Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Broncos vs. Raiders Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Raiders on Sunday, November 24th at the Allegiant Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Las Vegas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(6-5) Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
Date: Sunday, November 24th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas NV
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver -5.5 | Las Vegas +5.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver -238 | Las Vegas +197
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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The Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders are set to square off in a heated Week 12 AFC West clash, and the stakes are as high as ever.
With a history that dates back to 1960, this rivalry has seen its share of blowouts, barnburners, and everything in between.
The Raiders hold a commanding lead in the all-time series at 72-54-2, but it’s the Broncos who got the last laugh this season, torching Vegas 34-18 in a Week 5 beatdown at Mile High.
That game smashed the Over/Under of 36.5, and if recent trends hold, we might be in for another fireworks display in Las Vegas.
The Broncos, sitting at 6-5, are in prime form, riding a streak of five straight wins as favorites and covering eight of their 11 games this season. Bo Nix is leading this offense with swagger, showing the poise and precision that has made Denver get back on track in recent weeks.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Raiders have the leg up at 2-1. The Raiders also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 41 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Denver Broncos
After two straight losses, the Broncos bounced back in week 11 with a dominant 38-6 win over the Falcons. Denver entered the game as 2-point favorites and easily covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 8-3 this season. They have now covered in two straight games, including a narrow 2-point loss to the Chiefs in week 10, where they were 7-point underdogs.
Heading into week 12, the Broncos have a 6-5 record, putting their playoff chances at 50.7%. They rank 23rd in our power rankings and are 3rd in the AFC West. In division games, Denver is 1-2, and they are 2-4 against AFC opponents.
Denver Broncos Stats
Heading into week 12, the Broncos rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.4, and 23rd in passing yards per game, with 196.5, despite ranking 11th in passing attempts. Denver is 20th in rushing yards per game, averaging 116 on 26.8 attempts per game, and ranks 19th in 3rd-down conversion percentage (37%).
Bo Nix had a big game in week 11, throwing for 307 yards and 4 touchdowns on 28/33 passing. Courtland Sutton led the team with 7 catches for 78 yards, while Javonte Williams had 59 rushing yards on 9 carries. Denver scored in every quarter against the Falcons after being shut out in the 2nd half of their previous two games.
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In their 38-6 win over the Falcons, the Broncos’ defense was dominant, allowing just 176 passing yards and 50 yards rushing on 21 attempts. They didn’t give up any passing touchdowns and held Atlanta to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down. Denver also came away with four sacks and an interception.
The Broncos defended the run well, allowing only 2.4 yards per attempt, and their secondary limited big plays, as Atlanta averaged just 5.7 yards per pass attempt. Denver’s defense also pressured the quarterback, coming out ahead in the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.
Las Vegas Raiders
Heading into week 12, the Raiders are on a six-game losing streak, including a 34-19 loss to the Dolphins in week 11. This puts Las Vegas at 2-8, leaving them 4th in the AFC West and 15th in the conference. Our power rankings have them 26th, and they have just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs.
Las Vegas is 4-6 against the spread, with two straight ATS losses. They failed to cover against Miami, but they covered in weeks 7 and 8, despite losing both games. The over has hit in three straight Raiders games, with the teams combining for 53 points in week 11, surpassing the 43.5-point line.
Las Vegas Raiders Stats
Heading into week 12, the Raiders sit 31st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 18.7 points per game, which ranks 23rd in the NFL. They are 30th in the league in total yards per game (285) and 22nd in 3rd-down conversion percentage (36.2%). Despite ranking 15th in red zone attempts, they have been efficient when they get there, converting 56% of their trips, which is 4th in the NFL.
In week 11, Gardner Minshew threw for 282 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 30 of 43 passes against the Dolphins. Brock Bowers led the team with 13 catches for 126 yards and a touchdown, while Jakobi Meyers had a 20-yard rush.
In their 34-19 loss to the Dolphins, the Raiders’ defense struggled to get off the field, as Miami converted 66.7% of their third down attempts. They allowed 271 passing yards on 28 completions, with three passing touchdowns. The Dolphins also completed 77.8% of their passes against the Raiders.
Despite the loss, the Raiders’ run defense held up well, allowing just 82 yards on 26 attempts (3.2 yards per attempt). They managed two sacks and had a positive 6-4 advantage in tackles for loss.
Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Raiders are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Broncos are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Raiders have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Raiders’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Raiders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +130 | -239 | +3 | -5.5 |
| Raiders | -155 | +197 | -3 | +5.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Denver -5.5
The Raiders have spiraled to a 2-8 record, and Gardner Minshew’s struggles at quarterback have done little to inspire confidence. Vegas’ defense has struggled to keep pace, and against a red-hot Broncos team, that could spell trouble.
Denver’s dominance as a road favorite against the AFC West is undeniable—they’re 8-0 in their last eight such matchups, and they’ll be looking to keep that streak alive at Allegiant Stadium. With the line at -5.5 and an Over/Under of 41.5, this game promises to test both teams’ mettle.
For this week 12 matchup, we have the Broncos coming out on top by a score of 26-16. Despite being on the road, we have the Broncos covering the spread, as they are currently sitting at -5.5 point favorites.
As for an over/under pick, with the line at 41.5 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 42 points and we have this game barely surpassing the O/U line. We’d recommend passing on the total on this one. (If using our model)
Buckle up, because this rivalry isn’t just about bragging rights—it’s about momentum, pride, and a chance to rewrite the storylines of the season.
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Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Gettin’ the work in 😤#DENvsLV pic.twitter.com/90PuXvuk2e
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) November 21, 2024
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