broncos vs. Jets Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Jets on Sunday, September 29th at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(1-2) Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets (2-1)
Date: Sunday, September 29th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver +7.5 | New York -7.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver +281 | New York -357
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38.5
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Get ready for another week of thrilling NFL action, and if you’re looking for sharp picks, you’re in the right place! We’ve got complimentary NFL handicapping tips for Week 4, including this much-anticipated Denver vs. New York matchup.
These two teams have squared off just 41 times, with the Broncos holding a narrow 22-18-1 edge in the all-time series. Their only postseason clash? That unforgettable 1998 AFC Championship Game—Broncos came out on top.
Even though the Jets were road underdogs by +2.5, they picked up a 31-21 win over the Broncos in their only head-to-head matchup last year. The combined 52 points surpassed the over/under line of 42.5 points.
The Jets’ win over the Broncos was one of their biggest of the season, and they not only won the game but also covered the spread.
The Broncos are limping in after a rough start to the season, sitting at 1-2 and 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. But here’s the kicker—New York is finally looking like the powerhouse everyone expected when they snagged Rodgers.
Denver Broncos
Denver is now 1-2 after their 26-7 win over the Buccaneers, improving their record to 1-2. The Broncos led 14-0 after the 1st quarter and added a touchdown in the 2nd quarter to take a 17-0 lead before Tampa Bay scored. The Broncos added a field goal with six seconds left in the 2nd quarter to make it 20-7 at halftime.
The Broncos added a field goal in the 4th quarter and Tyler Badie put the game away with a 43-yard touchdown run, making the score 26-7. Denver’s defense was strong in this one, holding the Buccaneers to just 7 points. The Broncos were +6 point underdogs heading into the game, and the over/under line was 40.5 points.
Denver Broncos Stats
In their 26-7 win over the Buccaneers, the Broncos’ offense had 18 first downs and 223 total yards. They ran for 136 yards on 28 attempts and struggled on third down, converting just 30.8% of their chances. Bo Nix, who went 25/36 for 216 yards and ran for 47 yards and a touchdown, led the team in passing.
Nix didn’t throw any touchdowns and was not helped by the running game, as he was the team’s second-leading rusher. Tyler Badie led the team with 70 yards, including a 43-yard run. Courtland Sutton was the leading receiver with 68 yards on seven catches. The Broncos didn’t score through the air.
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In their 26-7 win over the Buccaneers, the Broncos’ defense didn’t allow a single completion. They were dominant in the passing game, giving up just 132 yards on seven sacks and holding Tampa Bay to 0 completions. The Broncos also picked off one pass and limited the Buccaneers to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. On the ground, the Broncos gave up 91 yards on 16 attempts.
Denver’s defense also didn’t allow a single first down through the air. Despite the Broncos’ strong defensive performance, they did allow one touchdown, but their own offense gave them plenty of support in the 26-7 victory.
New York Jets
After their 24-3 win over the Patriots, the Jets are now 2-1 on the season. New York was not only the winner in this one, but they also covered the spread, as they were favored by -6.5. The Jets took a 7-0 lead after an Aaron Rodgers to Allen Lazard touchdown in the 1st quarter. New York added another touchdown in the 2nd quarter, as Breece Hall ran for a 1-yard touchdown. Heading into halftime, the Jets led 14-3.
In the 3rd quarter, Aaron Rodgers found Garrett Wilson for a 2-yard touchdown, putting the Jets up 21-3. New York added a field goal in the 4th quarter. The over/under line for this one was 39 points, and the teams combined for 27 points.
New York Jets Stats
The Jets’ offense had 27 first downs in their 24-3 win over the Patriots, racking up 267 yards through the air. Aaron Rodgers, who went 27/35 for 281 yards and two touchdowns, led the passing attack. New York’s running game gained 133 yards on 33 attempts.
Braelon Allen was the top rusher with 55 yards, while Tyler Conklin led the team with 93 receiving yards on five catches. The Jets’ offense converted 66.7% of their third down attempts and allowed two sacks.
The Jets’ defense was dominant in their 24-3 win over the Patriots, not allowing a single completion in the passing game. They also recorded seven sacks and limited New England to 18.2% on third down. The Jets gave up just 78 rushing yards, with the Patriots only attempting 15 rushes. New York’s defense allowed only 139 total yards in the game.
Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Jets are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jets have gone 3-6-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Jets’ have an over/under record of 1-1-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Jets Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +200 | +281 | +6 | +7.5 |
| Jets | -245 | -358 | -6 | -7.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: New York -7.5
Why NYJ win!
Aaron’s been electric, completing 69.2% of his passes, tallying 457 yards, 4 TDs, and, more importantly, zero picks. The Jets’ offense has officially arrived, and their defense is locking things down.
The smart money leans Jets here. With their high-flying offense and a defense that’s playing lights out, the -7.5 looks solid. Expect New York to push hard and move to 3-1 for the first time since 2015. Denver’s got fight, but the Jets are poised to take control of this one.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Jets to cover as 7.5-point home favorites in their matchup against the Broncos. We have the Jets winning by a score of 24-13.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 38.5 points, we are leaning towards the under with a projected combined score of 37 points.
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Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
“Not bad for 40, huh?” 🤣
One Jets Drive OUT NOW: https://t.co/kD3JN71xBg pic.twitter.com/aZCA568sj5
— New York Jets (@nyjets) September 26, 2024
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