Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Cowboys vs. 49ers Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers free NFL Week 5 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the 49ers on Sunday, October 8th at the Levi’s Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas San Francisco matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
Sunday Night Football (SNF)
(3-1) Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers (4-0)
Date: Sunday, October 8th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Dallas +3.5 | San Francisco -3.5
Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds: Dallas +150 | San Francisco -186
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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Week 5 of the NFL season is gearing up to be a showdown for the ages, with the highly anticipated clash between the (3-1) Dallas Cowboys and the undefeated (4-0) San Francisco 49ers. These two teams have emerged as early-season powerhouses in the NFC, and this Sunday Night Football (SNF) showdown promises to be a “cracker!”
Set your calendars for October 8th at 8:20 ET, as Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA, becomes the battleground for this epic confrontation.
In terms of betting stats, both the 49ers and Cowboys boast impressive records against the spread (ATS) in 2023, each standing at 3-1 ATS. As for the odds, the NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines favor San Francisco at -3.5, while Dallas gets a +3.5 handicap. The moneyline odds stand at Dallas +150 and San Francisco -186, and the over/under is set at 45 points.
Adding to the intrigue of this matchup is the historical rivalry between these two storied franchises. The series stands tied at 19-19-1, with 39 games played, including 9 postseason battles. The Cowboys and 49ers have each claimed victory 19 times, and they’ve even experienced a tie once.
In week 4, the Cowboys showcased their dominance by crushing the Patriots with a convincing 38-3 victory, thanks in part to two defensive touchdowns that left the Pats frustrated. Meanwhile, the 49ers continued their undefeated streak by securing an important NFC West divisional win against the Cardinals.
In their only head to head matchup last season, the 49ers won by a score of 19-12. With their combined 31 points, the Cowboys and 49ers stayed below the over/under line of 46.5. The 49ers covered the spread in this matchup.
In last year’s win, the 49ers finished with 312 of total offense, with 113 coming in the running game and 199 through the air.
On the other side, the Cowboys ended the game with 282 yards of offense.
Stay tuned to our NFL football handicapping blog for insights on this exciting matchup!
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Dallas Cowboys
This week will be the Cowboys’ 3rd road game of the season and they are looking to move above .500 as they are 1-1 on the road. Dallas’ overall record of 3-1 has them 2nd in the NFC-East and 6th in the NFC. The Cowboys have a 3-1 ATS record so far.
As we enter week 5, their scoring margin per game is +20.8.
In the Cowboys’ 38-3 win over the Patriots, the Cowboys got off to a strong start, putting up 10 first quarter points. Offensively, they finished with 377 of total offense compared to the Patriots at 253. Going into the game, Dallas was favored by 6 and went on to cover the spread.
Dak Prescott threw for 261 yards while completing 82% of his passes and throwing for 261. Prescott threw for one touchdown.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
On offense, the Cowboys finished with 377 yards against the Patriots. On third-down situations, the Cowboys had a 53.3% conversion rate. Notably, Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 47 yards, while Dak Prescott passed for 261 yards.
On offense, the Cowboys are at 31 points per game, putting them 4th in the NFL.
In terms of yards allowed, the Cowboys are 2nd in the league while giving up 259.8 yards per contest. Dallas’ defense has allowed 10.2 points per game, placing them 1st in the NFL.
San Francisco 49ers
With their undefeated record of 4-0, the 49ers are in 1st place in the NFC-West. This week will be their second of the season at home. The 49ers hold a 3-0-1 record against the spread.
As we approach week 5, their scoring margin stands at +16.8 per game.
After taking an early seven-point first quarter lead, the 49ers went on to pick up the win. For the game, they averaged 7 yards per play leading to a total of 395 yards of offense.
Defensively, they allowed 105 yards rushing and 9.2 yards per completion. Going into the game, San Francisco was favored by 14.5 and went on to cover the spread.
Quarterback Brock Purdy threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score. Purdy completed 95% of his passes for 283 yards.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
San Francisco’s offense generated 395 total yards against the Cardinals. On third downs, the 49ers managed a conversion rate of 60%. Christian McCaffrey led the team in rushing with 106 yards, while Brock Purdy passed for 283 yards.
At 31.2 points per contest, the San Francisco offense is 3rd in the league.
The 49ers are currently 11th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 14.5 points per game and gaining 284.2 yards per contest against them.
Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the 49ers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cowboys are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the 49ers have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cowboys’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The 49ers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Cowboys vs. 49ers Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cowboys | +132 | +150 | +3 | +3.5 |
49ers | -156 | -186 | -3 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Dallas +3.5
The Niners are now giving up 3.5 points, after starting as 3-point favorites.
This matchup has a big revenge angle to it that can’t be ignored. Teams with extra motivation tend to play harder. The 49ers have knocked Dallas out of the playoffs for the last two seasons.
In the playoffs last year the Cowboys faced off against the Niners in the NFC divisional round. San Fran emerged victorious with a 19-12 win, holding a 3.5-point advantage while playing at home.
Dallas will have had this game circled on their calendars for a long, long time! Their defense will be a tough test for the unbeaten 49ers. Expect a tight game where both offenses might even expose the defenses.
For my point spread prediction in this Cowboys vs. 49ers showdown, I’m going with the Cowboys to cover while playing on the road. Currently, they are 3.5-point underdogs, and I believe they will cover this spread.
This could be Dak Prescott’s biggest test of his career thus far. (Building up the hype aren’t I?!)
The Cowboys have to keep up with the 49ers in this one as one thing is for certain CMC is going to get open. They just have to contain him.
I think they will as Dallas are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games, and the Niners are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 48 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 45.
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Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
2 of the top 3 teams battle on SNF.
The best #NFL teams in the NFC, ranked by @ProFootballTalk.
Thoughts? 👀 pic.twitter.com/iQqdRWb36g
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) October 4, 2023
*pretends to be shocked*
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) October 4, 2023
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