Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Broncos vs. Bengals Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Bengals on Saturday, December 28th at the Paycor Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Cincinnati matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(9-6) Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals (7-8)
Date: Saturday, December 28th
Time: 4:30 ET
Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati OH
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver +3 | Cincinnati -3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver +150 | Cincinnati -177
NFL Betting Total: O/U 50
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When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bengals have the leg up at 2-1. The Bengals also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 32 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
Denver Broncos
After winning four straight games, the Broncos couldn’t keep their streak alive in week 16, falling 34-27 to the Chargers. Denver came into the game as 3-point underdogs and couldn’t cover the spread, but the 61 combined points easily surpassed the 41.5-point line. The over has now hit in four consecutive Broncos games.
Denver’s record sits at 9-6, giving them a 78.6% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 20th in our power rankings and are 7th in the AFC. Against the spread, the Broncos are 11-4, including a 7-0 record as favorites.
Denver Broncos Stats
Heading into week 17, the Broncos are 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 10th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 24.2, and rank 22nd in passing yards per game with 205.5 on 34 attempts per game. On the ground, they average 108.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 19th, on 26.1 attempts per game. Denver ranks 19th in 3rd-down conversions with a 37.7% success rate and is 20th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 11th in red zone attempts.
In week 16, Bo Nix threw for 263 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 29 of 40 passes without an interception. Marvin Mims Jr. led the team with 62 receiving yards on 3 catches, while Audric Estime had 48 rushing yards on 9 carries. Denver scored 17 points in the first half but managed only 3 points in the 4th quarter against the Chargers.
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In their 34-27 loss to the Chargers, the Broncos’ defense allowed 380 total yards. They struggled to defend the pass, giving up 263 yards through the air, including two touchdowns. The Broncos did come up with one interception and managed two sacks while allowing the Chargers to convert on 50% of their third down attempts.
On the ground, the Broncos gave up 117 yards on 28 attempts, and opposing quarterbacks completed 74.2% of their passes against them. Despite the high completion percentage, the Broncos couldn’t keep the Chargers out of the endzone, as they allowed big plays and 8.5 yards per pass attempt.
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have won three straight games, including a 24-6 victory over the Browns in week 16, bringing their record to 7-8. This streak includes a 10-point win over the Titans in week 15 and a 7-point win over the Cowboys in week 14. Despite their recent success, Cincinnati is 3rd in the AFC North and has a 6.7% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections.
Heading into week 17, the Bengals rank 15th in our NFL power rankings. They have a +2 scoring margin this season and are 9-6 against the spread. Their O/U record is 10-5, with their games averaging 54.4 points compared to a 46.6-point line.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
Joe Burrow has thrown 3 touchdown passes in each of his last 3 games, including a 252-yard performance in week 16 against the Browns, where he posted a passer rating of 134. Before that, he threw for 271 yards in week 15 and 369 yards in week 14. Ja’Marr Chase had 6 catches for 97 yards and a touchdown in week 16, while Chase Brown rushed for 91 yards on 18 carries.
The Bengals are 5th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 17. They lead the NFL in passing yards per game with 267.3, ranking 4th in passing attempts. However, they rank 29th in rushing yards per game and 26th in rushing attempts. On 3rd down, they convert 46.8% of the time, which ranks 4th in the league.
The Bengals’ defense was dominant in their 24-6 win over the Browns, allowing just 125 passing yards and forcing two interceptions. Cleveland managed only 273 total yards, with a big chunk coming on the ground, as they rushed for 148 yards on 24 attempts. However, Cincinnati’s defense held the Browns to 3.7 yards per attempt through the air and kept them out of the endzone.
Cincinnati’s defense recorded five sacks and limited the Browns to a 25% conversion rate on third down. Despite struggling to stop the run, the Bengals were able to control the game by shutting down Cleveland’s passing attack.
Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bengals have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bengals’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Bengals Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +280 | +150 | +7.5 | +3 |
| Bengals | -355 | -177 | -7.5 | -3 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Cincinnati -3
Our pick vs. the spread is to take Cincinnati to cover as home favorites. They are currently sitting at -3, and we have them winning by a score of 27-23 in their week 17 matchup against the Broncos.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 50 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 50 points.
I’d pass on the total this week on this one.
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Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Momentum.#RuleTheJungle pic.twitter.com/4okFMNGmSF
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) December 27, 2024
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