Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Cowboys vs. Giants Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Giants on Thursday, September 26th at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
Thursday Night Football
(1-2) Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants (1-2)
Date: Thursday, September 26th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Dallas -5.5 | New York +5.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Dallas -231 | New York +190
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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Week 4 is here, and it’s time to lock in your picks! Thursday Night Football brings an NFC East clash between the Cowboys and Giants, both sitting at 1-2. Don’t be fooled by the records — there’s plenty of excitement.
The Cowboys dominated the Giants in both of their matchups last season. They won the first game 40-0 and the second game 49-17, sweeping the series 2-0. In the first game, the Cowboys were -3 point favorites, and in the second game, they were -17.5 point favorites.
The over/under line for the first game was 44.5 points, and the teams combined for 40 points.
In the second game, the line was 38.5 points, and the combined score was 66 points.
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys are now 1-2 after their 28-25 loss to the Ravens. Dallas fell behind early, as Baltimore led 14-3 after the first quarter. The Cowboys managed only a field goal in the 2nd quarter, and at halftime, they were down 21-6. Despite a strong 4th quarter, scoring 19 points, they couldn’t complete the comeback.
Derrick Henry’s touchdown in the 3rd quarter put the Ravens up 28-6 heading into the 4th. Dallas saw a late surge in the 4th quarter, with Dak Prescott throwing three touchdown passes – to KaVontae Turpin, Jalen Tolbert, and Hunter Luepke. The Cowboys were 1.5-point underdogs and failed to cover the spread with the 3-point loss.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
The Cowboys’ offense put up 26 first downs and 361 yards passing in their 28-25 loss to the Ravens. Dallas struggled to run the ball, finishing with just 51 yards on 16 attempts. Dak Prescott threw the ball 51 times, completing 28 passes for 379 yards, two touchdowns, and a passer rating of 91. He was also the team’s leading rusher with one rushing touchdown.
On the receiving end, tight end Jake Ferguson led Dallas with 95 yards on six catches, including a long reception of 26 yards. The Cowboys’ offense allowed three sacks, and although they didn’t complete a pass, their third-down conversion rate was 53.8%.
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In the Cowboys’ 28-25 loss to the Ravens, their defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 274 rushing yards on 45 attempts. Despite not allowing a single completion, the Ravens still managed to put up 182 yards through the air, with one touchdown coming on a big play. Dallas’ defense couldn’t generate any pressure, as they failed to record a sack and had a negative differential in both tackles for loss and quarterback hits.
On the bright side, the Cowboys did force the Ravens into a 44.4% third-down conversion rate, but their inability to stop the run was a significant issue in this one.
New York Giants
The Giants picked up a 21-15 win over the Browns, moving their record to 1-2. New York was +6.5 point underdogs on the road, giving them both the straight-up and ATS win. The combined 36 points was just under the total line of 38 points.
New York’s win didn’t come without some late drama, as the Browns tied the game at 21 with 11:36 remaining in the 4th quarter. However, the Giants were able to pull ahead for good with just 2:23 left in the 4th quarter on a 43-yard touchdown run by Devin Singletary.
New York Giants Stats
Devin Singletary ran for 65 yards to lead the Giants’ ground game in their 21-15 win over the Browns. The Giants’ offense had 21 first downs and 217 total yards. Daniel Jones threw for 236 yards, completing 24 of 34 passes, with two touchdowns and no interceptions. He was also sacked twice.
Malik Nabers caught eight passes for 78 yards and two touchdowns. New York struggled on third down, converting just 28.6% of their chances. The Giants also rushed for 112 yards as a team.
In their most recent game, the Giants’ defense gave up 148 passing yards to the Browns, but didn’t allow a single completion. Despite this, they did give up two passing touchdowns. The Giants’ defense was tough in the trenches, as they had 8 sacks and held the Browns to 28.6% on third down. The Giants’ offense didn’t help them out much, with just 217 total yards, and the Giants’ run defense allowed just 69 yards on 18 attempts.
The Giants’ defense was also able to get 8 sacks in the game and they did not allow a single completion.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Giants are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Cowboys are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Giants have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cowboys’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Giants’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Cowboys vs. Giants Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | -205 | -231 | -4.5 | -5.5 |
| Giants | +170 | +190 | +4.5 | +5.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: New York +5.5
Thursday night football kicks off NFL Week 4 action. The Giants shocked the Browns in Week 3, storming into Cleveland as 6.5-point underdogs and dominating the second half with 10 sacks. That defensive pressure could be a game-changer.
Dallas, meanwhile, is reeling after a rough loss to the Ravens. Favored by 5.5, the Cowboys are hungry for redemption, but can they deliver?
Our model has the Giants coming out on top by a score of 26-24 in their week four matchup against the Cowboys. With the point spread sitting at +5.5 in favor of the Giants, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Giants to cover as home underdogs.
For this week’s over/under pick, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 50 points and the O/U line currently at 45 points.
Expect NFC East drama and a thrilling betting opportunity!
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Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
🔟 things to watch in tonight’s game ⤵️
📰: https://t.co/8DLpZNsPum pic.twitter.com/xUCjKmNa4A
— Matt Citak (@MattCitak) September 26, 2024
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