Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Broncos vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears free NFL Week 4 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Bears on Sunday, October 1st at the Soldier Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Chicago matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(0-3) Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears (0-3)
Date: Sunday, October 1st
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Soldier Field
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver -3.5 | Chicago +3.5
Week 4 NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver -166 | Chicago +137
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46
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This week, it’s a clash between winless teams as the Denver Broncos (0-3, 0-3 ATS) face off against the Chicago Bears (0-3, 0-3 ATS) on Sunday. Anticipation is high as both teams are desperately seeking their first victory of the season.
The Bears have struggled mightily, appearing disheartened, while the Broncos seem determined to secure the coveted Number 1 overall draft pick.
The game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET at Soldier Field on Sunday. Check out the betting odds for this game: ATS Betting Lines: Denver -2.5, Moneyline Odds: Denver -142 / Chicago +120, Over/Under: 45.5.
In the storied history of the Broncos and Bears rivalry, they’ve met 16 times, each team winning 8 games, making this clash even more intriguing.
The Broncos and Bears did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Broncos have a record of 2-1. The Broncos also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 1-0-2.
These games averaged a combined total of 27 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
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Denver Broncos
Heading into their matchup with the Bears, the Broncos have a 0-3 record. In the AFC-West, they are in 4th place and 16th place in the AFC overall. The Broncos have a 0-3 record against the spread this season.
So far this season, their average scoring margin is -17.7.
Defensively, the Broncos gave up 726 yards of total offense to the Dolphins in a 70-20 loss. The Dolphins ran the ball for 350 yards while throwing for 376. On offense, the Broncos went 3/12 on 3rd down and finished with 363 yards of total offense.
Denver’s 50 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 6 point underdogs. Russell Wilson threw for 306 yards while completing 60% of his passes and throwing for 306. Wilson threw for one touchdown.
Denver Broncos Stats
Looking at their performance on offense, Russell Wilson threw for 306 yards while completing 60% of his passes. On the ground, the Broncos rushed the ball 20 times for 69 yards. The team’s third-down performance stood at 3/12.
Offensively, the Broncos have an average of 23 points per game, which is 13th in the NFL.
Going up against the Bears’ offense, the Broncos defense has allowed an average of 40.7 points per game.
So far this season, they are 15th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 458.3 yards per contest.
Chicago Bears
The Bears come into their matchup against the Broncos with a 0-3 record. In the NFC-North, they are 4th and 16th in NFC overall standings. The Bears have a 0-3 record against the spread this season.
This season, their average scoring margin is -19.7.
The Bears were unable to overcome being held scoreless in the first quarter against the Chiefs and lost by a score of 41-10. Defensively, they allowed they gave up 456 yards and allowed the Chiefs to convert 33.3% of their 3rd downs.
On offense, the Bears finished with 203 yards went 4/12 on third down. Chicago’s 31 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 12.5 point underdogs.
Justin Fields threw for 99 yards while completing 50% of his passes and throwing for 99. Fields threw for one touchdown.
Chicago Bears Stats
On offense the Chiefs finished with 26 rushing attempts, and Justin Fields was the leading rusher with 47 yards.
In the passing game, Justin Fields threw the ball 22 times, accumulating 99 yards and a passer rating of 58.
The Chicago offense is currently positioned 22nd in the league, scoring an average of 15.7 points per contest.
In terms of yards allowed, the Bears are 29th in the league while giving up 407.3 yards per contest. Chicago’s defense has allowed 35.3 points per game, placing them 25th in the NFL.
Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Broncos are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bears have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Bears’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Bears Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | -120 | -166 | -1.5 | -3.5 |
| Bears | +102 | +138 | +1.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago +3.5
Both teams are hoping for a turnaround this week. The Broncos suffered a devastating 70-20 defeat against the Dolphins, while the Bears faced a tough 41-10 loss to the Chiefs in their previous matchups.
Even though the Bears are the 3.5-point underdogs at home, I like them to cover the spread against the Broncos. In their last game, the Broncos defense struggled to get off the field, giving up 30 first-downs.
Look for the Bears offense to take advantage of facing a struggling defense.
This game on paper is shaping up to be a “snooze-fest” but I actually think it could be quite an entertaining matchup.
I’m not a big fan of betting against the spread (ATS) in this one, to be honest. I’ll be putting my money on the total points scored. Consider taking the under and divert your attention elsewhere.
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Denver and Chicago combining for 37 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 46, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
If you really want to predict an ugly ending put some money on the official outcome of this matchup being a “TIE!”.
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Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
.@TJEdwards8 is speaking with the press https://t.co/iBhYQLVL3l
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) September 25, 2023
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