
Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Commanders on Sunday, November 24th at the Northwest Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(3-7) Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders (7-4)
Date: Sunday, November 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Dallas +10 | Washington -10
NFL Moneyline Odds: Dallas +408 | Washington -558
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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Buckle up for Week 12 as the long-standing NFC East rivalry between the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders takes center stage!
These two teams, the only NFC squads yet to see a championship game appearance this century, clash once again in a series Dallas has historically dominated, leading 78–48–2.
Their last meeting, a lopsided 38-10 Cowboys win in January, adds even more fire to this storied matchup that’s been played a whopping 128 times.
This time, the stakes feel higher. The Commanders (7-4) come in refreshed after a “mini bye” thanks to extra rest from Thursday Night Football, while the Cowboys (3-7) are on short rest following a Monday night showdown.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Cowboys have a record of 2-1. The Cowboys also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 44 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
The betting lines reflect Washington’s momentum, with the Commanders a hefty 10-point favorite and Dallas a long shot at +408 on the moneyline.
Dallas Cowboys
After a week 5 win over the Steelers, the Cowboys have dropped five straight, including a 34-10 loss to the Texans in week 11. This puts Dallas at 3-7, and they now rank 32nd in our power rankings. They have a 0.1% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections.
Against the spread, the Cowboys are 2-8 and have failed to cover in five consecutive games. Their average scoring margin is -10.6 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-4, with their games averaging 48 points per game.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Heading into week 12, the Cowboys sit 28th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (41.1), resulting in 240.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 7th. However, they are 23rd in points per game (18.7) and 20th in yards per game (322.3). On the ground, Dallas ranks 28th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards per game (81.7). They are 23rd in 3rd-down conversions but rank 2nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 15th in red zone attempts.
Cooper Rush threw for 354 yards (32/55) in week 11, with 1 touchdown and 1 interception, but Dallas scored just 10 points, all in the 2nd quarter. CeeDee Lamb led the team with 93 receiving yards on 8 catches, and Rico Dowdle rushed for 28 yards on 10 carries. Dallas has struggled on 3rd down, converting only 5 of 15 in week 11, and they failed to score in the red zone on their lone trip.
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In their 34-10 loss to the Texans, the Cowboys’ defense gave up 141 rushing yards on just 25 attempts, allowing Houston to control the game on the ground. Despite this, they did perform well on third downs, allowing only a 33.3% conversion rate. The Cowboys’ defense also limited the Texans to 67.6% completions and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns, although Houston did score on the ground.
Dallas struggled to generate pressure, managing only one sack and losing both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. Overall, the Cowboys gave up 391 total yards in the game.
Washington Commanders
Washington heads into week 12 against the Cowboys looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 26-18 loss to the Eagles in week 11. The Commanders were 4.5-point underdogs in that game, but they couldn’t cover the spread, dropping their record to 7-3-1 ATS this season. Despite the recent losses, Washington still has a +5.9 scoring margin and ranks 13th in our NFL power rankings.
Washington currently sits 7th in the NFC, and our projections give them an 87.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2nd in the NFC East with a 2-1 division record, and they are 5-2 in conference play. The Commanders are 4-1 at home this season and 3-3 on the road.
Washington Commanders Stats
Heading into week 12, the Commanders rank 3rd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 28 points per game, which is 4th in the NFL. They are 6th in passing yards per game, with 218.7, despite ranking 24th in passing attempts. On the ground, they average 148 rushing yards per game, ranking 6th, on 31.2 attempts per game. Washington is 8th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (43%) and ranks 2nd in red zone attempts, although they are 26th in red zone conversion percentage, at 8.7%.
Jayden Daniels threw for 191 yards on 22/32 passing in week 11, with 1 touchdown and 1 interception, and he was sacked 3 times. Austin Ekeler led the team in receiving, with 8 catches for 89 yards, while Brian Robinson Jr. had 63 rushing yards on 16 carries. Washington scored 8 points in the 4th quarter against the Eagles, after being held scoreless in the 2nd quarter.
Despite giving up 228 rushing yards on 40 attempts, the Washington Commanders’ defense held the Eagles to 26 points in their most recent game, which included two sacks and 434 total yards. Philadelphia’s success on the ground led to a 26-18 victory, as the Commanders struggled to stop the run, allowing 5.7 yards per attempt.
Against the pass, Washington gave up just 206 yards on 18 completions, and the Eagles converted 56.2% of their third down attempts. Even though they allowed 228 rushing yards, the Commanders did not give up any passing touchdowns in the game.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 0-5 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cowboys are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cowboys’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Cowboys vs. Commanders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | -135 | +408 | -2.5 | +10 |
| Commanders | +114 | -556 | +2.5 | -10 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Dallas +10
Don’t let the odds fool you—Dallas has been a thorn in Washington’s side, covering the spread in five of their last six meetings and winning eight of their last eleven trips to Landover outright.
Expect sparks to fly in this classic rivalry. The Commanders look like the stronger team on paper, but these divisional battles are rarely predictable.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Cowboys to cover as 10-point underdogs in this week 12 matchup between the Cowboys and Commanders. Even though Washington is the heavy favorite at -10, we actually have the Cowboys pulling off the cover – but they’ll still lose 30-23.
For this one, we also like the over, with a predicted combined score of 53 points and the O/U line sitting at 44.5 points.
Whether it’s Washington’s rested squad or Dallas’s knack for defying the odds, this game promises all the drama, passion, and intensity that makes NFC East football so unforgettable.
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Dallas week@DCLottery | #RaiseHail
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) November 20, 2024
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