Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Broncos vs. Saints Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Saints on Thursday, October 17th at the Caesars Superdome. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver New Orleans Thursday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
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(3-3) Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints (2-4)
Date: Thursday, October 17th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans LA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver -1.5 | New Orleans +1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver -124 | New Orleans +105
NFL Betting Total: O/U 37
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Get ready for an electric Week 7 matchup on Thursday Night Football! The Denver Broncos head into New Orleans to face the Saints in what promises to be a fierce battle under the lights. Denver has absolutely owned this rivalry, boasting a perfect 5-0 record in their last five meetings, outscoring the Saints 165-105 over that stretch.
Historically, the Broncos have dominated with a 9-3 edge in their 12 total matchups, and they’ll be looking to keep that momentum going.
But don’t count the Saints out just yet. Despite their 2-4 record, New Orleans is 3-2 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog in their last five games.
The Broncos and Saints did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Broncos have a record of 2-1.
The Broncos also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 42 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
Denver Broncos
After two straight wins, the Broncos couldn’t make it three in a row, falling 23-16 to the Chargers in week 6. Denver entered the game as 3-point home underdogs and couldn’t cover the spread, dropping their record to 3-3. They are 4-2 ATS this season, including a 3-2 mark as underdogs. The over has hit in two straight Broncos games, including week 6, when the teams combined for 39 points, narrowly surpassing the 37-point line.
Heading into week 7, our power rankings have the Broncos 25th, and they have a 25.7% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 8th in the AFC and 3rd in the AFC West with a 1-1 division record. Denver is 2-1 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.
Denver Broncos Stats
Heading into week 7, the Broncos rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 22nd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.7 points per game, and they rank 29th in total offense with 278.2 yards per game. Denver is 27th in passing yards per game (170.8) despite ranking 12th in pass attempts. On the ground, they average 107.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. The Broncos have struggled on 3rd down, converting only 25% of their attempts, but they are 12th in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 6, the Broncos scored all 16 of their points in the 4th quarter, as Bo Nix threw for 216 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. He connected with Devaughn Vele 4 times for 78 yards. Nix also led the team in rushing with 61 yards on 6 carries. Denver will be without WR Josh Reynolds, who is on injured reserve with a hand injury.
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In their 23-16 loss to the Chargers, the Broncos’ defense allowed 350 total yards and 128 rushing yards on 38 attempts. They defended the pass well, giving up just 222 yards through the air, with the Chargers completing 21 passes at a 61.8% completion rate. However, the Broncos struggled on third down, allowing the Chargers to convert 61.1% of their third down attempts.
Despite the loss, Denver’s defense recorded three sacks and held the Chargers to 3.4 yards per attempt in the running game. They also allowed just one touchdown in the game.
New Orleans Saints
After starting the season with two straight wins, the Saints have now dropped four in a row, including a 51-27 home loss to the Buccaneers in week 6. This puts New Orleans at 2-4, with a 1-2 record in division games. They currently sit 3rd in the NFC South and rank 29th in our NFL power rankings. We give them a 14.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.4% chance of winning the division.
New Orleans has a +3.3 scoring margin this season and is 3-3 against the spread. Their O/U record stands at 4-2, with their games averaging 52.3 points per game. The average line in their games has been 44.2 points.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Heading into week 7, the Saints are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 4th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.8 points per game, and they are 7th in 1st quarter scoring. New Orleans is 18th in the league in yards per game (319.8) and 21st in passing yards per game (200.3), despite ranking 22nd in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing attempts and 13th in rushing yards per game. The Saints have been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.1% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the NFL.
In week 6, Spencer Rattler took over at quarterback for Derek Carr, who is dealing with an oblique injury. Rattler threw for 243 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions, while being sacked 5 times. Alvin Kamara rushed for 40 yards on 13 carries, and Foster Moreau led the team with 54 receiving yards. New Orleans scored all 27 of their points in the 2nd quarter against Tampa Bay.
The Saints’ defense gave up 51 points in a blowout loss to the Buccaneers, with Tampa Bay racking up 594 yards of total offense. Despite intercepting three passes, New Orleans allowed four passing touchdowns and gave up 317 yards through the air. On the ground, the Saints allowed 277 yards on just 35 attempts, with the Buccaneers averaging 7.9 yards per attempt.
New Orleans struggled on third down, allowing the Buccaneers to convert 60% of their third down attempts. Although the Saints’ defense did come up with three interceptions, they only managed one sack and allowed Tampa Bay to complete 66.7% of their passes.
Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Saints are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Broncos are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Saints have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Saints’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Saints Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +150 | -124 | +3.5 | -1.5 |
| Saints | -180 | +104 | -3.5 | +1.5 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: Saints +1.5
Rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler stepped in last week and, while raw, brings some serious energy to the offense. With Derek Carr sidelined due to an oblique injury, it’ll be the Rattler-Kamara show, and Alvin Kamara is primed to carry this team on his back.
Playing at home in the Superdome, where the crowd will be electric, Kamara is a game-changer. Denver may be favored by 1.5, but don’t sleep on the Saints covering here. Kamara’s beast mode is about to be activated, and he’ll be the X-factor in what should be a wild Thursday night showdown.
Our pick vs. the spread for this week seven matchup between the Broncos and Saints is to take the Saints to cover as home dogs. The point spread lines have the Broncos at -1.5, and we have them winning by a score of 21-20 over the Saints. But Nawlins will keep it close.
For an over/under pick, we like taking the OVER, with a projected combined score of 41 points and the O/U line sitting at just 37 points.
Keep an eye on those live betting lines—this one could be a rollercoaster!
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Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Fans going to Thursday’s game:
WEAR BLACK ⬛️
Story: https://t.co/CXbrmG3OTI pic.twitter.com/kbFj5Anvrm
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) October 14, 2024
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