Free NFL Pick: Broncos vs. Texans Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Texans on 11/2 at NRG Stadium, in Houston. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NFL football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NFL predictions like this Broncos Texans free pick.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans
(6-2) Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans (3-4)
Date: Nov 02, 2025
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX
NFL Moneyline Odds: Broncos +103 | Texans -124 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Broncos +1 | Texans -1
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 39.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Denver ATS bet below in my Broncos Texans free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Broncos vs. Texans Gameday
The Denver Broncos head to NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans in Week 9 of the 2025 NFL season. The Broncos, coached by Sean Payton, bring a 6-2 record, having secured a perfect home record. Their road performance has been less consistent, standing at 2-2.
This game matches one of the AFC’s hottest teams against one of its trickiest home underdogs — and both have plenty to prove.
Meanwhile, the Houston Texans, led by DeMeco Ryans, hold a 3-4 record this season. With a strong showing at home, they have won two out of three games. Their recent home victory against the San Francisco 49ers, with a score of 26-15, highlights their potential at NRG Stadium.
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters. In their last meeting at NRG Stadium in 2023, the Texans managed a 22-17 win over the Broncos. Although both teams have undergone changes since then, this history adds an extra layer of interest to this week’s game.
Week 9, Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans — we’re all hoping a great game is in store.
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2025 NFL Football Handicapping
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Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans Odds & Last 5
In today’s matchup, the betting odds show the Houston Texans as slight favorites with a moneyline of -124, while the Denver Broncos are at +104. The spread favors the Texans by 1.5 points, and the total points over/under is set at 39.5.
These odds indicate a closely contested game, reflecting the Broncos’ strong record but inconsistent road performance.
Looking at recent performances, the Denver Broncos have been in excellent form, securing a significant 44-24 victory against the Dallas Cowboys in their latest game. Their strong offensive display, led by quarterback Bo Nix, has been a key factor in their success.
The Texans are coming off a 26-15 home win over the San Francisco 49ers, showcasing their effective play at NRG Stadium.
Historically, the head-to-head matchups have been competitive, with the Texans winning their last encounter at home in 2023. Given both teams’ recent performances and the historical context, this game is expected to be closely fought.
Viewers can catch the action on FOX, making for an exciting afternoon.
Texans Stats
To begin, the Houston Texans have shown a balanced performance this season, ranking 18th in scoring with 372 points last regular season. Their passing game is led by C.J. Stroud, who has thrown for 1,623 yards, ranking 14th in the league.
Additionally, their defense has been strong, especially in interceptions, where they ranked 2nd with 19 last season.
Furthermore, the Texans are coming off a solid win against the San Francisco 49ers, where they secured a 26-15 victory at home. C.J. Stroud was pivotal, completing 30 passes for 318 yards and two touchdowns.
The Texans’ defense also stood firm, limiting the 49ers to just 175 passing yards.
Notably, the Texans have been effective at home, winning their last two games at NRG Stadium. In their recent home game against the Tennessee Titans, they shut them out with a 26-0 win, showcasing their defensive prowess. The Texans’ offense was efficient, with Woody Marks and Nick Chubb combining for over 100 rushing yards.
Finally, looking ahead to their game against the Denver Broncos, the Texans will aim to maintain their momentum. C.J. Stroud is projected to continue his strong performance with 217.7 passing yards and 1.3 touchdowns.
Despite some injury concerns, key players like Nico Collins and Christian Kirk are expected to contribute significantly to the Texans’ offensive efforts.
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Broncos Stats
First, the Denver Broncos head into Week 9 with impressive momentum, having won their last five games. Their most recent victory was a commanding 44-24 win over the Dallas Cowboys.
This streak highlights their current form and confidence.
Next, quarterback Bo Nix has been a standout performer for the Broncos, ranking 8th in the league with 1,803 passing yards. He also leads the team with 15 passing touchdowns. His ability to lead the offense has been key to their recent success.
In terms of defense, the Broncos rank 1st in the league for sacks with 63 from last season. This defensive prowess has played a significant role in limiting opponents to just 311 points, which ranks 3rd in the league. Their ability to pressure quarterbacks could be a decisive factor against the Texans.
Finally, the Broncos will be without several key players due to injuries, including Pat Surtain II and Marvin Mims Jr. These absences might impact their depth, especially in the secondary.
However, the team has shown resilience in overcoming such challenges this season.
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Broncos vs. Texans QB Matchup
C.J. Stroud leads the Houston Texans with a steady performance this season. He has thrown for 1,623 yards over seven games, ranking 14th in the league.
With 11 passing touchdowns and five interceptions, Stroud’s accuracy and decision-making have been key for the Texans.
Stroud’s average of 231.9 passing yards per game highlights his ability to move the ball effectively. Additionally, he contributes on the ground with 25.3 rushing yards per game. As the Texans’ primary quarterback, Stroud’s consistency is crucial for the team’s offensive success.
Bo Nix, the Denver Broncos’ quarterback, has been a standout performer this season. Over eight games, Nix has accumulated 1,803 passing yards, placing him 8th in the league.
He has thrown 15 touchdowns and five interceptions, showcasing his ability to find the end zone while minimizing mistakes.
Final Thoughts
Nix’s average of 225.4 passing yards per game demonstrates his capability to lead the Broncos’ offense. Furthermore, his 21.4 rushing yards per game add an extra dimension to his play.
His dual-threat ability provides the Broncos with a versatile offensive weapon that can adapt to any game script.
Stroud will look to continue his efficient play at home, while Nix aims to prove he can handle the road pressure and maintain Denver’s winning streak. Both quarterbacks bring poise and accuracy, setting up a matchup that could hinge on turnovers and red zone execution.
The Texans want to protect home field and claw their way back into playoff relevance, while the Broncos are fighting to prove they’re legitimate AFC contenders.
Expect a physical, back-and-forth contest at NRG Stadium — one where both young quarterbacks will have a chance to make a statement under the spotlight.
Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans bottom line: Both teams enter this Week 9 matchup with something to prove — the Broncos seeking validation as contenders, and the Texans chasing consistency to keep their season alive.
Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 5-0 straight up in their last 5.
- Also, the Broncos have a 2-1 straight up record in their last 3 away games.
- The Broncos have gone 4-1 straight up in games with totals of 42 or less in the last 5.
- The Texans are 3-0 straight up as favorites in their last 3.
- Additionally, the Texans have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games as favorites.
- The Texans have a 6-1 record against the spread in their last 7 games with totals of 42 or less.
Broncos Texans Free Pick: Broncos +1
Here is my Broncos Texans free pick. The Broncos have been red-hot, winning their last five straight regular season games and showing they can handle low-scoring contests with ease.
They’re also 4-2 straight up in their last six matchups against Houston, reinforcing their edge in this spot.
Meanwhile, the Texans have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games as favorites but remain just 3-4 overall this season.
Their inconsistency has shown, and they’ve struggled historically in November, going 4-8 straight up in their last 12 during that month.
Denver’s 6-2 record and momentum make them a dangerous underdog here.
Defensively, Denver’s ability to pressure quarterbacks and limit scoring opportunities could frustrate Houston’s rhythm. Their balanced offense should find success against a Texans defense that’s been solid but not elite. Considering all that, the Broncos’ ATS is the value play.
With Denver’s five-game win streak, November trends favoring them, and Houston’s uneven form, the Broncos +1 is the sharp side.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Texans win 🤝 Rockets win pic.twitter.com/ZnMWqSzq4G
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) October 28, 2025
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