Free NFL Week 8 Pick: Cowboys vs. 49ers Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the 49ers on Sunday, October 27th at the Levi’s Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas San Francisco Sunday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
Sunday Night Football on NBC
(3-3) Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers (3-4)
Date: Sunday, October 27th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara CA
Commentators: Mike Tirico (play-by-play) Cris Collinsworth (color commentator)
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Dallas +4.5 | San Francisco -4.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Dallas +179 | San Francisco -215
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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It’s Week 8 in the NFL, and we’ve got a classic rivalry heating up under the bright lights of Sunday Night Football. The Cowboys (3-3) are heading into Levi’s Stadium to take on the 49ers (3-4) in what promises to be another fiery chapter in this storied matchup.
The all-time record between these two juggernauts is tight, with San Francisco holding a razor-thin edge at 20-19-1. But let’s not forget, the last time they met, the Niners absolutely throttled the Cowboys.
Beating the Cowboys 42-10, the 49ers picked up a 32-point win in the only head-to-head matchup between the two teams last year.
The 49ers were favored by -3.5 and not only won the game but covered the spread.
The game’s combined total of 52 points easily surpassed the over/under line of 45.5 points.
Will Dallas bounce back, or will San Fran hold serve again?
Dallas Cowboys
Heading into week 8, the Cowboys sit 22nd in our NFL power rankings and have an 18.3% chance of making the playoffs. Dallas is 3-3, with all three of their wins coming on the road. Their most recent victory was a 20-17 win over the Steelers in week 5, but they couldn’t follow that up, losing 47-9 at home to the Lions in week 6. The Cowboys were 3.5-point underdogs in that game but couldn’t keep it close, dropping their record to 3-3.
Dallas is 2-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -7 points per game. They are 0-2 ATS as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-2, with their games averaging 49 points per game compared to an average line of 46.3.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Heading into week 8, the Cowboys are 21st in our offensive power rankings. They rank 18th in points per game (21) and 12th in yards per game (336.5). Despite being 2nd in passing yards per game (259.3) and passing attempts (39.7), they rank 30th in rushing yards per game, with just 77.2, on 22.2 attempts per game. Dallas is 10th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 41% success rate, and 3rd in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 81.2% of their trips.
In week 6, Dallas struggled in the 2nd half, failing to score in the 4th quarter of their 47-9 loss to the Lions. Dak Prescott threw for 178 yards, going 17/33 with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. CeeDee Lamb had 7 catches for 89 yards, while Rico Dowdle led the team in rushing with 25 yards on 5 carries.
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In their most recent game, the Cowboys’ defense gave up 47 points in a blowout loss to the Lions. They allowed 492 total yards and 184 yards on the ground, with Detroit averaging 5.1 yards per rushing attempt. The Lions also had a lot of success through the air, throwing for 308 yards on just 19 completions. Dallas gave up three passing touchdowns and allowed the Lions to average 11.4 yards per passing attempt.
Despite the struggles, the Cowboys did manage to record three sacks and held the Lions to a 40% third-down conversion rate. However, they also allowed Detroit to complete 70.4% of their passes and failed to generate much pressure, losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.
San Francisco 49ers
Heading into week 8, the 49ers are 6th in our NFL power rankings despite their 3-4 record. Our projections give them a 43.0% chance of making the playoffs and a 38.3% chance of winning the NFC West. San Francisco is currently 3rd in the division with a 1-2 record against NFC West opponents. They are 2-2 at home and 1-2 on the road.
Against the spread, the 49ers are 3-4, having been favored in all of their games so far. Their average scoring margin is +3.1 points per game. Their O/U record is 4-3, with their games averaging 48.3 points compared to an average line of 46. In week 7, they lost 28-18 to the Chiefs, failing to cover as 2.5-point favorites. In week 6, they beat the Seahawks 36-24, covering the 3.5-point spread.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
Heading into week 8, the 49ers are 9th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 25.7 points per game. They rank 3rd in the NFL with 404.3 yards per game, including 254.4 passing yards (4th) on 30.9 attempts per game. San Francisco is 7th in rushing, with 149.9 yards per game on 30.3 attempts. They rank 8th in 3rd-down conversions but have struggled in the red zone, sitting 21st with a 16.1% conversion rate despite being 2nd in attempts.
In week 7, Brock Purdy threw for 212 yards and 3 interceptions, posting a passer rating of 36 in the loss to the Chiefs. Jordan Mason led the team with 58 rushing yards, while George Kittle had 6 catches for 92 yards. San Francisco scored 6 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters but converted just 2 of 11 3rd downs.
In the 49ers’ 28-18 loss to the Chiefs, their defense gave up 184 rushing yards on 39 attempts, including a long touchdown run by Jerick McKinnon. Despite this, the 49ers’ defense was tough against the pass, allowing just 145 yards through the air and not giving up any passing touchdowns. They also came away with two interceptions and held the Chiefs to a 59.3% completion rate.
On third downs, the 49ers allowed the Chiefs to convert 57.1% of their chances. The 49ers’ defense managed two sacks and had a positive QB hit differential, but they did struggle to contain the Chiefs’ running game, leading to a tough day overall.
Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the 49ers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cowboys are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the 49ers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cowboys’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The 49ers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Cowboys vs. 49ers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | +176 | +178 | +4.5 | +4.5 |
| 49ers | -210 | -216 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
4* Free Week 8 NFL Betting Prediction: Dallas +4.5
The line is currently sitting with San Francisco as a 4.5-point favorite, but here’s where it gets fun: the Niners are just 2-3 against the spread (ATS) as favorites in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have been road warriors, going 4-1 straight up in their last five away games, and they thrive in October—hitting an impressive 12-3 ATS in their past 15.
The 49ers, on the other hand, have struggled against the number, covering just 3 of their last 11 games. Keep an eye on those injuries too—San Francisco is likely missing some key weapons (watch status of Deebo, and Jennings, Aiyuk is OUT.)
Let’s also not forget Brock Purdy’s meltdown last week with three picks and a rating that was downright ugly (36.7). Dak Prescott and the Cowboys need to shake off that Week 5 beatdown and come in hot, especially with the points on their side.
For this week eight matchup between the 49ers and Cowboys, we have the Cowboys coming out on top by a score of 23-20. With the 49ers currently sitting as 4.5-point favorites at home, we are going against the spread and taking the Cowboys to cover as road underdogs.
Why? Purdy hasn’t looked himself, and now the 49ers are going to try to win this game with a bunch of no-names on offense. This is a get right game for the Cowboys on SNF. If Dallas can get after Purdy early, it could spell trouble for San Fran.
As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 46.5 points, we like the under, projecting a combined score of 43.
Call it a last second FG for the win.
It’s setting up to be an electric game, and there’s no better place for sharp bettors to find some edge in what might be a closer showdown than the lines suggest.
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Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Cowboys week.
📺 #DALvsSF on NBC
⏰ 5:20 PM pic.twitter.com/DZc1to6St1— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) October 24, 2024
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