Free NFL Week 6 Pick: Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL Week 6 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Chiefs on Thursday, October 12th at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(1-4) Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)
Amazon Prime Thursday Night Football
Date: Thursday, October 12th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
NFL Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver +10.5 | Kansas City -10.5
Week 6 NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver +412 | Kansas City -570
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49
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Get ready for the 2023 NFL showdown between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs in this Thursday night matchup.
The Broncos (1-4, 0-4-1 ATS) face off against the Chiefs (4-1, 3-2 ATS) in a game you can catch on Amazon Prime Video. The action kicks off on Thursday, October 12th at 8:15 ET in Arrowhead Stadium.
According to the NFL Week 6 ATS Betting Lines, Kansas City is favored by 10.5 points, with Denver at +412 on the Moneyline and Kansas City at -570. The Over/Under for the game is set at 49.
The Chiefs are riding high after a 27-20 victory over the Vikings, while the Broncos are looking to bounce back from a 31-21 loss to the Jets in Week 5.
The Chiefs are hoping to build off last year’s success over the Broncos as they went 2-0 in their head-to-head meetings. The over/under under mark in these matchups was 2-0, with the team’s combining to average 56.5 points per contest.
When looking at the spread, the Broncos went 2-0 in their head-to-head matchups.
The Chiefs had the edge in terms of offensive yards last season, averaging 402.5 yards of offense compared to the Broncos at 313.5.
This Week 6 clash is crucial, and fans can’t wait to see how these teams will perform. Stay tuned for our expert NFL analysis and predictions to help you make smart bets on this exciting NFL football showdown.
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Denver Broncos
This week will be the Broncos’ 3rd road game of the season and they are looking to move above .500 as they are 1-1 on the road. Denver’s overall record of 1-4 has them 4th in the AFC-West and 16th in the AFC.
The Broncos currently hold a 0-4-1 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is -12.
In the Broncos’ loss to the Jets, the Broncos finished with 308 yards of offense comapred to the Jets’ 407. The Jets ran the ball 32 times for 234 yards and averaged 6.7 yards per passing attempt for 173 yards. Denver also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 2.5 point favorites.
Russell Wilson threw for 196 yards while completing 64% of his passes and throwing for 196. Wilson threw for two touchdowns.
Denver Broncos Stats
Versus the Jets, the Broncos turned to the run 22 times, and it was Jaleel McLaughlin who led the way with 68 yards. Meanwhile, Russell Wilson finished with 31 pass attempts, resulting in 196 yards and a passer rating of 103.
This season, the Denver offense has an average of 24.2 points, placing them 10th in the league.
On the defensive front, the Broncos currently hold the 10th position in tackles for loss and rank 8th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 36.2 points and 450.6 yards per game against them.
Kansas City Chiefs
In their game against the Broncos, the Chiefs will aim to improve their 4-1 record. This positions them 1st in the AFC-West and 1st in the AFC. When it comes to the spread, the Chiefs come in at 3-2. Going into week 6, their scoring margin per game is +9.6.
In the Chiefs’ win over the Vikings, the Chiefs did a good job moving the ball against the Vikings defense, finishing with 21 first-downs and racking up 333 yards of offense.
Defensively, the Chiefs allowed a total of 329 yards of offense to the Vikings. Going into the game, Kansas City was favored by 3.5 and went on to cover the spread.
Patrick Mahomes threw for 281 yards while completing 75% of his passes and throwing for 281.
Mahomes threw for two touchdowns.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
The Chiefs’ offense produced a total of 333 yards against the Vikings. On third downs, the Chiefs achieved a conversion rate of 60%. Notably, Isiah Pacheco led the rushing attack with 55 yards, while Patrick Mahomes passed for 281 yards.
With an average of 25.6 points per contest, the Kansas City offense currently ranks 9th in the league.
The Kansas City defense has six takeaways this season, positioning them 7th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 16 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 301.4 yards.
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Broncos | +410 | +410 | +10 | +10.5 |
Chiefs | -550 | -578 | -10 | -10.5 |
4* Free Week 6 NFL Betting Prediction: Denver +10.5
KC has won 15 straight vs. the Broncos but with things seemingly hitting rock bottom in Denver I think Coach Sean Payton is just too good to let another bad loss happen. I’m expecting the Broncos “dig deep” as Payton said needs to happen this week, and they’ll keep it close on Thursday night football.
My point spread pick for this Broncos vs. Chiefs game is siding with the Broncos to cover on the road. At present, they are 10.5-point underdogs, and I anticipate them covering.
It feels like Russell Wilson’s last stand at the OK corral. But he’s actually playing Ok. He’s 4th in the NFL with a 106.1 passer rating through 5 weeks.
With the over/under line set at 49, I’m going with the under. So far this season, games involving Kansas City have averaged 41.6 points per game, and I expect this game to stay below 49.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 9, and 4 of the last 5 vs. teams from the AFC.
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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
We've put together a run of at least 17 unanswered points in the past three-straight games.
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 10, 2023
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