Free NFL Week 3 Pick: Broncos vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 3 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, September 24th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(0-2) Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins (2-0)
Date: Sunday, September 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
NFL Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver +6.5 | Miami -6.5
Week 3 NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver +225 | Miami -283
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48
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In the upcoming clash at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, the struggling Denver Broncos (0-2) face the undefeated Miami Dolphins (2-0). The Broncos enter as 7-point underdogs on the road, with an over/under set at 47 points. On the moneyline, the Dolphins are favored at -290, while the Broncos offer tempting odds at +240 as underdogs.
Denver is 0-2 ATS, while Miami boasts a 2-0 ATS record.
Keep following our NFL handicapping blog for in-depth analysis of this thrilling showdown!
The Broncos and Dolphins did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Broncos have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Dolphins went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 50 points per game.
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Denver Broncos
Over the course of two games, the Broncos have put together a record of 0-2. This positions them 4th in the AFC-West and 16th in the AFC. The Broncos’ scoring margin for the season is currently -1.5. This has contributed to their ATS record of 0-2.
Even though the Broncos’ did a good job moving the ball on offense, racking up 21 first-downs, they still lost the Commanders 35-33. Overall, the Broncos finished with 399 yards of offense. On the other side, the Commanders rushed for 122 and threw for 266 yards.
Denver also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 3.5 point favorites. Quarterback Russell Wilson led the Broncos in both rushing and passing, with 56 yards on the ground and 308 through air.
Wilson ended the game with three passing touchdowns.
Denver Broncos Stats
Denver’s offense generated 399 total yards against the Commanders. On third downs, the Broncos managed a conversion rate of 33.3%. Russell Wilson led the team in rushing with 56 yards, while Russell Wilson passed for 308 yards.
When it comes to yards allowed, the Broncos rank 16th in the league, conceding an average of 324.5 yards per contest. Denver’s defense has allowed 26 points per game, which has them 16th in the NFL.
Miami Dolphins
Over the course of two games, the Dolphins have put together a record of 2-0. This positions them 1st in the AFC-East and 1st in the AFC. The Dolphins have a 2-0 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is +4.5.
In their 24-17 win over the Patriots, the Dolphins actually trailed at halftime by a score 17-17 before making a second-half comeback. For the game, the Dolphins’ offense averaged 6 yards per play compared to the Patriots at 4.
The Patriots went 4/15 on third down. Going into the game, Miami was favored by 2 and went on to cover the spread. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 249 yards while completing 70% of his passes and throwing for 249.
Tagovailoa threw for one touchdown.
Miami Dolphins Stats
Offensively, Tua Tagovailoa finished with 249 passing yards while completing 70% of his passes. On the ground, the Dolphins ran the ball 30 times for 145 yards. The team went 4/10 on third down.
When it comes to defense, the Dolphins have given up 200.0 passing yards and 160.5 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Miami ranks 4th among other defenses.
Coming into week 3, they have allowed 25.5 points per game and 360.5 yards.
Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Dolphins Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +198 | +233 | +5.5 | +6.5 |
| Dolphins | -240 | -289 | -5.5 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Miami -6.5
Miami is the home favorite at -6.5 and I’m taking them to cover. Miami’s offense played well against Washington, and I expect them to carry that momentum into this week’s game against Denver.
In Week 1 of the NFL season opener, the Broncos suffered a narrow 17-16 loss to the Raiders, and in Week 2, they faced another defeat with a final score of 35-33 against Washington. As mentioned in our previous blog post, it’s become evident that many of us here at Cappers Picks have lost faith in Russell Wilson, who appears to be a mere shadow of his former self.
On the other hand, the Miami team boasts a formidable trio in Tua Tagovailoa, Hill, and Mostert, making them a challenging force to reckon with. So far in 2023, they’ve demonstrated their ambition to become a top-tier offense, provided that Tua can maintain his health.
The Dolphins are counting on Waddle to potentially bolster their performance on Sunday and improve their chances of covering the spread. Coach Mike McDaniel shared that Waddle has been making progress through the concussion protocol as of Monday afternoon.
The only thing that can keep this pick from being a DUD is the Dolphins injury report later in the week. So, keep an eye on the inactives list for this one.
The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Denver and Miami finishing with a combined 44 points. With the over/under line sitting at 48, I’m getting a bet down on the under.
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Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Mostert and the Fins O-Line should have their way with the Broncos Run-D.
https://twitter.com/MiamiDolphins/status/1704143263135830521
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