Free NFL Week 18 Pick: Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders free NFL Week 18 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Commanders on Sunday, January 7th at the FedEx Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 18 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 18
(11-5) Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders (4-12)
Date: Sunday, January 7th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: FedEx Field, Landover MD
NFL Week 18 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Dallas -13 | Washington +13
Week 18 NFL Moneyline Odds: Dallas -830 | Washington +556
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44
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Week 18 has arrived, and it’s been quite a ride. The Cowboys managed a victory over the Lions, albeit with some controversial calls. With the Eagles stumbling, Dallas aims to secure the coveted #2 seed by defeating Washington.
As for the Commanders, their season has been marked by adversity, and significant changes loom on the horizon. From bad to worse, their journey has taken unexpected turns, and adjustments are expected after the season concludes.
In the first meeting between the Cowboys and Commanders, the Cowboys came away with a 45-10 win. Looking at the spread, the Cowboys were favored by -13 and covered with their 35 point win.
The over/under line going into the game was 47.5 points, which the teams surpassed.
The historic Cowboys vs. Washington rivalry has witnessed 127 NFC East matchups, including 2 in the postseason. The Cowboys emerged victorious in 77 of those games, while the Commanders secured 48 wins. Additionally, they shared the spoils in 2 contests with ties.
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Dallas Cowboys
With a record of 11-5, the Cowboys head into their week 18 matchup with Commanders in 1st place in the NFC-East. So far, they have gone 3-5 on the road and 8-0 at home. The Cowboys have a 9-7 record against the spread this season.
So far this season, their average scoring margin is +10.4.
Even though, the Cowboys’ offense picked up a below-average number of first-downs, they still went on to beat the Lions. The Cowboys finished with 384 yards of total offense compared to 420 for the Lions.
The Lions averaged 8.4 yards per passing attempt and 4.0 yards per rush. Even though Dallas won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 5 point favorites.
Dak Prescott threw for 345 yards while completing 68% of his passes and throwing for 345. Prescott threw for two touchdowns.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
On offense, the Cowboys finished with 384 yards against the Lions. On third-down situations, the Cowboys had a 50% conversion rate. Notably, Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 49 yards, while Dak passed for 345 yards.
At 29.4 points per contest, the Dallas offense is 3rd in the league.
Dallas is 5th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 19.1 points per game, accumulating 307.2 yards per contest.
Washington Commanders
With an overall record of 4-12, the Commanders are 4th in the NFC-East. This record also has them 14th in the NFC. At home, Washington is 1-6 compared to a record of 3-6 on the road. The Commanders’ have a scoring margin of -10.1 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 6-9-1.
The Commanders were unable to overcome being held scoreless in the first quarter against the 49ers and lost by a score of 27-10.
Defensively, they allowed they gave up 408 yards and allowed the 49ers to convert 33.3% of their 3rd downs.
On offense, the Commanders finished with 225 yards went 3/9 on third down. Washington’s 17 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 14 point underdogs.
Sam Howell threw for 169 yards while completing 60% of his passes and throwing for 169. Howell threw for one touchdown.
Washington Commanders Stats
On offense, the Commanders finished with 225 yards against the 49ers. On third-down situations, the Commanders had a 33.3% conversion rate. Notably, Brian Robinson Jr. led the rushing attack with 44 yards, while Howell passed for 169 yards.
On offense, the Commanders are at 19.9 points per game, putting them 20th in the NFL.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Commanders give up an average of 259.2 passing yards and 126.5 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Washington is currently ranked 12th in the league.
So far, they are giving up 30 points per game and 385.8 yards.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Cowboys are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cowboys’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Cowboys vs. Commanders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | -750 | -830 | -13.5 | -13 |
| Commanders | +525 | +556 | +13.5 | +13 |
4* Free Week 18 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +13
At FedEX Field this week the Commanders face an imposing challenge as they enter this game as substantial 13.5-point underdogs, following a disappointing 4-12 SU season.
In search of a spark, they are turning to QB Jacoby Brissett.
On the flip side, the Cowboys, who will be the visiting team this week, haven’t replicated their home success on the road.
With just one regular-season game left, the Dallas Cowboys are aiming to clinch the division title and secure the coveted #2 seed in the NFC.
Despite being favored by 13 vs. the Commanders, I don’t like how the Cowboys play on the road. Our recommendation is to take the Commanders +13.
Nearly 2-TD home dogs cover at a nice rate historically in the NFL.
If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing OVER 44 points. For this game, my money is on the OVER.
It’s hard to envision this game not going over the total points mark. Throughout the season, Washington has often surrendered 30 points or more, making it likely that one of the league’s premier offenses, led by an elite quarterback, will find success against their struggling pass defense.
Cowboys Commanders NFL Handicapping
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
LIVE: Asst HC/OC Eric Bieniemy speaks to the media before practice https://t.co/B1dlDJvSLy
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) January 4, 2024
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